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DuWayne Steurer

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Everything posted by DuWayne Steurer

  1. Part of me wonders if they didn't find a way to use a little juicier ball tonight just to make the game (potentially) more fun/interesting/ and tilted toward offense. Part of me wouldn't care if that were the case. Most of me knows that they probably didn't do that.
  2. Anderson with an absolute monster walk off. What a fun game to watch.
  3. Judge and stanton both hitting 2 run bombs of off Hendricks in the 9rh inning with 2 outs to take the lead. Wow.
  4. And..... I'm ok with that. I just don't think it's fair to get super down on Urias either. If we had an average 1B over there, some (not all) of these throwing errors would likely just be "tough throws dug out of the dirt" and turned into outs. A good or average 1B doesn't get noticed a lot. A bad one or below average one makes the rest of your infielders look worse, becuase he's not snagging a lot of those borderline catchable throws that turn into errors on those other guys. 1B defense is still pretty dang important. Guy is involved in 8 - 9 -10 plays a game. Urias had 7 errors at 3rd before today. I wonder how many were with Hiura at 1st? I think it would take a bit of digging to find that. What I can say is that both B-R and fangraphs don't like the Brewers 1B defensively. Of the guys that have played 1B for the Brewers, only Shaw and Billy McKinney grade out positive on fangraphs, and Shaw alone on B-R. And I'm kinda over Shaw... Tellez is a DH, so is Vogelbach (seirously, can he even bend over?) and Hiura should be a DH. Escobar is a 3B and Jace Peterson is a utility guy who's not played a lot of 1B before.
  5. And..... I'm ok with that. I just don't think it's fair to get super down on Urias either. If we had an average 1B over there, some (not all) of these throwing errors would likely just be "tough throws dug out of the dirt" and turned into outs. A good or average 1B doesn't get noticed a lot. A bad one or below average one makes the rest of your infielders look worse, becuase he's not snagging a lot of those borderline catchable throws that turn into errors on those other guys. 1B defense is still pretty dang important. Guy is involved in 8 - 9 -10 plays a game.
  6. Not taking the blame off of Urias, but that's also what you get when you play a guy out of position at 1B because "first base is easy".
  7. Peterson has raised his from .751 to .814. Granted, he's at only 178 PA's, but that's still quite a jump in one day.
  8. I'm shocked that someone with a .937 fielding percentage at third this year is above average. He's not Ryan Braun bad but he makes a ton of errors. He has seven errors at third base. The League average fielding percentage at third base is 956. So in a similar amount of time, a league average third baseman would probably have five errors instead of seven, so two less errors. He's played 44 games over there. Can probably extrapolate that out to about 25 errors over a full season. A league average third baseman would probably make 15 to 18. He's also getting to more balls than a league average third baseman because of his range.
  9. Chris Davis retired. Gets the Orioles off the hook for the last year and few months of his contract.
  10. I could say that you're 83% of people don't know who Willie Adames is take is comical, but I won't do that. I'm going to guess most people who don't watch baseball can drive past a billboard and see Christian yelich or Ryan Braun's face and not know who it is. They probably know that he's a Milwaukee Brewer and that's probably about it. The same for Willy adamas or Tyrone Taylor or Justin topa. The thing is, I don't even disagree that a guy like Christian yelich or Ryan Braun can drive ad revenue for a team like the Brewers. They just shouldn't be throwing out a contract for $200 million plus with that as part of the driver. I don't expect owners to operate at a loss to put a winning team on the field. I think some fans feel like this is just a hobby for the owners and their main driving force behind owning pro sports teams is to win titles. Obviously, like any business, the goal is to make money. Signing guys to two and 300 million dollar plus deals that expire in their late 30s, or in some cases their 40s, is almost always bad business. Joey votto. That's one guy who's still performing at a high level. I can probably think of a few off the top of my head if given a few minutes. It's bad business. Yes, most people were pretty excited the day the deal was announced because hey, superstars don't sign long-term deals for the Brewers. But here we are. The inevitable decline just happened sooner rather than later. Maybe we will get lucky and he'll bounce back and have a couple 850 OPS seasons where he can be a passable middle of the order bat before he truly regresses into a bottom of the order or a bench bat. But it's just bad business, especially for a team like the Brewers. I think we look back at Ryan Braun and say hey, it wasn't that bad of a deal.... Because guys just don't spend entire careers with one team anymore. Even with the scandal and everything else, he's our guy. His deal never financially crippled the team. It never kept us from going out and getting other pieces. Maybe yelich's deal won't do that either. But maybe it will. None of us really know what kind of jersey sales and add revenue and other things happened behind the scenes with these guys. I'm 100% positive that they're on field performance isn't the only driver behind contracts like this, sure. But I had revenue shouldn't be anything more than a tiny fraction of a percentage of why a general manager and an owner sign guys into their late 30s for huge dollars. There's no amount of ad revenue that can make up for a decline once a guy hits 32 or 33 or in Christian yelich's case, 29.
