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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    Agreed. Difference makers aren't usually included in packages. I tend to agree with this too. I think if you are trading Lucroy and have a shot at one of the top pitching prospects in baseball, I would be fine with "the guy". But when trading Jeffress or Smith, you are not going to get a top prospect, even 1 for 1. So I would probably prefer more of a package. However, I do think the package we got for Gomez and Fiers was awesome (Josh Hader, Brett Phillips, Adrian Houser and Domingo Santana.) I'm not so sure of the awesomeness of the Houston package. Phillips and Houser haven't performed up to expectations at AA and prospects become suspects quickly when they don't dominate at AA. Santana has yet to prove he's an everyday corner OF though he has injury excuse to fall back on. Don't know what to make of Hader at this point. The Colorado Springs effect seems to nailed him too. It could still turn into a great deal, but until one or two of those guys is performing well at the major league level, it's still up in the air and that seems less likely than in did when the season started.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    Flores hit .282/.376/.449 over 655 plate appearances as a 22-23 year old in AAA. You don't understand why a rebuilding team struck with injuries at his position would give him 250+ PA as a 24 year old to see what he can do? Flores has a nice swing. I just don't think he's learned how to get himself into hitters counts and do damage so he's too often in defensive mode at the plate. Part if it undoubtedly is hitting 8th in the order. That's a tough spot for a young hitter. Nieuwenhuis is the kind of everyday player you see on 100 loss teams. There were some legit CF out there who wouldn't have cost much, but Brewers chose the cheap route. Didn't help that Broxton can't hit a lick against major league pitching either. Overall the OF production would have been fine had they just held on to Davis another year. I didn't get that trade when it happened and I get it less now. The return was not what a top 10 HR hitter in the league in his controllable prime should bring you. Not even close.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    Agreed. Difference makers aren't usually included in packages.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    Yeah, I totally agree about Profar. I like the guy a ton, but he's only three years of control. This club needs to target guys with 5 and 6 years of control. Brewers could figure Profar's value would be even higher a year from now. It's not like he couldn't use a bit more of a major league track record. In the meantime they can delay Arcia's ascent to the big leagues after what has so far been a mildly disappointing season for him at AAA.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    I see where the Dodgers are looking to deal Puig. Now there's a potential match with Garza. Brewers might have to add something of some value.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    Across the diamond, Garrett Cooper should be promoted to Colorado Springs. He's been the only consistent bat in Biloxi all year.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    Garza's inning soaking so far in 2016: 4, 6, 6, 5 2/3, 4 1/3, 5 1/3. He's giving young pitchers opportunities all right, but they're all out of the bullpen. At some point a string of 4-5 decent starts (if he's capable of that) will be more that offset by the fact that they followed 30 some starts that were at best reflective of a bad #5 starter and teams won't be fooled into thinking they are getting Garza of 4-5 years ago.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    The corner OF/1B situation is dire though I do think Cooper and Demuth need to be promoted like a month ago. Cooper does have 22 doubles and is slugging a respectable .435 which is easily the best at Biloxi and better than Roache. Dearth of corner OF begs the question what was the rush dealing Khris Davis who's currently tied for 7th in AL in HR and was controllable through 2019? Especially since Nottingham isn't looking like a "can't miss" guy a Derby is just a body at this point. Davis will likely have more value this winter than he had last.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    I know this. Uecker probably isn't going to be in the booth when this team is contending again and that's sad. Nobody deserves to see this team win more than Uke. Those of you celebrating the losing seasons as necessary for future success, consider this, the future is guaranteed to no one. The present is all that can be controlled. Lots of long suffering Brewer fans have waited long enough. Asking more of them is a sign that this ownership/management team has been a failure. Trusting them going forward? Be skeptical.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    I'm fine with targeting McKenzie and Bradley but I'd want Clevinger too to stick in the rotation along with Nelson, Guerra and Davies and Hader and take a longshot chance that they'll emerge into a top line rotation sooner rather than later. If not, deal them off when opportunity arises.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    The problem with Garza is that his contract runs through next year, so even if you find a team willing to take a flyer on him this year without giving up talent in return, they aren't going to want to be stuck with even a $3-5 million obligation (assuming the Brewers pay the rest) for 2017 if he continues to be terrible.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    Amen to all of that. If anyone thinks the Brewers can simply follow the Cub formula and 5 years from now the Brewers will have an entire All Star infield or be set to contend for 5+ years is dreaming. Brewers had an all home grown group from basically 2007 to 2012. That group made 2 playoff appearances (could have been 3 or 4) over basically a 6 year span from 2007 to 2012. They had to surrender the subsequent years to secure enough starting pitching just to make those 2 playoffs. I'm of the belief that even if Stearns does everything right, they still won't be able to retain the top talent and will have to move a lot of pieces just to rent a premier guy here and there to get them over the top once or twice and into the playoffs. Meanwhile, how many long time suffering Brewer fans in their 70's and 80's won't be around in 5 years?
