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Harold Hutchison

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Everything posted by Harold Hutchison

  1. Harold Hutchison
    If that is the case, then I think that is the new Moneyball. I would take eight Cirillos every single day of the week over eight Moustakas (Moustaki? ). Cirillo per 162 games: *.296/.366/.796 *11 HR *73 RBI Moustakas per 162 games: *.252/.310/.751 *26 HR *80 RBI Stearns getting Urias to go with Yelich and Hiura does seem to suggest that is what the Brewers may be thinking. Look at Turang as well... the reason he dropped in the 2018 draft was the fact that expected power didn't materialize... but prior to being (prematurely?) promoted to A+, he did flash hit-for-average skills AND OBP skills. And as teams stopped stealing bases, the ability of a catcher to gun down the runner has been de-emphasized - that will be the next iteration of Moneyball. On the pitching side of things, with the emphasis on home runs... we will see a trend towards pitchers who can regularly induce ground balls. I'm looking at the acquisition of Yardley.
  2. Harold Hutchison
    Put it this way: McNeil could see a Yelich-style jump in his power stats. Smith might also benefit. Davis becomes a right-handed bat to slot between Yelich and McNeil. They all had an OPS+ of 134 or better. For Hader and Lutz... a good return. A 1-6 of Urias, Hiura, Yelich, Davis, McNeil, and Braun is not bad. I'm afraid you are vastly over-rating Mr. Jeff McNeil. Especially his power potential...He only had 28 HR in over 1600 minor league at bats and he will be 28 years old already in 2020. We have a season and a half of MLB data as well, and the power has jumped. Miller Park may help more. If I can get McNeil, Davis, and Smith for Hader-Lutz, that gives the Crew enough young guns to make a real run through 2024. Hiura, Urias, McNeil, and Davis are all team-controlled though 2024. Add Turang, maybe the Crew hits on some other players in later rounds...
  3. Harold Hutchison
    Put it this way: McNeil could see a Yelich-style jump in his power stats. Smith might also benefit. Davis becomes a right-handed bat to slot between Yelich and McNeil. They all had an OPS+ of 134 or better. For Hader and Lutz... a good return. A 1-6 of Urias, Hiura, Yelich, Davis, McNeil, and Braun is not bad.
  4. Harold Hutchison
    8 spot? True, but he is currently our lead-off. (or was anyway) Urias will likely take that spot. As it stands, Cain's injury-prone 2019 where he still is Gold Glove-caliber in the field may be the norm, and it's not bad, except for the fact that the Brewers pay an AAV of $16 million for it through 2022.
  5. Harold Hutchison
    As expected, Hernandez is a non-tender. I'd sign him in an instant.
  6. Harold Hutchison
    With a potential core of Woodruff, Hader, Yelich, Urias, and Hiura supplemented by Cain, Houser, Suter, Knebel, Pina, and Braun, the Brewers are in good shape in one sense. Braun comes off the books after 2020. The only "albatross" deal is Cain's, and he is still a Gold Glove CF. You can do worse in the 8 spot. In one sense, the biggest long-term question mark is Christian Yelich, and it's the "extend or trade" question. Dealing Hader might look like a step back, but if a Hader-Lutz-Garcia (a SS prospect) package brought in McNeil-Davis-Smith (BaseballTradeValues.com calls it a "minor overpay" for the Mets)... https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-17226/ You now have a lineup looking like this: ss: Urias 2b: Hiura rf: Yelich 3b: McNeil lf: Braun/Smith 1b: Davis/Smith c: Pina cf: Cain With five assets under control for five years, the Brewers can make a big run, then retool/rebuild.
  7. Harold Hutchison
    I would have preferred to be bored with Thames and Grandal on the roster...
  8. Harold Hutchison
    Plug McNeil in at third... you now have a 1-4 of Urias/Hiura/Yelich/McNeil... Sign Moose and Castellanos... Offense is set, and a combo of Perdomo/QTC/Andrews could very well provide much of what Hader did.
