There are varying degrees of "bad". People were talking about the healthcare system potentially "breaking" and I think an argument could be made that it did break, or at least fracture, in NYC. To me if ICU beds in a region are full from a single disease source that's pretty bad since people are still going to have strokes, heart attacks, falls, and accidents, etc. And as for staff issues...they are beginning to happen in Wisconsin. From CEO of Prevea Health in Green Bay: "More and more staff are being exposed and falling ill and having to isolate. Some are coming back from isolation. At Prevea and HSHS, we have traveling nurses coming in. They’re arriving this week from throughout the country. We’ve asked for over two dozen to come and help right now. “The additional help is for two reasons: number one, our own health care people are getting sick; and secondly, the sheer volume. Obviously, we’re not designed to take care of an extra 140 patients in this city on top of what we normally take care of. So you do need more health care staff. It’s not just nurses. It’s respiratory therapists. People in the lab. People who clean the room. All of which need specialized training. And that doesn’t happen overnight.” From Bellin Health in Green Bay: Bellin Health redeployed 138 staff members to help in various areas of the organization and brought temporary staff in to help. Having said all that, I don't expect things to go south like they did in April in NYC, Detroit, New Orleans, etc. A lot of reasons for that but some of it is due to a big chunk of people wearing masks and being responsible, governmental restrictions, improved treatments, and possibly the virus itself becoming less deadly. But that doesn't mean it won't be extraordinarily bad.