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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    The Rockies don't have to deal Morneau so they'll put a price tag on him that's outlandish. They'd want a major league ready arm with upside. They can still sell the fact that injuries decimated what would have been a competitive team going into next year. I still don't understand the lack of interest on the Brewers part this past offseason. I thought the two best available 1B options were Morneau and Morse and the Brewers were never linked to either. I think the Brewers can make it through this year with what they have, but next year is another question as the search for help at 1B might be even more critical. I'm actually starting to come around to the thought of finding an OF and converting Braun to 1B.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    I'm sure the Reds realized at the time of the deal that they weren't going to get good value the last year or 3 of the deal. And Votto is having a bad year by his measure and has been playing hurt. Yet he still has been pretty damn good. As of 2 weeks ago his line was .273/.410/.443 with a OPS of .853. He was obviously hurting as of late, but even now he's still got a .390 OBP and a .800 OPS. 25 million for a 40 year old is almost never going to work out great, but in 9-10 years, the top AAV for players will likely start with a 4. So unless you believe Votto is going to never come back and be the guy he was last year or his entire career, I doubt it's going to cripple the Reds to this degree. Votto is nowhere near the player he was 2 years ago. Once umpires actually start enforcing the strike zone when he's batting, his OB skills will decline too. He's getting the kind of injuries that occur to players as they age. In short, he's an old 30.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    Excellent point. A perfect example of an indy outfielder that deserves another shot would be J.P. Ramirez, a 24 year old former Nationals farmhand, who's hitting .342/.380/.498 for Laredo in the American Association. This guy was a pretty good prospect not that long ago when he hit .296/.341/.470 as 20 year old in Class A Southern Atlantic League. His other years were decent too.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    I would like to preface my remarks with saying what a privilege it's been to be alive and a baseball fan during the career of the great Derek Jeter Now as to what the Brewers need to win the division, assuming the bullpen issues are addressed, Roenicke needs a quicker hook.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    The Votto contract might end up putting the Reds in a hole it will take years for them to emerge from.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    Everyone has been pretty tight lipped about this tragedy in the Brewer organization and the media. There's some unanswered questions to be sure and maybe for his sake they are better left unanswered. Still people will talk and wonder. Good to see his teammates rally around him for support.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    Health is a big part, but the bullpen is not good enough right now, even if the rest of the team stays healthy. They need at least one RH reliever, either Henderson or a guy acquired in a deal to be able to lock down the 7th or 8th inning and they need the Will Smith of April and May to reappear.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    As I sat there and watched this ridiculous adoration of Derek Jeter I could only think of how the greats of the past, like Ted Williams, Stan Musial, Ernie Banks, and later with guys like Mike Schmidt, George Brett and Robin Yount would have reacted if they tried this nonsense back in the day. They would have been embarrassed. Way, way over the top. Sickening.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    Overbay is hitting .405 with RISP. I'd say that is producing offense. They need the OF to stay on the field so production from 1B isn't as critical.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    Henderson provides quality late inning relief once he returns and Smith reverts to his early season form. The Brewers pen is short right now. If it doesn't get turned around, it will cost them. Offensively, they are fine if the 3 OF and Ramirez stay on the field. They can live with what they are getting at 1B if that happens.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    He has been a nomad defensively in his career, starting out at 3B and 2B in the minors. Interestingly, he played 5 games at 1B at Iowa earlier this year too. Whether he could handle work there or at 3B is anyone's guess. He's not come close to duplicating a terrific rookie season and he doesn't possess big time power associated with a corner OF, but he's been hitting well of late, and if you can get a couple really good months out of him in the heat of a race, it would be a good investment, and then see what happens next year. Maybe a position opens up or he's kept as a nice sub.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    The team control issue doesn't figure here. Coghlan isn't a building block for them so they will look to sell high here. But even with his value increased over what it was, it's not going to take a lot to get him. Mike Fiers fits the mold of a guy that could start for them now at the major league level and then also be eventually flipped or kept as a back end rotation piece.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    That Marlin team went 69-93 in 2012. How is that in any way similar? It's not like they were breaking up the 27 Yankees. They tried to put together a contending team for the new stadium but it backfired and they got out from under a lot of that money quickly.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    Len Kasper was on 670 the Score this morning and identified Coghlan among others as a player with some value that the Cubs could move for modest return. To answer brwsfan question, I don't think it would even enter his mind.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    He'd rather play meaningless games on a last place team than contribute on a contender? I think he'd choose the latter.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers roster today vis a vis the competition is a lot stronger than the Sox was back in 1997. Cleveland was loaded that year and White Sox brass knew it. Reds and Cards have key players out. Now if the slide that occurred the last couple weeks continues for the rest of the month, and they do fall behind multiple teams, maybe you move a player or two to help the team in 2015. But you don't trade the core group.