  9. Harold Hutchison
    Here's one idea with the Mets: BREWERS GET IF/OF Jeff McNeil ($44.7) C Patrick Mazeika ($0.8) 3B Mark Vientos ($13.2) METS GET: LHP Josh Hader ($48.3) OF Tristan Lutz ($7.8) Sign Castellanos as a free agent, and now, you have a lineup of: ss: Urias 2b: Hiura rf: Yelich 1b: Castellanos 3b: McNeil lf: Braun c: Pina cf: Cain
  10. Harold Hutchison
    Just say no. Isbel hit .233/.296 in Rk/A ball. He looked overmatched at A level. Kennedy would cost $16.4M! Waaay too expensive to even think about. For that kind of money Stearns could get Lyles and Bentances. If you want to move Arcia, then it's likely for a package like this - or something similar. A player in the same sort of situation, or a combination of a bad contract that may be sweetened with a lottery ticket or two.
  11. Harold Hutchison
    Well, this is a package BaseballTradeValues.com says would work: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-16991/ BREWERS GET: RHP Ian Kennedy OF Kyle Isbel ROYALS GET: SS Orlando Arcia Kennedy is expensive, but he has found a second life as a closer/reliever. Posted career-high 10.4 K/9 ratio, had 30 saves, and would be a nice insurance policy for Knebel. Isbel is an interesting CF prospect... may be looking to rebound after 2019.
  12. Harold Hutchison
    Shaw is the #2 comparison to Lamb, per baseball-reference. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/l/lambja01.shtml The good news - if you can call it that comes two ways: 1. Lamb's OPS+ has been 74 and 76 the last two years. Shaw's was 45. 2. He is projected to "Rebound" to a .764 OPS in 2020 The bad news: 1. Lamb's collapse has been sustained over two years 2. His batting average dropped below the Uecker line, even as OPS+ went up to 76 from 74. I'd take him on to a minor-league deal, NRI to spring training, with an opt-out after July 1.
  13. Harold Hutchison
    Vosler is very intriguing as a left-handed bat with good OBP skills, and some serious pop. I think he could sneak his way on as a productive member of the MLB team. Gettys has a powerful RH bat, but iffy OBP skills. Reed and Ruiz are interesting... anyone know if they are eligible for the minor-league portion of the Rule 5? Ruiz would be someone I'd take for that in a heartbeat. Reed's also interesting, and his OBP has taken a step up.
  14. Harold Hutchison
    From BaseballTradeValues.com: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-16936/ Brewers get: 2B/3B Tommy La Stella Angels get: OF Tristan Lutz It's viewed as a minor overpay by the Angels. That said... La Stella has a career OBP of .345, and has posted an OPS+ of 109 over the last three years.
  15. Harold Hutchison
    Seattle needs pitching and can trade from its depth at catcher where this year Tom Murphy posted a 126 wRC+ and 3.2 fWAR in only 76 games and utility man Austin Nola, a catcher by trade, posted a 114 wRC+ and 1.5 fWAR in only 79 games: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2019&month=0&season1=2019&ind=0&team=11&rost=&age=&filter=&players=&startdate=&enddate= Additionally, catcher Cal Raleigh is the seventh-ranked prospect in a healthy Seattle farm system: http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2019?list=sea Baseball Trade Values approves a trade of Ethan Small and Drew Rasmussen for Omar Narvaez: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-16900/ ... although the pitching-thin Brewers are unlikely to further deplete their farm system. I get Narvaez and Tim Beckham for Alex Claudio and Buddy Derby. https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-16933/
  16. Harold Hutchison
    It is a tough call. On the one hand, when he is on, he can produce a lot. If he produced in the form he did at Baltimore, a .777 OPS, then he is a decent option at third base or as the top sub off the bench. The question is... would he be willing to give Milwaukee another go after 2018?
  17. Harold Hutchison
    Grisham is someone I hate to see go. I get it: To get quality, the Brewers had to give quality - and with the error, it may have been for the best to get him a fresh start outside the NL Central. Still, I think he could have been the Crew's leadoff hitter with his OBP skills. Davies was solid - he could give you six innings. I like Lauer - I think he has upside. Urias - with OBP skills, he is miles better than Arcia as a #8 hitter if he hits as he did in 2019. Urias and Hiura, though, could easily be batting 1-2 for the next five years...
  18. Harold Hutchison
    Villar is, at the very least, a non-black hole. The Crew lost Grandal, they lost Pomeranz, both of whom they really should have made plays to bring back. Get Moose back to play first, use Villar at third, and they now are a decent catcher away from having no black holes in the lineup.
  19. Harold Hutchison
    Look, was Vizquel an all-time great? The answer is clearly, "No." I just don't think he warrants being in the Hall of Fame. There is, IMO, a far stronger case for Tommy John. The 288 career wins and 3.34 ERA are borderline on their own, but his biggest mark was for all baseball with the successful UCL transplant procedure that now bears his name. Either the Veterans Committee, the Modern Era Committee, or he Today's Game Committee need to rectify this omission ASAP.
