Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

Harold Hutchison

Brewer Fanatic Contributor
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,920

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Harold Hutchison

  1. Harold Hutchison
    At some point, the Brewers will see the window close, and they will need to re-tool/re-build. When will that be? Probably in the 2024-2028 timeframe, give or take a few seasons either way. That would be marked by a reduced payroll, so I don't see deferred compensation as being a huge problem. There would be few big-money players, and plenty of minor-league prospects who would, when they hit the big leagues, earn the minimum. Plus, with the way TV revenue and other things are shifting, the Crew could be paying $10 million and it would not be a huge issue.
  2. Harold Hutchison
    Are we bidding against ouselves here? No, I thought Oxy's deal was too low, and had too few years. Grandal wants the payday. He's earned it. I think his offensive profile - including superb OBP skills (evidenced over the last six years) - is going to stay solid. The big question is managing wear and tear. Now, I think the Crew can do the wear and tear management with an eventual move of Grandal to first base. Grandal serves as primary catcher (100 games there 40-50 at 1B, Pina getting the other 62) for 2020-2022, eventually yielding to the Feliciano/Henry duo, and playing more and more 1B. I am banking that I can defer some of the money on the deal, and that Grandal will be amenable to an eventual move to first. But an AAV of $15M isn't going to bring Yaz back.
  3. Harold Hutchison
    Then you don't "get". The Brewers are under no pressure or obligation to deal Hader this offseason. If he's dealt, it isn't going to be for a blocked 1B as the headliner, and a bunch of "maybes" years away from the majors. It would be for a haul that includes either super high-end youngsters or a package of high-upside ML-ready players. If you don't see offers like that, simply don't engage. Were I the Brewers GM, the Mets would need to offer a package that started with Jeff McNeil and Dom Smith, plus minor-league pitchers Andrew Mitchell and Garrison Bryant, and in return they get Hader and Lucas Erceg.
  4. Harold Hutchison
    Up it to 5/$90M, and you might pull it off - albeit if you can get Grandal to defer the payments. $10 million bonus $16 million/year for 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024.
  5. Harold Hutchison
    After looking over his stats at Baseball-Reference, I'm coming around a bit to Grandal spending a fair bit of time at 1B. Over the last six years, he averaged 68 walks against 419 ABs. That is really good, and I don't think that will fade away. If anything, recent seasons have shown Grandal has honed that tool very well. To me, the issue is managing the wear and tear, and that means limiting the time behind the plate. If he plays 100 games at catcher, with Pina/Nottingham/new acquisitions handling the other 60 in 2020 and 2021, that is good enough for me. In 2022 and 2023, with Feliciano/Henry/Fry coming up, Grandal can shift to being more of a 1B/DH and serve as the third C.
  6. Harold Hutchison
    That does look like the situation now... The presence of QTC, Angel Perdomo, and Clayton Andrews does mitigate the risk, and Brent Suter can also fill the multi-inning role and be very reliable in his own way - not the eye-popping K numbers.
  7. Harold Hutchison
    Honestly, Castellanos wouldn't be a bad option. Yelich in left, Cain in center, Castellanos in right isn't bad... and Grisham becomes the 4th OF, with Braun at first and serving as a backup LF/RF. The Crew would have to find a trade partner for Ben Gamel, though. If that doesn't work, then maybe see if they can't get Thames back on a two-year, $10 million deal with a team option for 2022.
  8. Harold Hutchison
    .851 .890 .877 .821 .820 .681 .733 .841 Those are the OPS figures of the primary 1B for the Brewers since Prince Fielder's last season with the team as determined by Baseball-Reference.com. Aside from the Juan Francisco and Mark Reynolds runs in 2013/2014, the team has seen decent production from their primary 1Bs. While I feel that Thames was proven, maybe the Crew can get him back on a multi-year deal at a lower AAV than his option.
  9. Harold Hutchison
    I'll admit, Chase was a bad fit in a juiced-ball era. Spanberger could be Eric Thames level, and he has some tie to figure it out. He did jump from full-season A to AA. It will either work or it won't.
  10. Harold Hutchison
    Encarnacion has a higher floor, but Healy could improve. The former gets a one-year deal for about $7.5 million. The latter gets a minor-league deal with NRI, and will most likely platoon with Erceg in San Antonio.
  11. Harold Hutchison
    Per Twitter: If this is where Hader's salary will go, then perhaps it is time to look at a deal. The Brewers have Clayton Andrews and QTC, a pair of high-K pitchers, in the minors plus Angel Perdomo and Brent Suter on the 40-man, and can re-sign Drew Pomeranz.