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    Coghlan has been on a quite a nice hot streak for the Cubs. He might be a nice target for a 4th OF and picking him up would further weaken a frequent opponent in the 2nd half.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    True, and Jeffress and Figaro have been throwing very well lately in Nashville too, so there's some reasonable options available internally.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    Overbay hits the ball hard and Wang is costing us the season. We get it. Lyle has a sub .700 OPS. Reynolds is sub .700. Both could and probably should be replaced. Be careful what you wish for. Kendrys Morales OPS is .582. James Loney's is .706. Ike Davis' is .693. All three were presumably on Brewer radar, and a lot more expensive than Overbay/Reynolds combo either in players or salary. The fact is Overbay's line drive percentage is 23%. The league average is 20%. Overbay is hitting .405 with a 1.071 OPS with runners in scoring position and .333 with 2 outs and RISP. In high leverage situations he's hitting .394/.432/.576. How is that not a net positive? Remember I've never been a big Overbay fan, but I see those numbers, and I have to give him props. Since June 1st, Overbay's hit .292/.363/.431, an OPS of .794. I'm not making these numbers up. Look them up. Are there a lot of better 1B? Absolutely. Are there a lot of better 1B available in a deal? That's debatable. In the short term I don't see much out there. Rockies look at themselves as a solid team that was decimated by injuries in 2014. Morneau is under contract for next year. Unless they could get a major league ready starter for him, he's likely staying put. Wang's presence has affected the way Roenicke has used his pitching staff. He's gone longer with starters (heck nobody's got a longer leash than RR), and he's had to use the other guys a bit more than he should. Smith ended up being gassed. Thornburg ended up on the DL. Wooten and Kintzler have been been inconsistent at best.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    I don't think the combo at 1B has been the problem it's being portrayed here. Overbay's been as good as anyone could expect. He's hit a lot of balls hard and has gotten a hits in key situations. Reynolds hasn't done much the last month but those that romanticize Rob Deer need to realize that's what Deer did too. The issue with those guys is magnified when one the the OF is out, which has happened with some frequency, and the 1B have to bat higher than 7th.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers could really use a LH outfield bat, but the market is pretty thin in that regard. Most of the logical available names like Schierholz and Venable for instance are having terrible years. That's why they are likely sticking with Schafer.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    What kind of hitters park is Tuscon where he has played in 2011, 2012? Maybe it is a launching pad and teams are discounting the performance? Looking at his Japanese team, his OPS was only the 5th best on the team. Considering that the pitching staffs at Tucson those years had ERA's over 5, yeah it's a hitters park and the West division of the PCL, with Reno and Las Vegas is a real hitters league. Rizzo had a 1.056 OPS there in 2011.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    Too little too late?? Bullpen in shambles. Outfielders who can't stay on the field. Roenicke manipulating with lineups. This team was doing fine during a stretch of playing 20 straight days. Then they had that funky schedule, with an off day, followed by two day games in mid week in Toronto, and another off day. With All Star break on the horizon, the team somehow got the idea they had earned a two week vacation. I blame some of that on Roenicke who also deserves blame for letting horrendous base running slide, not seeing that guys he had counted on earlier in the pen were struggling. It's going to be hard to regain momentum that was lost basically overnight. Nelson should help. Maybe the break will cause them to re-energize. But they need to bring in a proven 8th inning reliever, and now.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    I respect Molina. He's been the main reason the Cards have to be reckoned with year after year. I don't mind the smugness. He backs it up. Great players always seem smug, besides he's got Cardinal fans telling him how great he is. It's only natural that some of that sinks in. All that being said, the Cardinals aren't going away with Molina down. Brewers own smugness has cost them a big lead. Management had a "see no evil" attitude when they were winning, thinking they could manipulate arby years for their best prospect, carry a 25th man who wasn't contributing, and basically not being proactive in trying to improve the roster.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    "What would it take to get a 24 year old rookie..." Ramirez isn't a rookie and he's carrying a 4.54 ERA in AAA with a 1.4 WHIP. His big league WHIP has gone up every year. We aren't talking elite here by any means. He shot up through the Mariner system after posting nice numbers in rookie and low A ball. Since then, not so much. Seattle's been looking for back end of the rotation stability all year. Estrada might be their target. Ramirez has had 3 major league shots and has regressed. I can see Seattle becoming impatient with him. After this year, he could be out of options as well. I could see an Estrada and a low level arm for Ramirez type deal. No way that would change the plan for promoting Nelson. Ramirez would just replace Nelson's spot in the rotation at Nashville. It would just be a method of getting something for Estrada. Jack Z might see Estrada as a nice number 5 who'd fare better in a less homer friendly environment. To summarize, Seattle has a young pitcher who rose quickly through a system lacking elite arms, had some early major league success, but has regressed since. He's marginal at best. The Brewers have a 5th starter they are ready to replace more based on the potential of his replacement than recent struggles of the incumbent 5th starter. Once he is replaced, his value going forward to the Brewers is dubious, especially entering his final arbitration year. This is a match.
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