JohnBriggs12
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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12
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Phelps is doing a good job so far of putting his spot in jeopardy this spring but there's a long way to go yet. I've also never been sold on Black. I'd keep an eye on Eric Yardley if those two fail. Yardley's not a big strikeout guy but he's had success at every level in the minors. There's opportunities for others with good springs. The pen is the biggest concern I have on this team unless and until Knebel is back to full strength. I just don't see 7th and 8th inning guys that can be relied on. I think Peralta wins a rotation spot and Hauser ends up back in pen with the same role that Chase Anderson had starting last year. Hauser seems to be strictly a 5 inning guy and with a bullpen that's shaky, they need starters who are able to get into the third time through an order.
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Travis Shaw to Blue Jays
JohnBriggs12 replied to Ron Robinsons Beard's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I said it last year but Shaw appears to have turned himself into Chris Davis but without the huge contract. I was very pleased the Brewers didn't decide he needed more chances to fail. -
Hader/Yelich Day of Reckoning
JohnBriggs12 replied to Soupbone's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Gotta give Clancy and WTP credit for their insight. This revolving door of an offseason was all about holding on to their star and they managed to pull it off. I still think they weakened the overall roster somewhat to do it. But we'll see. -
My issue was not so much that he was cheap but that he seemed to be crying poor through his mouthpieces like Haudricourt when there was plenty of evidence to the contrary. This extension actually proves the point that there was money available to keep last years team essentially together. Nobody knew Yelich would take a deal without testing the market. When they refused to pay a guy like Thames a couple million more than his worth or hold on to a very useful bullpen arm like Guerra neither of whom would break the bank, it certainly seemed they were being cheap. They must have been pretty confident that extending Yelich was doable.
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Brewers sign Arcia- 1 Year $2.2 Million
JohnBriggs12 replied to markedman5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
What do you mean you're the skeptical one? I don't see anyone thinking that he's figured it out finally. It's certainly fun to be optimistic, though, especially in February. I think that's where most people are at. Arcia's always had the talent to be a very good hitter. Always. That's what's frustrated the Brewers. Has it been a maturity thing or is it strictly mechanical? I think it's as simple as he often takes his talent for granted and loses focus and that leads to mechanical breakdowns. Eventually he finds it again and he has a good stretch but the bad stretches tend to be lengthy. The key is his keeping focus and if he loses it, regaining it before the mechanical issues creep back in. -
I don't see it. Why get nothing with the bat from a 26th man? That extra man allows Counsell to pinch hit earlier in the game than he might have. I'd rather keep a 3rd catcher than a pure pinch runner.
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I think you're being a little too dismissive of Chacin, who's a career 20 WAR pitcher and had five solid sub 4 ERA seasons before becoming a Brewer with three of those in Colorado. He's a finesse pitcher and when he's off it can be ugly as it was last year when he also battled nagging injuries. It wouldn't shock me in the least if he returns to form as a big league starter.
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I think you're being a little too dismissive of Chacin, who's a career 20 WAR pitcher and had five solid sub 4 ERA seasons before becoming a Brewer with three of those in Colorado. He's a finesse pitcher and when he's off it can be ugly as it was last year when he also battled nagging injuries. It wouldn't shock me in the least if he returns to form as a big league starter.
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Insurance if as some scouts believe Gyorko is done. More likely is Holt is the guy they really wanted but his price was too high so they went with Sogard and Gyorko first.
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Insurance if as some scouts believe Gyorko is done. More likely is Holt is the guy they really wanted but his price was too high so they went with Sogard and Gyorko first.
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Freddy Peralta - This year's Brandon Woodruff
JohnBriggs12 replied to A Swing and A Drive's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I have more faith in Peralta myself. Burns has great velocity but when he leaves it it the middle of the plate, which he does too often, he gets blasted. I think Freddy has a little more deception in his delivery. -
Peralta has had his moments starting. He's got the most upside outside of Woodruff.. It's a good sign that they're happy with Knebel's progress too
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I hope I am wrong here but I think this will prove to be the biggest waste of money of the offseason. Smoak for 1 year $5m deal and a $1m 2021 buyout is pretty meh when the Brewers could have gotten by with Braun and some backup combination of Healy ($1m) and Logan Morrison (MiLB deal). I would hope that Smoak's presence wouldn't preclude the Brewers from taking a look at Pederson especially if it meant Stripling was coming as well. $5 million on Smoak is not a bad gamble for a guy who in 2017 was an All Star and posted an OPS just a shade under .900 and has been playing in the tough AL East. It's not an amount that forces them to play him every day but he's one of those guys you can ride if he gets hot. Adding a guy like Pederson would give them a roster full of hitters that when hot, are very dangerous hitters. Then it's up to Counsell to ride the hot bats while not allowing the cooler bats to sit too long.
