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DuWayne Steurer

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Everything posted by DuWayne Steurer

  1. DuWayne Steurer
    Prince Fielder has got to be right up there. At least Howard's contract was not nearly as much and he was at least able to finish, or at least well, stumble to the end of his contract. To the Tigers' credit at least they were able to pass along some of Prince's contract to someone else before it was too late. If insurance pays a large part of the Fielder contract (and I admit that I don't know if it does), then I'd say the Howard contract was worse. By *not* playing, Fielder is doing the Rangers a favor, and letting someone else who can potentially provide positive value on the field get in the game. Howard was not only costing huge sums of money, he was providing negative value by simply playing.
  2. DuWayne Steurer
    It's because 162 games isn't a large enough sample to "even out" these numbers. If the season was 10,000 games the Brewers would have been 5,000-5,000. Probably a tad below that due to below avg defense. But since the season consists of only 162 unique "events" the W/L record can be skewed quite a bit. I did say in my post (in a part that you didn't quote) that by some measures 162 games is a small sample size. I hope you didn't selectively remove that from the quote for impact.
  3. DuWayne Steurer
    I think if you flip a coin 100 times, you're going to end up with 50 heads/50 tails on the dot, relatively few times. But I bet you end up with between 45 and 55 heads, about 90% of the time (or even more), and I think that's all the stats/science is trying to do, is give you some predictability within a reasonable variance. I think that (in general) the stats do a relatively good job of giving us predictive information, and they also do a good job of telling us "this is what happened". The problem is when people say "hey, this team 8 years ago scored less runs than they allowed, and they finished X games over .500". Obviously outliers occur. It doesn't mean that the predictiveness of the math is wrong, it just means that's one of the outliers. It doesn't hurt to look at the outliers and look at the information we have and see if there's some causation for why the statistical information doesn't add up to the W's and L's for that particular season. Is it just luck? Is it a combination of good bullpen use and luck (good record in 1 run games?) 162 games, by some measures, is still a small sample size. The Brewers this year have league average OPS and league average team ERA. yet they're 8 games below 81 wins. Why is that? Bad bullpen management? Bad luck? Did they create too many outs on the bases, depriving themselves of runscoring opportunities? It's worth looking at, not to say, "the statistical information is wrong", but to see what caused a minor outlier in the data.
  4. DuWayne Steurer
    I guess the question is how much more value is there on a few draft spots vs the acquisition and development of mlb talent? This was never a "tank" year. The goal wasn't to lose games. It was to recognize and acquire high risk, high upside talent, and let them play games. Losing is a byproduct of that, not the actual desired result. You can let guys like Rivera and Walsh and Flores and so on get 600 at bats, but then you don't get performances from Broxton or villar or Perez that let you see if you have some kind of future commodity, either as a player or a trade piece.
  5. DuWayne Steurer
    All of those are tiny sample sizes for relievers not really much to be gained from that information
  6. DuWayne Steurer
    Keon Broxton should be listed as 12 in SB, with 23 Also, I can edit posts, so I added it.
  7. DuWayne Steurer
    Manfred will probably deem this punishment enough for the hacking scandal, and move on. Honestly, I'm shocked there wasn't a 3rd wildcard team added when the league realized the Cardinals hadn't made the post-season.
  8. DuWayne Steurer
    Fair. I generally don't care about the morals of my sports heroes..... but fair.
  9. DuWayne Steurer
    We had K-Rod for like 4 years so... Right but I like the Brewers. Ahh, the old "I'm ok with guys on our team with questionable moral fiber, but when they're on the other team, they're superbad." http://gifrific.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Ron-Burgundy-Stare-and-Nod.gif
  10. DuWayne Steurer
    My "like" for Matheny being an ex-Brewer was quickly over-ridden by him quickly buying into that "Cardinal Way" nonsense.
  11. DuWayne Steurer
    No.... it's ok. We know where it came from.
  12. DuWayne Steurer
    Signing Chapman didn't help their cause in my eyes. I will never be a fan but at least without him I could say they were a decent bunch of dudes on the team. We had K-Rod for like 4 years so...
  13. DuWayne Steurer
    I don't hate the Cubs the way I did when it was Ryan The Riot and D-Lee and Ryan Dumpster and (especially) Carlos Zambrano. I'm pretty 'meh' about them now. It's more I wish they weren't so good, as they're in our division. I don't care what they do once they're in the playoffs. I still (and always will) hate the Cardinals with the fiery heat of 1000 burning suns.
  14. DuWayne Steurer
    I know there are big-bodied guys that defy the normal rule that the type doesn't age well (David Ortiz is one)....but when will teams learn that giving these 250+ pound men these mammoth contracts that go well into their late 30's is NOT sound business?
  15. DuWayne Steurer
    How does that compare to Khris Davis ? (Tracking off topic here) but the fewest RBI ever for a guy with 40+ homers is Barry Bonds and Ken Griffey Jr, who both tied with 90. Our boy Carter had 94, so he wasn't far off. Bonds has the dubious distinction of getting intentionally walked about every time he came up with men on base. I'm not sure what the deal with Griffey was. I know it was in 94, so it was the strike season. That may have something to do with it. Carter just carries an abysmally low batting average and contact rate, so that definitely plays a part in his relatively low RBI total. Here's the article http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/leaderboarding-fewest-rbi-by-home-run-benchmark/
  16. DuWayne Steurer
    65 of Carter's RBI came from homeruns. That means he had only 29 RBI in the rest of his plate appearances. ouch!
