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Harold Hutchison

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Everything posted by Harold Hutchison

  1. Harold Hutchison
    Brown, Supak, and Owenby at Carolina aren't bad, either.
  2. Harold Hutchison
    Hmm... suppose this was the deal: Mariners get: 1B/LF Eric Thames Brewers get: LHP James Pazos (think 2016 Corey Knebel, but left-handed) LHP JP Sears (think someone who could fill the Hader/Andrew Miller role) C/1B Onil Pena (catcher of the future) Brewers sign C Jon Lucroy, DFA C Jett Bandy and RHPs Oliver Drake, Yovanni Gallardo, and Aaron Wilkerson Add LHP Wade Miley, OF Troy Stokes, and UT Nate Orf to 40-man Here is how the 25-man develops cf: Cain 2b: Villar lf: Yelich 1b: Braun 3b: Shaw rf: Santana c: Lucroy ss: Arcia pitcher bench: Pina, Aguilar, Sogard, Perez, Broxton rotation: Anderson, Davies, Chacin, Suter, Woodruff bullpen: Knebel, Hader, Pazos, Albers, Logan, Jeffress, Guerra
  3. Harold Hutchison
    Hummel, I think is a very good prospect, at least from the offensive stats I've seen. He's a switch-hitter with power and good OBP skills. I'd rank him higher than McDowell, for sure. I think Stokes is more likely AAA-bound, with Coulter in AA. Jay Feliciano is another prospect I like - a big power bat. Carolina has some prospects I've really liked (Gideon, Wilson, Hiura, Carroll, Owenby). Aviles has speed, but just can't get on base.
  4. Harold Hutchison
    In fairness, Garza had a very good first half until he tore up his shoulder and tried to pitch through what he thought was only soreness. Didn't know about the injury, but the point about the final numbers is still valid, I think. Whether it was injury, age-related decline, Garza's 4.65 ERA over four years in Milwaukee was a #4/5 start performance that the Brewers paid $12.5 million a year for. If Woodruff posts that, at least the Crew is only paying $600,000 a year. AlB had it best: You don't pay a good-field no-hit shortstop like Royce Clayton $2 million a year in the 2003 timeframe, and you don't pay a #4/5 starter who averages a 4.65 ERA $12.5 million a year from 2014-2017.
  5. Harold Hutchison
    I agree. Woodruff is a better option than Garza or some of the others that were sent out to start. Even if he has Matt Garza numbers, he's only being paid about $600K a year.
  6. Harold Hutchison
    Johnson "fixing" Miley has now opened up something very interesting. It may be that Miley and Suter start 2018 in the rotation, Woodruff goes to AAA as the 1st call-up. Anderson Davies Suter Chacin Miley
  7. Harold Hutchison
    This misses one point: Batters adjust to pitchers, but pitchers also adjust to batters. Who's to say that Suter, as he learns hitters, doesn't become more able to pitch deep into games, and becomes not a 4/5 starter, but a 2/3? I think he has earned the opportunity to try to push deeper into games. We still have the relief options to back him up if it doesn't work out.
  8. Harold Hutchison
    My first choice would be to extend Knebel - say, six years, $39 million. He's that good, and I'd rather have that known quantity. If not, then look for the deal.
  9. Harold Hutchison
    He's shown the ability to improve... and I wouldn't be surprised if he could improve the hit tool some. He's also been young for his leagues, about a -1.6 compared to the league's average age. I'm less worried about that. On the flip side, he could become a 3TO+speed player.
  10. Harold Hutchison
    Which of the guys in the bottom third of the top 30 prospects do you folks think will break out into top 10 status? I think Troy Stokes is the big one. He erupted with more power, and I think the plate discipline will improve the hit tool. He'll be the Great Value Christian Yelich. On the pitching side, I think Zach Brown could rocket very high. From the MLB report, it seems he has four pitches - a two-seam fastball, a four-seam fastball, a curve, and a change.