  11. I was pretty clear that attendance is just one component of this, which yes, tracks more closely with winning than any single player. For reasons that are borderline not really what this forum does, Christian Yelich is really valuable to the Brewers, more so than Willy Adames or Jesus Aguilar. This is sort of exactly what I was talking about. Being good at baseball is just where those partnerships start, but advertisers have all kinds of ways of quantifying this (please don't bring up Giannis; he is a transcendent once in a millennia darling) People who follow the Brewers closely know Willy Adames. My wife has no clue who he is. I could probably round up a lot of men who consider themselves Brewers fans who couldn't tell me anything other than "oh yeah, I hear he's doing pretty good" and couldn't tell you what position he plays. I'd guess more than 5/6 Milwaukee couldn't pick his face out of lineup. Some of that change with time but he is unlikely ever to reach the star power of Braun or Yeli. I work in this field every day so I feel close to it. I know you guys scoff at the idea that Yelich on a billboard for Associated Bank matters, but there is the reason these brands pay millions of dollars to do it, and it is not to get hardcore baseball fans who know Adames is better in their doors. Yelich is a well-spoken All-American guy that any brand would love to have. I'm not saying that Adames or any other guy on the roster isn't, but they just don't come close to his brand power. All that said, Yelich is not playing well enough now to off-set that. But Ryan Braun was, IMO. In my experience, this particular forum is just far too analytical and baseball-minded to have this conversation, it pretty much always has been, but the high-level baseball discussion is sort of this place's calling card. I think everyone, or most everyone that posts here is well aware of the economics of baseball and understands the value of having a guy who can bring in advertising and merchandising dollars. Just because the forum doesn't skew that way doesn't mean the people here aren't aware of the economic side of that sort of thing. I also think that you underestimate the common fan or casual fans knowledge of guys like Tyrone Taylor or Willy adamas. Most of the guys I work with are what I would label as casual fans, and to say that five out of six people wouldn't be able to pick his face out of a lineup I think is just false. It's a hyperbolic statement made to make a point, and I get that. I think most people, especially the guys and ladies that post here, especially here, are very knowledgeable about the economics of baseball, and understand how important advertising dollars are to the Brewers especially the Brewers. At what point does having Christian yelich's All-American, well-spoken face on a billboard have value that overrides his poor play? At what point does the added revenue from billboards and television and radio advertisements and jersey sales override the amount they can't spend on other good players because they are spending too much money on his 670 OPS when he's 35? It's not just added revenue, it's a roster spot, and a manager who will feel obligated to play him as much as possible because of the amount of money that is being spent on him.
  12. I don't think anybody's saying his on base percentage it's great. Just that it's a silver lining. At least he's still getting on base. No, he's not getting paid to draw walk. Everybody knows that I think what it amounts to is people are still trying to hopefully find a way to use him, keep him in the lineup, and hopefully not provide negative value to the offense.
  13. https://247sports.com/Article/Wisconsin-Badgers-basketball-Greg-Gard-secret-recording-Jonathan-Davis-168958722/ Soph guard Jon Davis has some things to say. If you don't click the link I'll bullet point it. "Whoever leaked the recording shouldn't have done it" Coach Gard definitely has some communication issues but he's working on it and getting much better. He doesn't say much about Tucker other than he's not with the program anymore.
  14. Save, since the tying run was at the plate when he came in. If he goes out, then it's not a save situation for whoever comes in.
  15. I"d say he needs a few days to just not be around baseball, but he just had that.
  16. I mean they're all meaningless for them. That was kinda the point.
  17. Cubs are gonna use their entire bullpen in a very meaningless (for them) 7 inning game.
  18. In 1983 Tony Armas had 36 homers while hitting .218 with a .707 OPS. Closest guy I could think of as comparable off the top of my head. I went back and looked up Gorman Thomas' OPS and was shocked at how high it was during his time with the Brewers (except for 1983). Stormin' Gorman walked a lot. Walks were anathema to Tony Armas.
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