DuWayne Steurer

RISP numbers skew wildly from year to year for just about every player, and 31 at bats is a pretty small sample to base a decision like that on at any rate. Chances are, if Zaun's a better hitter, in a given year, he'll be a better hitter with RISP as well.

I would draw the line well below 8 years/135. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/frown.gif I didn't want him, and I'm glad we didn't try.

I'm not at all excited about having Roberts, but I'd rather have thim than Pierre, if I was forced to choose. Pierre has better range, but Roberts is a better "fielder", and he can't help but have a better arm. And he has the extra addes bonus in that he's willing to take a walk to get on base. Roberts' OBP the last 2 years is .356 and .360. He still presents the same issues as Pierre in the power department, mainly that you'll get none at all.

No thanks. Hall's "actual" value to the Brewers is not really known yet, as all we have to put him in LF at this point is conjecture. There's no guarantee that he'll be there, just a "maybe" from Melvin based on a handful of games played in Japan.

You shouldn't alter SLG% or anything else to account for stolen bases. A single and a stolen base is not the same as a double. A double advances runners 2, and sometimes 3 bases. A single advances them one, and sometimes 2. And if you're going to count a single and a stolen base as doubles, you absolutely must take the caught stealing's off of the OBP. And the batting average. And the SLG%. Because every out on the basepaths he makes would take away from each of those categories, if that's how you want to count it. Leaving Pierre's 2006 line looking like this...... .263/.303/.422 That's still a mighty ugly line. So the 20 times he got caught stealing essentially lowers his practical OBP to .303. Sabremetrically speaking, stolen bases are a grossly overrated stat. Over the years, the best formulas show that every 7 stolen bases creates one run that *otherwise would not have score*. Not every stolen base results in the runner scoring, and not every stolen base results in a run that wouldn't have come in anyways. Conversely, every 4 times you are caught stealing, you cost your team one run that otherwise would have scored. Meaning that Pierre's 58 steals created approximately 8.5 runs, and his 20 caught cost his team 5 runs, for a whopping net gain of 3.5 runs. Playing the sabre game, that's less than half a win for an entire season. And many have argued that a base stealer on base is detrimental to the batter. That's neither here nor there, as it's tough to argue one way or the other. But what's not tough to argue is the value of a base stealer. Historically speaking, teams that steal a lot don't score more runs than teams that don't, unless they just don't ever get caught stealing. Yes, situationally speaking it's nice to have a guy that can steal a base in a tight game. But it's not so nice that it can be used to justify a leadoff guy who carries a sub .330 OBP. I'd rather have a guy like Brady Clark leading off (and never stealing) than a guy like Juan Pierre, and that's really not saying much.

No thank you. Gabe Gross is likely to outperform him as a 4th outfielder at this point.

I wouldn't be against it, but we have 5 better options (IMO) Sheets. Staying healthy. Capuano. Solid # 2. Davis. Proven innings eater, and at this point, probably very similar to Maddux, and cheaper. Bush. On the verge of a breakout, similar to Capuano's, again, in my opinion. Villanueva. Showed a lot in his 50+ innings last year, and I think this year he will be a better pitcher than Maddux.

Dellucci has had 2 nice years after a career's worth of mediocrity. I'd be concerned that these last few years (especially as he's going to be 33 on opening day) are an anomoly. I hate to say this, because it's generally not my philosophy, but if the Brewers are going to upgrade a COF spot, it needs to be with someone better than David Dellucci.

I'm a loser!

There's going to be a GM out there that overvalues speed and the ability to to bunt, and pay him 6-7 mil or more per. He's not bad for what he is, but he gets paid way more than his production warrants.

We used to have Craig Counsell, a postseason legend, and where did he get us? The funny thing about that is Counsell's post season OPS is .681, with a .245 batting average. What it all basically amounts to is this. If you get a clutch hit in a key game in a playoff series, you can live off it forever.

Podsednik? The guy who hasn't had a .700 OPS in 4 years? He got caught half the time stealing this year. That's a detriment to your offense. No thanks.

I could go either way. Dunn's a terrible defender, and he sure isn't going to be playing 1st for us. Like others, I wouldn't give up much for a one year guy.

I doubt the Yankees would have any interest in Koskie (if healthy). He doesn't make 10 million per year. If you guess that A-rod would still cost between 13-15 million per year after what the Yanks pick up, I would just rather spend that money in free agency and not have to give up guys like Braun, Inman, Rogers, etc.... For this to be worth doing we have to shed a considerable amount of salary.

Comparing Hall to Krynzel just isn't fair. Hall came out of absolutely nowhere. There's thousands of guys who have mediocre minor league numbers, and then flop. There's a few who have mediocre numbers in the minors, and then come up and do what Hall did. It's not an apt comparison because it's pretty rare that a guy who hit as poorly as Hall did at AAA comes up and becomes one of the best offensive performers in the league at his position. Not to say that Krynzel "can't", but using Hall as the example just doesn't work.

What's the over/under for league-minimum earner Corey Hart? I'd say it's probably right around there. Hart also stole 31 bases last year in 2/3 of a season in AAA. I'm not saying Hart will have a better year than Soriano per se, but that he's got a darn good shot at Soriano's career average OPS. I don't know what someone like BP or BA would rate Corey for this year, but my best guess is that he'll put up something like a .800-.825 OPS playing every day. Soriano will probably put up .850 or better for a few more years, but his speed is going to start to decline (41 steals, caught 17 times) and this year was the first time he ever drew more than 40 walks. Batting in a better lineup (hypothetically in front of Hall, Fielder and such) I doubt he gets as many free passes.

I'm late to the party, but I'm just going to say one thing. If Doug puts 25% of the payroll into one guy, he better be more than a career .835 OPS guy (with a pretty bad .325 OBP) who's already 30. I like Soriano for what he is, but just like Carlos Lee, he is not a franchise player.

The Hank Blalock that had a .726 OPS this year, with 16 homers in 640+ plate appearances? In Texas? THAT Hank Blalock? They want him to replace A-Rod? At this point I wouldn't want Blalock for OUR 3rd baseman, unless he was at a huge discount. His BA and SLG have gone down each of the last 4 years, and his OPS away from Texas the last 4 years is .695. Over rated.

The way people drive in parking lots, I don't blame parents at all for not wanting their kids walking from the car to the door.

I swear to god movies on TNT have a half hour worth of commercials per hour. It's terrible. The rock/metal station out of Rockford (104.9) is pretty bad with commercials. I'll bet in an average hour they manage to squeeze in 7 or 8 songs. I know commercials pay for a lot of things, but I'm paying a pretty penny for cable TV (and satellite isn't exactly cheap either). I need tivo.

Half my co-workers very casually sauntering onto the jobsite at 7:05 or later every morning, and then having the same time card as me at the end of the week.

Cappy had given up 2 hits, and hadn't thrown 90 pitches yet. It was a no-brainer to leave him in. Can't blame Yost there.

Shaqkobefan99 I saw him in there the other day too, but figured after everyone else had mentioned it, a mod had taken care of it, so I didn't say anything.

it's an insult to the game of baseball to consider your team a contender with that horrible of a showing on the road. The '87 Twins went 29-53 on the road. They were contenders. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif

Who thinks we should really just give up? Even when they get mathematically eliminated, I hope like hell our players don't give up.