DuWayne Steurer
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Everything posted by DuWayne Steurer
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Not only did he state it as fact, he stated that there is NO OTHER EXPLANATION for the Brewers home/road splits. -
Betencourt hit a line drive. McGehee's single was a 2 hop double play ball that went through because the 2B was covering 2nd for the steal. Lucroy hit a high chopper that would have been fielded cleanly had the Cardinals not been playing in. Greinke bunted, and the Golden Boy first baseman told his catcher to throw to a base that didn't have a defender. Hart weakly fisted an absolute MEATBALL hanging curve into center. Morgan hit a deep fly ball (that did NOT reach the warning track on a fly) that just about any CF other than John Jay or Mark Kotsay would catch. WHere's the conspiracy? There were 2 hard hit balls in that whole inning, surrounded by at least 2 defensive miscues, and poor positioning of the infielders.
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I can't for the life of me fathom why Counsell is still the first lefty off the bench. It's mind boggling. PH with Craig Counsell, use Jerry Hairston as a defensive replacement. It's hard to even wrap the head around something like that.
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National League MVP 2011: Braun = MVP! (reply #318)
DuWayne Steurer replied to jjfanec's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Russ, I'm basically going off of what we know about how the writers vote. They're going to pick the best player from a playoff team. As it stands right now, that's Braun, Fielder, Berkman, or McCann. If the Braves continue to scuffle, or McCann drops off, he'll be out of the running too. -
This is why the Brewers Make the Playoffs
DuWayne Steurer replied to Bombers's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I hope you are right, joepepsi. I would rather the Brewers avoid barely making the playoffs like in '08. I would love to see them coast into the division title with season to spare, so they can rest certain members of their rotation if need be. Going into the divsion series with a well rested pitching staff would be huge boon, I think.I can't take another down to the wire finish, but I'm afraid that's what it's going to be. It's looking less and less like the Brewers and Pirates will be duking it out for the division title in late September though. -
I'm gonna go the safe guess with around 15 - 13, and I think the division lead is going to stay within 2-3 games, one way or the other. I just don't think anyone in the division has the overall talent to go on a huge tear here and pull away. I think the Pirates are going to fade this month, and fall 6 or 7 back, or more, and the Reds will probably hang just on the fringe, while the Brewers and Cardinals slug it out at the top.
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National League MVP 2011: Braun = MVP! (reply #318)
DuWayne Steurer replied to jjfanec's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
109 games in, and realistically, who's an MVP candidate besides Braun and Fielder? I will say that there might be more deserving guys out there at years end (Kemp, Reyes), but we all very well know that the writers, by and large, usually only vote for guys on teams that contend up until the end. The possibility obviously exists that a guy like Pujols or Votto gets white hot, carries his team to the playoffs, and takes the award, but at this point, as things stand, is there anyone that would get more votes than Braun and/or Fielder? I don't think so. -
Yeah, the Braves are gonna struggle to score runs right now. The addition of Bourne helps, but at this point, they're certainly not out of reach.
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With the lineup the Astros are sporting, there's no reason to not absolutely pound the strikezone. Now, granted, there's more to it than just saying "I'm gonna throw strikes", but I'm sure a guy like Narvy is confident against a lineup like this that he can go out there and throw his pitches and not worry about nibbling much.
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'Best player' means 'hasn't had a hit since about May'. You just have to figure out 'Rock-Speak'. RR said Kotsay is in there for his bat. That says it all.Kotsay >>> Morgan? Huh. Gonna have to add that one to the list........
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'Best player' means 'hasn't had a hit since about May'. You just have to figure out 'Rock-Speak'. Did he really say "Best"? I thought I heard "Bench" but it may have been selective hearing.I'm not sure, I'm at work, so I have the volume off. I was just responding to the post.
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Well, as long as they keep hitting them right at Kotsay, he should be ok out there. He won't get into too much trouble until he has to start running to catch those.
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Roenicke (and Hart) need to come to the realization that Hart is no longer a stolen base threat.
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'Best player' means 'hasn't had a hit since about May'. You just have to figure out 'Rock-Speak'.
