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DuWayne Steurer

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Everything posted by DuWayne Steurer

  1. DuWayne Steurer
    So, the Brewers are 5 up with 6 weeks to go. Comfortable, but not untouchable, by any means. What I'd like to see, more than anything in the whole wide world, is the Brewers just continue to streak, build up about a 12-13 game lead, and romp away with the division, clinching in mid-September. With that being said, the last few weeks of 2008 were incredibly fun, not to mention heart stopping. I remember the walk offs against the Pirates, Weeks' big 3 run shot against the Cubs on that Saturday night, and of course, the incredible drama on the last day of the season. So.........I mean, obviously we all want a division title, but what's more fun for the baseball fans, particularly, US? I have no idea what it's like to watch baseball in late September that's meaningless for a GOOD reason, and I almost wonder if it'd be a bit less memorable than the fantastic finish to the 2008 season.
  2. DuWayne Steurer
    I did. No more douchey than what Pujols does every time he hits a homerun. Prince stands and admires just about every time. He hit a granny in his 5th game. He's a kid, he's jacked. I don't see how that's 'being a tool'.
  3. DuWayne Steurer
    If we get a world series, I'll never think about this trade again, except in passing. If we get a deep post season run, I'll still be happy. 8 teams make the post season. Getting there is all you can ask for, after that, it's a 12.5% crap shoot. If we re-sign Marcum, and he's a steady performer for 4-5 years for us, I'll be happy. But I think, and this is just my opinion, the people that are deriding Lawrie for being a bit of a douche are really grasping at reasons to justify this trade. He's a young kid, who's a superlative talent. Ryan Braun is barely any different, aside from not having a photo of a beer bottle duct taped to his hand. I'm absolutely positive that every single one of us did SOMETHING when we were 20 or 21 years old that would have made someone say "my god, look at that toolbag". Most of us were probably just lucky enough to not have it photographed. I suspect in the long run, that Lawrie will have more value than Marcum.....and I'm ok with that. This year and next year, Marcum was more important to the Brewers than Lawrie was, and when you're a small market team, in those 'go for it' windows that you get, sometimes you have to give up quality to get quality.
  4. DuWayne Steurer
    Oh, I'm not at all comfortable with the positioning just yet. I'm just saying a Cards fan saying "we control our own destiny" when they're down 5 games is a pretty silly comment. "All we have to do is sweep the Brewers from here on out!". Well, I'm looking at the games, and the Brewers have kind of pwned the Cardinals this year. (And I LIKE it!)
  5. DuWayne Steurer
    Found this gem on a cards forum..........I honestly hope I've never sounded this delusional about my team's playoff chances....... "Heck we still control our own destiny. We win tomorrow then all we have to do is win out against the Brewers and match their record against the rest of the season and we win the division. We lose tomorrow and we still control our own destiny, but we are only controlling it for a tie and a one game playoff."
  6. DuWayne Steurer
    Bolded for agreeance. With Greinke, Gallardo, and to a very minor lesser extent Marcum, I really feel like extended losing streaks are a pretty small concern. Marcum's not been as sharp as of late, but overall, can't argue with the results. This season, seeing 5 guys go out there and take their turns every 5 days (with Narveson now being hurt of course) has been pretty dang fun. There's some complaints about Narvy, to be sure, but how many teams have the luxury of a #5 starter as good as Narveson?
  7. DuWayne Steurer
    Yeah, I had to go watch the video........and I'm just not seeing what he did so horribly. He paused, briefly, in the batters box. He pumped his fist running around the bases, and was called out of the dugout by the fans. A rookie hit a grand slam in his 5th game, what's he supposed to do......smile broadly until he gets in the clubhouse, where he's then allowed to be excited about what he did? These old notions about 'how to play the game' really need to go. Some of this crap is really quite silly.
  8. DuWayne Steurer
    Kinda hard to glean anything from these types of threads. brand loyalty usually goes a long ways. I have a Dell Inspiron laptop that's been running strong for 4 years, and it was about $400.00 when I got it. My wife has a Dell, and has no problems. On the other side of the coin, I have an HP desktop upstairs that's a year old, and have had many problems with it.