  12. Harold Hutchison
    If the Crew can get some decent return, they should take the deal. If he is a left-handed McGehee, the Crew can't afford to wait for a rebound.
  13. Harold Hutchison
    Who in particular are you thinking of to take Moose's place at 3B? Does a thirdbaseman who is an "on base machine" even exist in FA or the trade market at a price you're looking for? If the Phillies non-tender him, Cesar Hernandez (https://www.mlb.com/player/cesar-hernandez-514917?stats=career-r-hitting-mlb&year=2019) might be the OBP machine you are looking for - over his career it's .352. Career OPS of .733. I initially pitched him as an upgrade over Arcia, but he could be intriguing at third as well.
  14. Harold Hutchison
    With Hiura's arrival, my instinct is to have Yelich bat third, especially if Grisham is leading off. Preserves a L-R-L top three of the order, and it not only gives Yelich a good RBI opportunity, it also protects Hiura and gives him pitches to hit.
  15. Harold Hutchison
    In no particular order: Yasmani Grandal, C - 3 years, $67.5 million w/$15 million deferred Eigoro Mogi, SS - 4 years, $12 million Ha-Seong Kim, IF - 5 years, $15 million Jordan Lyles, RHP- 3 years, $22.5 million Drew Pomeranz, LHP - 3 years, $18 million Mike Moustakas, IF - 2 years, $20 million, team option for $12 million, $2.5 million buyout Gio Gonzalez, LHP - 3 years, $18 million Madison Bumgarner, LHP - $3 years, $45 million
  16. Harold Hutchison
    If you are going to throw darts at the dart board and hope something hits you might as well just hang on to Arcia. A proven upgrade is what is needed otherwise it's probably not worth it. We know who Arcia is, though. Someone like Mori or Kim looks to be better on several grounds - particularly their walk rate.
  17. Harold Hutchison
    They can make Thames and Encarnacion work. Encarnacion put in an inning at second base in 2019, and he has primarily played first since 2012 with some time in left and third. Encarnacion could play third if need be against lefties. He could be at first or in left when Grisham is either sitting or if Cain needs a day off. Or he gives Thames a day off.
  18. Harold Hutchison
    Gregarious is expensive, and I'm a little worried about the OBP. Career low of .276 in 2019 - Orlando Arcia's was at .283 for 2019. He is an upgrade over Arcia in terms of power. He averaged 19 home runs a year from 2015 to 2019. His career OPS is 90 points higher than Arcia's, but the bulk of that is in SLG. I'd prefer to try to pry Eigoro Mogi (https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=mogi--000eig) from NPB (.348 career OBP, .767 career OPS) or Ha-Seong Kim (https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=kim---001ha-) from KBO (.368 career OBP, .858 career OPS). Both play SS, both have demonstrated superb OBP skills, and both will arguably be cheaper than Didi.
  19. Harold Hutchison
    The implementation of these rules probably explains why Hernan Perez was outrighted this time. Not enough IP to go two-way, and they can't designate him a pitcher.
  20. Harold Hutchison
    I really hope that these new rules get ditched after 2020. This is just foolish.
  21. Harold Hutchison
    I'll tell you what I think: He still racks up a .338 OBP while in the Carolina League at age 19, 3.6 years BELOW league average. He is a walk machine.
  22. Harold Hutchison
    Three of the top four comparisons to Grandal through age 30 are Todd Hundley, Charles Johnson, and Jarrod Saltamachia. Hundley had a falloff due to injury after age 31, never played more than 100 games. Saltamacchia also fell off, but was never at the heights Grandal was. Johnson actually held up through ages 31 and 32. His age 33 year saw a drop, but a sample size of 55 ABs... so? The jump in the walk rate is intriguing. A one-off? Or not? Grandal came to Milwaukee for the high AAV. I'd go 3 years, $67.5 million, with $15 million deferred. Maybe a higher AAV can offset a three-year deal.
  23. Harold Hutchison
    Fry's also played some OF and even SS in Wisconsin. The bat's playing well, so far.
  24. Harold Hutchison
    Seager, like Grandal and Yelich, would probably benefit greatly from playing half the time at Miller Park. It would be an excellent upgrade. To me the two issues are: 1. Cost to acquire (in terms of prospects). 2. Injury history (which always gets worse with the Crew). If he can be had for no more than Gray/Supak, I'd go for the deal. But if it goes higher, I'd rather send Arcia out there on Opening Day than to sell the farm for Seager.
  25. Harold Hutchison
    It does? What specifically are you looking at? Historically, at least statistically, the record suggests he should very much remain a relief pitcher. They may try him again as a starter but the more likely path is that they push him up the system as a reliever. It is a small sample size, but if he can stretch out, that would be a huge add. On the other hand, he could end up a right-handed Hader. Valuable either way, but a future rotation stud is a very rare gem.
×
×
  • Create New...