endaround
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Everything posted by endaround
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Except he doesn't. And the fact that his K rate against left handed major league pitcher is 18.5% is really worrisome. His BABIP will fall to a sustainable .300 or so and then you have a .216/.300/.316 hitter versus left handed pitching. Yes he's better than Gennett versus left handed but that doesn't mean he should be a target.
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Adam Lind acquired from Toronto for Marco Estrada
endaround replied to markedman5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Very true. However, the Giants have been much better at drafting and developing pitching. We passed on Madison Bumgarner. They also traded for Jake Peavy and we didn't (Edwin Escobar & Heath Hembree are good solid pitchers but nothing incredible). They traded for Hunter Pence for the equivalent of Martin Maldonado and Tyler Thornburg and we didn't. They also have a much better manager than we do. They signed Michael Morse to a contract for $6 million which we could have beaten and would have certainly upgraded our 1B with Morse. The Giants didn't have a starting position player older than 32 on the roster in 2014, i.e. they weren't overpaying for an aging veteran (hello Aramis Ramirez) I could go on and on. The Giants are a great example of doing everything the Brewers could have done but didn't But yeah I hear you If only the Brewers spent $40 million on replacement level production like the Giants! -
Adam Lind acquired from Toronto for Marco Estrada
endaround replied to markedman5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I think you are underestimating his value. A proven pitcher who is a lock to toss 180-200 innings and post an ERA in the mid to high 3s has quite a bit of value. Van Slyke is a nice player, but trading Yo should get a much better return. He does have a quite a bit of value. Its worth about $12-15 million for a year. Gallardo's FIP the past three years: 3.94, 3.89, 3.94. He has a distinct pattern. And Van Slyke was a monster last year to the tune of .297/.386/.524. He has 455 major league plate appearances and has the line of .261/.348/.476. -
Adam Lind acquired from Toronto for Marco Estrada
endaround replied to markedman5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
If the Brewers could get Van Slyke for Gallardo that would be great. People are way overestimating Gallardo's value. He right now projects as a #3-4 starter with a WAR in the 1.5 to 2 range. That's worth in the range of $10.5 to $14 million. He's making $13 million. There just isn't a lot of excess value there. Compare that to Marcum who was going to be worth in the range of 4.5-6.0 wins over two years. A value of $27 to $36 million at a salary of less than $12 million. -
The going rate for a free agent win was $7 million last year (it may go up this year). With a half win loss per season Headley would be projected to be worth 4.0, 3.5, 3.0 and 2.5 wins over the next four years for a total of 13 wins. That points to a 4 year contract for $91 million. Maybe because a lot of Headley's value is from his defense he'll only get $5 million per win, so that would be 4 years/$65 million.
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For four consecutive years the Brewers have had 3 players who are legitimate MVP type players in Braun, Gomez and Lucroy. To say that the front office doesn't know anything is hilarious.
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Aoki's OBP .356 Gomez's OBP .354
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The same guy who will pull Adams for Reynolds but then let H. Gomez hit
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You pull Gennett but let Segura hit twice with RISP late? I give up.
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Excellent analysis. Let me counter with this. LHB have a .917 OPS against Jeffress this season. LHB have a .574 OPS against Duke this season. Also Duke being trash is based upon 8 innings in August
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And 3 lefties up in a row. Ron would be stupid to let Jeffress pitch, but then again this is Ron we're talking about. Ok - thanks for that. I still think a guy throwing 95+ negates a lot of the L/R match-up advantages. And 18 pitches is not a lot. Your mileage may vary. 18-25 pitches is the typical workload for a short reliever. Going over 30 usually invites disaster.
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Jeffress was at 18 pitches so likely couldn't make it through the inning
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And with a second chance to hit for Segura Roenicke sits on his hands
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Yep and still Segura was allowed to hit
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And Broxton is out after 7 pitches because Roenicke didn't do a DS with Maldonado.
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Why was Segura hitting? I don't get it.
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Hey if we keep running out a spent Will Smith he'll regain his form at some point!
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No, what that says is that you should heavily discount guys in their late 20s putting up good numbers in the PCL, i.e. Rogers and Clark. Schafer was terrible last year and was terrible this year.
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I know few if any will agree with me, but I would shop Peralta to see if there is someone out there who believes his ERA. Keri talked about how lucky Peralta has been in his last power ranking for Grantland: http://grantland.com/features/mlb-the-30-astros-indians-braves-brewers-corey-kluber/
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There a ton more options for SS though. And it helps that the best SS in the game wants out of Colorado. Above average to average Free agents: Hanley Ramirez JJ Hardy Jed Lowrie Stephen Drew Adsubral Cabrera Possible available via trade: Troy Tulowitski Jimmy Rollins Starlin Castro (Many Cub prospects are MI and Castro hasn't turned into the superstar as was hoped)
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Or hope to get Kintzler some work in to fix him (if possible)
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Why is Duke pitching in a 7 run game?
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Really need to think about platooning Herrera and Segura at this point. And yeah that does sound insane.
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Keep in mind Ramirez is only in Milwaukee because he seems to care more about where he plays than most players. He opted out of $16 million from the Cubs for 2012 to get paid $16 million for 2012 and 2013 from the Brewers (and also agreed to have his 2014 salary paid in installments). Its just my guess, but it seems like he likes being able to go to his home in Chicago as often as possible and he knows that the Cubs would have traded him if he stayed.
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Ya, no kidding. He is the solo shot king. His walk rate goes way up with men on. Meaning teams would rather challenge Segura, and who can blame them?