  9. DuWayne Steurer
    WAR is quick and easy, and like Russ said, 4 + years worth is pretty telling. I'm not going to argue the merits of WAR in this thread though.
  10. DuWayne Steurer
    Well, I'm out, we've got 2 Betancourt threads where we're arguing whether he's just REALLY bad, or REALLY REALLY bad. No matter what, the stat guys and the "He doesn't look THAT bad" guys are not going to agree. It also seems to me that the "he's not THAT bad crowd" are usually (but not always) the same types of guys (and gals) that will root for a guy who's wearing a uniform that says "Brewers" on it, no matter what. I'm not that way. Everyone can be a fan in whatever way they choose, but facts are facts, and I can't find ANY facts that support arguments that Betancourt isn't one of the worst starting players in the league. Again, this argument is circular, and going nowhere. I'll bow out. I've said everything I've needed to say, and presenting more stats isn't going to sway anyone anyways. There's a mountain of data that's out there, and if at this point, people want to ignore it, that's their prerogative.
  11. DuWayne Steurer
    If a 5 WAR player suddenly has a 7 WAR season, I wouldn't call that an aberration. A great player had a fantastic season. When a bad player (0 WAR) has a terrible season, again, I don't see that as an aberration. I see it as a bad player having a really bad year. If Yuni was a guy who was even a 2-3 WAR guy more than once? Then yeah, that -1.8 would really stick out. But since he's shown for most of his career to be a subpar player, no, that really bad season doesn't stick out to me. It all depends on context.
  12. DuWayne Steurer
    Ray Durham was a freqeunt 3 to 4 WAR player for a long stretch of his career. Betancourt has never been above 2.2. I'm sorry, but that's a terrible comparison. Seasons in which Betancourt was a 0 WAR and 0.2 WAR are hardly glowing endorsements for not being 'below replacement'. Seasons of being basically a replacement level player doesn't make the -1.8 an aberration, that was a terrible season in the middle of a bunch of bad seasons.
  13. DuWayne Steurer
    He's at 0 WAR this year.1.3 WAR in 2010 a staggering -1.8 WAR in 2009 a 0.2 WAR in 2008 You go back to 2007, and he was a 2.2 WAR player. So you have to go back 5 seasons to find when he was an adequate player fit for every day use.
  14. DuWayne Steurer
    He was below replacement level 2 of the past 4 years. And he was less than 2 WAR (starting player level) the other 2 years.
  15. DuWayne Steurer
    But that's just it. the thread title is 'what happened'? A bad player got on a hot streak, which all bad players do from time to time. A guy with a .670 OPS doesn't have a .670 OPS every day or every month. He's going to have ups and downs. Way too much is put into 75 plate appearance samples when someone's struggling or when someone's hot, and I readily admit that I'm just as guilty of that as many. I started a 'road wooahs' thread, asking when crappy road play stopped being bad luck, and the Brewers are 8-6 on the road after the all star break. Deviation happens. Nothing has happened (IMO) that suddenly Yuni's a good hitter. He's a crappy hitter going through a hot streak.
  16. DuWayne Steurer
    With Fielder coming off the books (almost a certainty) I don't think money's going to be that big of an issue. I'm assuming that Melvin's happy with his CF platoon, and if they make a change at 3B, I'm assuming that Taylor Greene gets first shot, rather than a high price FA.
  17. DuWayne Steurer
    This was my question at the outset. Is there any reason to hope that the adjustments could be permanent? Obviously there is room to debate. To directly answer the original question........I'd have to say no. I think it's just a bad hitter having a hot streak. And it's hard to JUST answer that question. The reasoning here is that (according to many) his defense is SO bad for a shortstop, that even if he does turn it around, and become, let's just say, for example, a regular .750 OPS guy (which IMO is being very generous), he's still going to likely have negative value. I'll say this. I don't cringe when he comes up with guys on base in a critical spot right now. I'd often times rather see him up with a man on 3rd and less than 2 outs than Hart, Lucroy, or Weeks. For the rest of the year, he's our best option. I'm past the point of hoping he does so abysmally bad that Doug would have to replace him. At this point, it's not gonna happen, obviously. But I'll go back to the original question........at this point, I wouldn't even CARE if he made some minor adjustment to turn his offense around. He still draws walks at an abysmal rate, and he just doesn't have enough power to offset that. I would guess even if he hit lights out for a 4 month stretch, he'd struggle to put up an .800 OPS for a full season, and with his defense, that kind of offense just doesn't excite. I'll root for him for the rest of this year and the playoffs, but I'll be happy when he's bought out and off the roster before next season.