  11. Harold Hutchison
    At least Santana does have a strong arm in RF. It isn't Phillips-strong, but he does have that ability ... fielding the ball, on the other hand ... Santana is a good athlete, and he is young enough to potentially improve in the OF, as long as he doesn't bulk up too much. Having terrific defensive outfielders in Yelich and Cain out there would mask some of Santana's shortcomings as well. While I'm still in favor of trading him if the return is there, I am warming to the idea of seeing if he can stay healthy and replicate what he did last year. I am still waiting to see how they are going to clear up this positional traffic jam, though. Just use an outfield rotation, sprinkled with DH and 1B games for Braun. Braun, Yelich, Cain, and Santana would all get about 130 starts in that scenario. Plenty of rest, plenty of off days, etc. If Eric Thames regresses, Braun takes more time at first. The key would be to get a decent return for Aguilar. Adam Lind landed three low-level lottery tickets. Jason Rogers brought back a Supak-Broxton package. The Mariners would be a perfect fit... the question is, can Stearns swing that deal? Either Pazos, or a combo of young fireballers (LHPs Matt Clancy ad JP Sears and RHP Seth Elledge is my ideal package).
  12. Harold Hutchison
    You made so much sense ... up until this last part. Bruan to 3B again is never, ever going to happen. A very occasional start is far different than playing every day. Right now, if I'm Stearns, I'm working the phone with Seattle in particular. Their 1B situation is such they at least need a right-handed complement for Vegelbach at that position. JP Sears, Matt Clancy, and Seth Elledge would seem to be a fair package of lottery tickets in return unless I could get them to go Aguilar-for-Pazos even up. Pazos looks like a lefty Corey Knebel. Either way, it's a win-win for the Crew. Bullpen arms four years from now, or a lights-out pen in the 2018-2021 window.
  13. Harold Hutchison
    The Brewers have all of Spring Training to see what may happen. Jesus Aguilar is the odd man out at this point. That said... just swing the kind of deal they got with Adam Lind, and now, the Crew can go with an "outfield rotation" of Braun-Yelich-Cain-Santana all season long. 162 games in a season. The Crew has 10 in AL parks. All four of the rotation plays with Braun as the DH. Then, there will be the 27 or so games that Braun will spell Thames at first. So, you really only need the "outfield rotation" for 135 games. That gives everyone about 130 starts a season. That rotation issue can even be eased some more since Travis Shaw had 142 starts at third, meaning someone picked up 20 last year. Maybe work Braun there for 4-6 games when you want a more potent bat than Hernan Perez or Eric Sogard?
  14. Harold Hutchison
    The crew doesn't have to make any move. The only loss they seem to be staring in the face is Aguilar - and even then, going to a seven-man pen would reduce that risk. But if the Crew can find a low-level prospect or three for Aguilar, that's perfect. Seattle needs a DH/1B who bats right-handed. Aguilar fills that need for them. Say the Crew gets LHP Matt Clancy, LHP JP Sears, and RHP Seth Elledge in return.
  15. Harold Hutchison
    With the DH and Braun at first, here's what I worked out a bit: Just in the outfield, with 162 games, and three OF positions, each of Braun-Santana-Yelich-Cain could get 121 starts ina "rotation system, with two games left over. Plus, there are games at AL Parks - 2 at KC, 3 at Minnesota, 2 at Cleveland, 3 at the White Sox. On those ten games, all four play, no sweat. So, it's really 152 games, each with three outfielders. Which, if divided equally, means 114 starts in the OF, plus the 10 DH games that all four play. If Thames can give the Crew 125 starts at first, that leaves 27 non-DH games where Braun plays first, and all of Santana-Yelich-Cain play OF. So, we have 93 "rotation" starts for each, plus 10 DH games, plus 27 "Thames sits" games. That comes to 130 starts for each, plus three games left over. Think about it: Braun splits between LF (93), DH (10), and 1B (27), Yelich between CF (61) and LF (69), Cain between CF (101) and RF (32), and Santana in RF (130). Now, if the Crew really wants to, they could hold on to Aguilar and go with a seven-man bullpen.