  13. JohnBriggs12
    7 straight multi-hit games will do wonders.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    He's not a consensus top 25 prospect (he's #39 by mlb.com and #73 by baseball prospectus) and he's in low A where he's not dominating by any means. How many guys who are ranked high as low level players flame out or see their stock drop? The answer is many. It's absolutely the right move by Dombrowski, who'll have plenty of opportunities to replace Espinoza before he makes an impact at the major leagues.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    There's been nothing earth shattering either way with Stearns yet. The jury's out on a lot of his moves. The jury's even still out on the Villar trade until we see what Sneed turns into. Carter signing was a definite positive for him. Broxton looks like a swing and miss (pun intended) but Rogers is back in AAA too. I still think the Davis trade was a year early and return a little light though we won't know for a few more seasons there either. I see nothing wrong with driving a hard bargain for premier players because you rarely if ever get back anything close to value to your franchise that those players have provided. In the long run, even if he holds on to Lucroy because offers weren't strong, and settles for draft pick compensation after 2017, he will have shown teams that he's prepared to go all the way to FA or the final months before FA with a player rather than give him away for less than he's worth. In future years with other players, that strengthens his hand. Teams are undoubtedly testing him now, throwing weak offers out there thinking this inexperienced GM will eventually panic and take them. I hope not. Those kind of offers will likely be out there a year from now.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    Garrett Cooper needs to be in the top 25 somewhere. Coulter should be out.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    I don't really agree with that. He is an older prospect but this is only his fourth year professionally and has been able to produce 350/414/486 during his time in AA. Middlebrooks has been playing for nearly a decade and everybody pretty much knows what he is a this point. Jason Rogers didn't make it the majors until 26 and he was flipped for prospects, maybe Cooper could produce moderately during these transitional years and be flipped for something as well. Cooper is long overdue for a promotion. He's a doubles machine that only hits the occasional HR, but now he's showing he can also play OF, where the Brewers are seriously lacking. He's likely never a core player on a contending team, but certainly should be able to crack a rebuilding Brewer roster by next year if not September and who knows? He doesn't strike out a ton, so he'll likely not embarrass himself.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    They might be a dime a dozen but when a bullpen blows up, it can take down a team. That's what happened to Brewers in 2012. Yeah Fielder was gone, but Ramirez had a terrific year, Bruan was at the top of his game, Gomez was emerging and Lucroy and Maldonado combined were terrific and Hart was very productive after move to 1B. But Axford, Rodriguez, Veras, and Parra were terrible. That team should have been a playoff team. They won 83 but bullpen was historically bad. With an average pen, they win 90+ even after dealing Grienke. The pen was combined a -7.1 WAR, by far the worst in the NL.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    For Lucroy I think they need to get at least one piece back who'll be a productive major leaguer in 2017. That guy may never be part of a competitive Brewer team, but they still need to field a team next year and adding pieces that can be flipped 2-3 years from now is an ongoing process.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    No, they won 8 of their first 9 against Pittsburgh and swept a 4 game series from the Nats early on. They also won 4 of 6 the first two series with St. Louis. Their record was tremendous because the starting pitching was flawless. Lately, it's been anything but, and the bullpen was always a question mark.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    It's not surprising that 37 year old John Lackey seems to have finally come down to earth. That was a dubious signing that only a big market team can make. One has to wonder if Arietta is ailing? He's had command issues for some time now. The one thing that could derail the Cub train would be a massive pitching collapse. It's a little early to tell if this is the start of it, but the bullpen's made up of castoffs for the most part and the starting depth are bullpen guys like Warren and Wood.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    I won't go that far as to pledge undying faith in this kid Stearns. It's a good sign if he realizes that the market dictates when is the best time to move a player and when the market is soft, it might be smarter just to hold on to a guy rather than settle.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    So that's the plan? Winning in 2021? Where do I get my World Series tickets? I love how the Brewers have snowed fans into actually believing they can target within a year when to a. try to start winning and b. actually winning so they can accept abject failure in the interim. Sports don't work that way. There's front offices in Chicago, St. Louis, Pittsburgh and Cincinnati who are all working to prevent that from happening and in 3 of the 4 spots, they have better track records than the Brewers' front office. Put a major league quality team on the field and develop the talent below that better. If you do your job, eventually you'll win. Predicting when that will be is fool's gold.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    While they are not in that position at least it should end the debate about the Brewers intentionally tanking. Teams who are looking to lose as many games as possible don't make moves like this. If it does settle that debate then these 5+ pages will be a small price to pay. Maybe not, but Davies would have been on his regular rest to pitch on Sunday (likewise Guerra on Saturday) and they could have held on to Hill a few more weeks. How is sending Anderson out there instead not tanking? Brewers are tanking while still allowing their relatively inexperienced manager to make moves even though the pieces he's moving are inferior to the opposition and in some cases not major league caliber.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    Jeffress was one of the 3 on my projected trade list this month for simple reason that the market for relievers is just too hot to pass up and Jeffress would fit a lot of teams needs.
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