  17. DuWayne Steurer
    I think the issue with Niewenhuis is that the Brewers have such a glut of outfielders, so we have a lot of younger options. It's guys that are younger and potentially have more upside. KN kind of "is what he is". He has decent OBP because of the walks, he has decent power, and he can play all 3 OF positions. It's not terrible to have him starting...... but not ideal. He's not the worst 4th OF in the majors, but I think the prevailing idea is that the Brewers probably have better internal options already within the organization. I also think it's not really fair to compare KN to Rivera. They're not competing for roster spots. Rivera's an infielder. It would seem, based on what kind of moves Stearns makes in the off-season, that the only guy Rivera's competing with is Perez. If Gennett is traded, Perez is probably/possibly starting. Niewenhuis is competing with (possibly/probably) Reed, Wren, and even eventually Brinson or some other FA scrap heap type pickup. Like Toby said, KN is entering Arby's, so the question is do the Brewers want to pay Arby's prices for .700 OPS production when they can likely get it from minimum wage guys or from a "throw it against the wall' type player.
  18. DuWayne Steurer
    I'm guessing the 25 man will look pretty similar to how it is now. There's probably a pretty good chance that we could end up with Braun being traded, and end up with Puig/McCarthy, but I think most of the 25 man is here already. I think the catcher position is somewhat open, between Pina, Susac, and Maldonado. I think, other than the possibility of getting someone back in a Braun trade, and Garza being traded out, our 5 man rotation is already here. If Braun isn't traded, our 8 man starting lineup is already here. If he is traded for Puig, it's 7+ Puig. Our bullpen is pretty well here, unless they find some trades out there for Thornburg or whoever. It's possible Stearns may find some guys out there on cheap deals to fill roles again, but not any major acquisitions.
  19. DuWayne Steurer
    The hardest thing to do in a rebuild is have the vision to see it through to the end. Abandoning a rebuild halfway through to attempt to chase an 85 win season is folly at it's finest. Especially in a season in which the Cubs are (literally) going into the playoffs with five aces and a stacked offense, the Nats look fantastic, and the Dodgers are back to full strength. The Brewers don't even have a #2 pitcher. Chasing a wild card this year, and abandoning the rebuild for this would be the absolute epitome of foolhardy. Winning *every year* is not necessary if you have the fortitude to see the means to the end. Jean Segura basically = Jonathan Villar at any rate...... and who's to say that either Segura or Davis put up the numbers they did in Milwaukee? For all K. Davis' gaudy counting stats, he's still basically a league average player, as (as has been stated over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over), he sucks at defense, hits for poor average, takes a sub-par amount of walks, and generally doesn't do much besides hit for power. That's great, but he's not a top-tier offensive player. Lamenting over a 2.5-3 WAR player like he was a cornerstone is doing a disservice to all the other good moves Stearns has made. The ship has sailed. The dead horse has been beaten. This is the deck we have been dealt. yada yada etc, etc, etc.
  20. DuWayne Steurer
    If no jobs are lost, they might go for it. I'm sure the purists would hate it though.
  21. DuWayne Steurer
    Segura was brutal in 14' and 15'. He was 0.6 WAR and 0.0 WAR as a full time player. That's replacement level. Every player has bad months, but starters shouldn't be putting up replacement level numbers for 2 years. I'm happy as heck for Jean that he figured it out, or turned it around or whatever happened....happened, but spinning it any way possible to say he wasn't awful for 2 1/2 years as a Brewer is just that......spin. He was bad.
  22. DuWayne Steurer
    Anderson was really good in the 2nd half. Some speculation that this was due to his removing his cutter (his weakest pitch) from his repertoire. Small sample size, so we'll see. As it is, I'd like to see him in the rotation next year, at least at the outset to see if this trend continues.
  23. DuWayne Steurer
    http://i.imgur.com/WTDnnwE.gif?noredirect
  24. DuWayne Steurer
    What is bolded, plus the personal stories of his leaving Cuba, etc, is what really is hitting me. It's not often that celebrity/athlete deaths affect me like this. I really enjoyed his interviews; MLBtv really loved him. I don't have the channel anymore but I'm sure there were some fond memories of JF on the show. I spent a good amount of time on Deadspin today, just going through some fun Jose Fernandez stories. Catching the Tulo liner. Watching him groundout, and his mom and grandma laugh at him. The homer where McCann and Johnson yelled at him. Other ones that I can't think of. Again, just my opinion, but I love guys Gomez and Puig and Fernandez who just act like they're enjoying the heck out of being out there on the field.....who look like they appreciate the opportunity they have to play a game and get paid for it. I know this is secondary to the pain his family and friends feel..... but as a fan of baseball, I will miss the joy a player like him brought to the field.
  25. DuWayne Steurer
    Aside from his amazing talent, I, for one will miss the way he plays the game with almost irrepressible fun. I know some don't think so, but I wish baseball had more guys like him. He will be missed. RIP
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