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Between Bauer (253), Gray (205) and Castillo (226), that's nearly 700 strikeouts. Toss in DeScalafini who had 167 K's in 167 innings, that's around 850 and four guys with more K's than anyone in the Brewer rotation. Defense has zero effect on strikeouts. The Reds rotation has a lot less doubt than the Brewers. Their 6th starter is Tyler Mahle, who fanned a hitter and inning, and got very little run support in most of his starts. He got 2 or less runs scored for him in 10 of his 25 starts. I don't think that would happen with this season's lineup. I think Reds win division going away with 92-94 wins. Brewers, Cubs and Cards will all win between 78-85. Pirates bring up the rear with 66-70 wins.
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Considering what the small market Reds payroll is going into this season, the Brewers should have plenty of room to make this deal. Sure the Reds have a significantly larger television market when you include places like Louisville and Indianapolis but Brewers have outdrawn the Reds by substantial margins in recent years. It's not like they'd be taking on contracts that will hinder them down the road.
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I could see a soft platoon in CF with Cain and Peterson with each getting half the starts and Cain being used defensively late in games he doesn't start. Peterson's experience at 1B is limited but he might be able to dislodge Smoak if he's adequate. It's not like they're paying Smoak all that much. There really are no everyday players on this team other than Yelich and Hiura anyway and Yelich needs 10-15 off days to keep him sharp. Why not have starting caliber players being used to mix and match everywhere else and be protected against injury all over the diamond?
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They may be good enough to be in the race leading up to the trade deadline, but they also have enough question marks that could lead to an early season slump and end their chances well before the trade deadline. If they do manage to stay alive, they are going to need at least one and likely two significant deals at the deadline to stay afloat to the end.
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That’s how I feel with Macha. He had a solid team on paper, but he ran his team into the ground with listless, emotionless performances day in and day out. The only time I’ve ever emotionally given up on a season was under Macha. It wasn't listlessness that doomed Macha. It was pitching staffs that relied on names like Looper, Suppan, Parra, Bush, Doug Davis, and Narveson in the rotation and very little bullpen depth (hello Kameron Loe). The greatest managers of all time were not going to win with those staffs.
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Everyone is basically ignoring Healy? I understand his defense is sub par and he's coming off an injury, but he's a guy that averaged 25 HR and 75 RBI in his first 2 and a half major league seasons and he's only one season removed from that.
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I'd say chances are decent that Small makes his major league debut in 2020 and why not? He was the best pitcher in arguably the best college conference in 2019, and thoroughly dominated in his first 20 innings of pro ball and he turns 23 this month. He should start the year no lower than High A and quite possibly in AA.
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Kepler is a guy the Brewers might look to trade for as a rental for the 2023 season to replace Yelich who they'll likely lose to FA. Now? Not a match.
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Taylor's last month in AAA nearly matched what Grisham was doing. It might take a Cain injury to give him an opportunity but I think he'll surprise people if he gets that chance. It also would not shock me in the least if Small goes through 3 levels and ends up in Milwaukee at the end
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This could be a blessing in disguise. Have to believe Arcia will be more motivated than ever coming out of the gate. I still don't doubt he has the ability to hit as he's shown it in stretches but he gets himself into bad habits and then struggles to get out. He certainly can drive the ball to the opposite field. If he gets off to a hot start, he will solidify his trade value and might force his way into the lineup even after Urias returns. It's not like 3B is settled.
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What this totally revamped lineup can produce day to day is a mystery. Their floor isn't bad but I don't see a real high ceiling unless Hiura is a monster over a full season. I believe they are one solid starter and two bullpen arms from being contenders. They let go of a ton of solid innings provided by Guerra, and the real MVP for the last month of the season Drew Pomeranz. I just don't see a replacement for either of those two. Had they retained Lyles, re-signed Guerra and found a way to keep Pomeranz they would be solid contenders. Now they're simply a middling team needing an awful lot to go right. I think the Reds are a 95-97 win team. They can trot out Castillo, Bauer and Gray in a 3 game series and dominate and a middle of the lineup with Suarez, Castellanos and Moose is daunting. The Cardinals are in the 87-90 range and the Brewers and Cubs will be fighting it out for 3rd.
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Castellanos to Reds 4 years 16M a year?
JohnBriggs12 replied to Ennder's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
They have added more than enough firepower to make up 15 games. The middle of their order is the best in the division and on paper their rotation is the equal of Cardinals for the best They're clearly the favorite. They don't have 15 games to make up. They start 0-0 like everybody else.