"they might add a guy like Edwin Jackson, a couple BP arms maybe they'll be decent". First off, they had Greinke this year and they've not been decent. Keeping him guarantees nothing either. Even last year, 96 wins was sort of an allusion. Any decent team that played 50 or so of it's games against the 2011 Cubs, Astros, and Pirates, should be well over .500. The Astros are leaving the division. The Pirates are much better, and the Cubs are overhauling their roster and will be good sooner rather than later. They need to address this offense which still hasn't recovered from losing Fielder, add a reasonably priced starting pitcher for some veteran presence, and shore up the pen and hope Axford and Weeks return to form. They can do all that and may still make a run at Hamilton. That makes them decent and if you're decent, at least you have a chance. This year's collection including Greinke isn't a winner.