  20. Harold Hutchison
    I hope it not Josh being moved A Hader/Lutz-for-Mejia/Morejon/Lauer deal would be a good one for the Crew, I think. Solidifies catcher for three years, and two more young starters, one of whom looks to be a potential ace/TOR.
  21. Harold Hutchison
    Pretty much agree, although Walker is an easy yes from me. I can see a case for Walker and Helton... But Vizquel? I don't see the case there - he played an impressive 24 years in the majors, but it's not HOF-worthy, IMO.
  22. Harold Hutchison
    Okay, Woodruff, Yelich, Hader and Hiura is all we got. I did say that they will likely try to piece together a good team this year, and when that happens I'll be optimistic once the games start. Right now is not that time though. Right now I want to turn those 4 guys into 8 guys like them by 2024, cuz getting to a WS (let alone winning a WS) just isn't going to happen with those 4 guys, spare parts and our current farm system. I don't look at it as doom and gloom, I look at it as optimism for 2023 and beyond! I don't think the Crew needs to do a total teardown, but some re-tooling is needed. Hader/Lutz for Mejia/Morejon/Lauer nets the Crew a solid catcher until Feliciano/Henry/Fry get to the majors, a Hader-esque replacement in Morejon (who could also join Woodruff in the rotation), and Lauer becomes another rotation option. Plus, the money saved could land an upgrade at SS like a non-tendered Cesar Hernandez. Bring back Moose to play 1B... make a run for Rendon... bring Thames back as the top 1B/LF/RF backup, add Gio and Miley to the mix... cf: Cain 2b: Hiura rf: Yelich 3b: Rendon 1b: Moustakas lf: Braun c: Mejia ss: Hernandez Pitcher Bench: Pina, Grisham, Shaw, Mathias, Thames rotation: Woodruff, Miley, Morejon, Davies, Lauer bullpen: Pomeranz, Knebel, Peralta, Suter, Houser, Yardley, J. Guerra, Gonzalez The other option could be Stephen Vogt instead of Thames, but that means accepting Shaw would have to cover the corner OF slots.
  23. Harold Hutchison
    Using BaseballTradeValues.com: BREWERS GET: C Mejia ($22.2 million) LHP Morejon ($23.8 million) SP Lauer ($16.5 million) PADRES GET: LHRP Hader ($48.3 million) OF Lutz ($7.8 million) Brewers come out ahead, and given how close Lauer and Morejon are to the majors, the Brewers may have extra cash lying around for upgrades. Mejia is also no black hole in the lineup. Yeah, stinks to give up Hader, but at worst, Morejon is 95% of what Hader does at major-league minimum. Or, he is a young ace who pairs with Woodruff. Lauer's solid. And the cash that frees up could land the Crew an upgrade at shortstop, or maybe puts the Crew in a position to make a move for Rendon at third.
  24. Harold Hutchison
    For $18.5 million, the Crew could bring back Lyles, Gio, and reunite with Miley. Combine with Woodruff and Davies for the top five, with Houser/Supak/Burnes/Brown in the wings. That becomes a very stable rotation, especially with a Pomeranz/Knebel/Peralta/Houser/Suter pen. Deal Hader to the Padres for a Mejia/Morejon/Lauer package - that secures a decent partner with Pina, and two more controllable options for the rotation or pen. Between QTC/Andrews/Perdomo, one or more can give us 85-90% of Hader for $500K, and then Thames can come back for about $5 million a year for two years, and the Crew can bring Moose back and come up with some package for Cesar Hernandez (or pluck him from free agency if he is non-tendered). cf: Cain/Grisham 2b: Hiura rf: Yelich lf: Braun/Grisham 3b: Moustakas/Encarnacion c: Mejia/Pina 1b: Thames/Encarnacion ss: Hernandez pitcher bench: Cain/Grisham/Braun, Pina/Mejia, Shaw, Encarnacion, Mathias rotation: Woodruff, Miley, Lyles, Davies, Gio bullpen: Knebel, Pomeranz, Suter, Peralta, Houser, Perdomo, J. Guerra, Yardley
  25. Harold Hutchison
    If they get Castro, then they need some sort of player who can be a third catcher... preferably who can primarily play other positions. Hernan Perez... welcome back to Milwaukee...
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