  18. DuWayne Steurer
    But when EVERY statistical measure says he is the worst defensive SS, along with the scouts and the fans, how much more do we need? I haven't seen a single statistic, not one, that indicates he's anything other than a complete butcher. I grant that defensive stats are somewhat sketchy, but when EVERY method used tells us the same thing, we have to accept that there's something there, don't we?
  19. DuWayne Steurer
    That occurred to me today. I've never eaten at Webb's, and won't mind waiting until I can get the burger for free.Their breakfast plates are fantastic. Greasy, unhealthy, and fantastic!
  20. DuWayne Steurer
    I'm not arguing that point. In fact, I'd bet you'd be really hard pressed to hear anyone say they'd rather have Dave Bush and Alcedis Escobar on the roster than Zack Greinke and ANY other ss. What I'm arguing is the statement that this hot streak means anything at all, or that Yuni's defense hasn't been 'all that bad'. His hot streak has still brought his OBP only up to .282, which means he's negative value offensively, and his defense has been brutal. (edit: cleaned up code --1992)
  21. DuWayne Steurer
    I was absolutely one of the guys that said Counsell should have gotten more playing time, when he was at least getting on base at a .315 clip. Of course as time has progressed, Counsell has been a hack at the plate, and has done nothing to deserve playing time. Every player is going to have defenders and detractors, I don't know why this is surprising to people. The problem with Yuni is not only did he start poor, many people looked at the stats AND the scouting reports AND the fan banter and came to the conclusion that Yuni would be among the worst starting SS's this year. Even WITH his current hot streak, he's one of the worst starting SS's. his offense has, at BEST, minimized the impact of his terrible, statue-esque defense. Poeple say he has 'steady hands on balls he gets to', and that's great. Too many people still use errors as the top judgement tool though. I'd far rather have a shortstop that gets to 90 balls out of 100, and boots 10 of them, than a SS that gets to 60 balls out of 100, and boots 5 of them. The 'error prone' guy is still making 15 more outs. Yes, that's an extreme example, but the people that are saying Yuni's defense 'isn't that bad' are really undervaluing how important the shortstop's defense is to a team.
  22. DuWayne Steurer
    Yuni's OBP, even with his recent hot streak, is still .283, lower than Escobar's .288 from last year. If that's not the definition of an 'automatic out', I don't know what is. And for the record, I think you're grossly selling short the difference in defense between the two.
  23. DuWayne Steurer
    It seems to me that sometimes people expect a .300/.450/.750 OPS player to have a .300/.450/.750 OPS slash line every month. Every poor streak is an indication that someone sucks, and a hot streak is an indicator that something has changed, or the player has 'turned it around'. I don't think Yuni has changed, he's having a somewhat predictable hot streak. He's a crappy fielding, .700-ish OPS shortstop who has very poor plate discipline. It does 'seem' like he's not swinging at garbage lately, but it's probably just perception being skewed by the fact that he's hitting lights out for the last month and a half or so. When a crappy hitter has a good month such as he has, the crappy swings and poor plate coverage tend to get overlooked, or downright dismissed. He is what he is, and obviously at this point there's no better options for this season. I hope he stays hot long enough that his offense from this point forward covers up to some degree his terrible defense, but in no way do I want the Brewers picking up his option next year.
  24. DuWayne Steurer
    He's not a gritty battler? I have no idea, honestly.
  25. DuWayne Steurer
    Good gracious that's an awful lineup. I realize with Weeks and Hart out, there's not much to play around with, but why does RRR continue to try to squeeze Kotsay into run producing spots in the order? I don't care about 'protection', that's an overblown myth. I DO want someone hitting behind the .400 OBP cleanup guy who might have a chance to drive him in though.
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