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Impressions of Roenicke so far (part 2)
DuWayne Steurer replied to PKBadger's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
If they can't beat the Astros without Bourne and PEnce, even with the Sunday lineup, everyone might as well quit. Vegas is giving the Brewers a 64% chance of winning, so it's not a slam dunk. It never is with baseball. I'd rather add an extra 1-2% to that by avoiding all of RR's goofy actions. Kotsay, starting in CF and batting 2nd. Lopez apparently the new #5 guy? And when RR shares his rational for making the decisions, you realize that he just looks at the game of baseball in a peculiar way. Oh, I know. I'm already pleasantly surprised with the 5-0 homestand, even though 'on paper' these are all winnable games. I'd be happy with 6 -3, but realistically, at this point, I think anything less than 7 - 2 now becomes a disappointment. -
Impressions of Roenicke so far (part 2)
DuWayne Steurer replied to PKBadger's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
If they can't beat the Astros without Bourne and PEnce, even with the Sunday lineup, everyone might as well quit. -
I don't think Baker was much of a prospect, but does Lee really make them much better? This doesn't make a whole lot of sense. the Pirates have already started to slide (3 1/2 back now), and their schedule doesn't look favorable from here on out.
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Pence is a very good, but not really a 'great' player. He's not in the class of a Braun or a Tulowitzki. I think Pence is thought of as over rated because he's been the best player for several years on a pretty bad team. Interestingly, I didn't know that Pence had been originally drafted by the Brewers in 2002 in the 40th round. Probably wasn't looked at as much of a loss when he didn't sign and went to college at the time.
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The Astros still have a weak system, and they have Ed Wade at the helm of their operations. At this point, I'm not at all about to get concerned with what the Astros might be doing 3-4 years from now. It's actually looking like the Pirates are more of an immediate threat the next few years, especially if Pedro Alvarez starts living up to expectations.
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Interestingly enough, even though Verizon has a heavy presence in Janesville, I've heard from a multitude of Verizon users that say about the entire western 1/3rd of the city is terrible, and same for Sprint. I guess it's all about where you're at.
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Bill James actually looked at this, years ago -- I forget which book it's in. He ran a computer simulation with one lineup full of OBP guys and one full of SLG guys (I think he used one player who exemplified each type) over hundreds of games. The OBP team scored a lot more runs. You could do a more sophisticated version of the study with, say, one team that's .400/.400 and another that's .300/.500, and I'm pretty sure (though I don't have the knowhow to test my intuition) that the OBP team would win again. Not making outs is the single most important part of a baseball offense. Interesting. Thanks for the post, I'll try to Google it later. My only argument against this would be with guys like Carroll/Counsell who rarely sniff a .400 SLG. If they had a say, .340/.360 line, how would they fare against a .275/.425?http://www.baseball-refer...com/teams/STL/1985.shtml Off the top of my head......'85 Cards. 1st in OBP, 6th in SLG, and 1st in runs. Granted, they stole a lot of bases, but the value of the stolen base is overrated to a degree. Plus, even taking away runs created by their steals, they'd still have been near teh top of the league in runs, despite a .379 SLG% Basically, no matter how you slice it, if the OPS is equal, a team with a a higher OBP will score more runs.
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I can't even count the number of times this year we've seen runners thrown out at either 2nd or 3rd on cutoffs on throws to the plate. You teach little leaguers to never make the last out at 3rd base........why is that so hard for these guys to understand?
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I'm absolutely baffled that over 70 people clicked a thread titled "does anyone have Cricket wireless" and nobody replied to the question. I'm just curious what anyone thought a thread titled "Does anyone have Cricket wireless?" was going to be about. I realize that probably sounds snarky, but I'm actually honestly wondering that.
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Bill James actually looked at this, years ago -- I forget which book it's in. He ran a computer simulation with one lineup full of OBP guys and one full of SLG guys (I think he used one player who exemplified each type) over hundreds of games. The OBP team scored a lot more runs. You could do a more sophisticated version of the study with, say, one team that's .400/.400 and another that's .300/.500, and I'm pretty sure (though I don't have the knowhow to test my intuition) that the OBP team would win again. Not making outs is the single most important part of a baseball offense. Quick and dirty math says that over a full season that would be about a 55-60 run swing in favor of the high OBP offense. The '92 Brewers were 7th in the AL in OBP, and 11th in SLG, but 5th in runs, with 740 runs, despite hitting only 82 homers. There's plenty of other examples, but that's one that's right off the top of my head.
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I would neither be excited or disappointed if the Brewers signed Hall for the rest of the year. He's not going to set the world on fire, and it's not like he could be a lot worse than 3/4ths of the infield we already have out there.