  16. Harold Hutchison
    I like Nashville as it is closer to Biloxi and a more neutral park, but if the Crew can't get back to Nashville, then Las Vegas would be okay for the reasons others have outlined.
  17. Harold Hutchison
    Yes. He's versatile, and his bat is not a black hole. With this eight-man pen business, he's arguably the cornerstone of the bench.
  18. Harold Hutchison
    Agreed. Best to see if he can become an Andrew Miller.
  19. Harold Hutchison
    Sign Walker to a deal at $7.5 million for 2018, with a team option for 2019 at $7.5 million, and another for 2020 at $5 million? Use him at 2B, have Villar and Perez on the bench, and go with a seven-man pen?
  20. Harold Hutchison
    That deal sure worked out well... Perez, TBH, did emerge as a very critical member of the bench. I like the versatility. He can play 7 positions on the field reasonably well, he's got an OK bat, honestly, I'd try to extend him for six years at $21 million ($3 million for 2019-2021, $4 million for 2022-2024).
  21. Harold Hutchison
    Isn't Kodi Rule 5 eligible after this season, or is it after 2019? I guess my point is, we can't be patient and protect every talented player we have just in the hopes of them developing into our best case scenario. I don't think Kodi would be limited to LOOGY status, maybe more of a power reliever like Hader, but if his future is in the pen, that's something we want to try to figure out before he becomes Rule 5 eligible, or we'll have a tough decision on our hands if he's still struggling as a starter. I have to agree. He just isn't going to cut it as a starter. If the Rule V was not a consideration, I'd try that, but there are only so many spots on the 40-man, and there are some guys closer to the majors (Derby, Ventura, Perrin, Ponce, Ortiz, Burnes) who could be viable options. Shift him to the pen, get another Hader.
  22. Harold Hutchison
    .. and that was actually my follow up. If we, as rumored, are going to be looking for a pitcher at the deadline if we are in it .. I'm wondering which guy we could sell high on that is having a monster AAA season. Stokes is a good pull although not for this deadline I don't think? Stokes has quietly developed a good offensive package that reminds me of Yelich. He's got OBP skills and speed - we saw that all through his career. Now, he's added power. While's he's mostly played left, he's been on the same teams as Corey Ray, Monte Harrison, and Trent Grisham, which has generally left him no place on defense than left field. He's had a combined 55 games in CF and RF with no errors, and an assist. If he explodes... I don't trade him. I keep him. I move Broxton, instead. Stokes may not be as flashy, but he's steadier.
  23. Harold Hutchison
    I'd agree on that with Bubba Derby, who did a decent job in a dozen or so starts at Colorado Springs. I'd like to see what he could do stretched out and not doing that bullpen/rotation shuffle. I'd also offer Davies an extension in the 6 year/$39-45 million range ($6/7 million a year for 2019-2021, $7/8 million for 2022-2024), maybe go up to 7 years/$48/$55 million ($6/7 million a year for 2019-2021, $7/8 million for 2022-2023, $8/9 million a year for 2024-2025). If you can't get that kind of deal, flip Davies, bring up the next young gun.
  24. Harold Hutchison
    Hader has the talent to be an elite reliever. I think it is a toss-up between Houser and Williams. Peralta is most likely for 2019, while Lopez could be a Turnbow type.
  25. Harold Hutchison
    Just in the outfield, with 162 games, and three OF positions, each of Braun-Santana-Yelich-Cain could get 121 starts, with two games left over. Plus, there are games at AL Parks - 2 at KC, 3 at Minnesota, 2 at Cleveland, 3 at the White Sox. On those ten games, all four play, no sweat. So, it's really 152 games, each with three outfielders. Which, if divided equally, means 114 starts in the OF, plus the 10 DH games. If Thames can give the Crew 125 starts at first, that leaves 27 non-DH games where Braun plays first, and all of Santana-Yelich-Cain play OF. So, we have 93 starts for each, plus 10 DH games, plus 27 "Thames sits" games. That's 130 starts for each, plus three games left over. If Thames gives the Crew 125 starts, and hits like he did, I'm OK with it.
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