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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    The additions of Hoskins and Sanchez has fortified the offense against LH pitching enough that they should be able to be patient with Wiemer especially if Chourio makes the club out of spring training. Personally, I thought they were a bit premature in unloading Taylor but not so much just because he was a RH bat. Beyond Yelich, there simply is very little major league experience in the OF and I'd rather have all those young guys getting regular AB's either in the majors or AAA. Maybe moving Frelick to the infield solves that.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    The White Sox are overvaluing Cease which is why he still hasn't been moved. Yes he has one more year of control than Burnes but he also is coming off a year where he posted an ERA that was double what it was in 2022. The Sox put the blame on command issues. A lot of things can cause command to be off, but not all of them are easy fixes. I listen to a lot of Chicago talk radio. I get the feeling that Sox don't want to risk starting the season with Cease because if he gets hurt, his value vaporizes. They're going to either blink and drop his price significantly or take a huge risk that he can re-establish value before the deadline. If I'm the Brewers, I keep an eye on the situation. It might make more sense to get involved at the deadline.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    Brewers would be wise to hold on to Frelick, Wiemer, and Mitchell for that matter and not see them breakout for another team. Yeah i get they seem to have one outfielder too many but it's not like any of them have yet shown sustained success in the big leagues and they still have options. Wiemer's undergone significant swing changes. I'd let him start the year in Nashville and see what the results are there before I bring him up.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    Yeah Gasser seems well suited for the inevitable need to call up a starter. Given that behind Peralta are Miley, who's missed a boatload of starts the last couple seasons, Junis, who hasn't had a full season as a starter since 2019, Rea who generally loses effectiveness after 5 innings, it's anyone's guess who ends up 2 through 4 a few months into the season, much less being able to predict the 5th spot. I don't think Wilson can be ruled out either. Nobody wants to even think about Peralta going down with an injury as he did in 2022. I think the Brewers will be on the lookout for starting pitchers all season.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    I think they will trade Adames, but if they don't I'd play Adames at 3B. Ortiz at SS, and Black at 2B. Would Adames be too proud to shift to 3B? Maybe, but after the year he had in 2023, and the fact the Brewers don't seem interested in an extension, what leverage does Adames have?
  6. JohnBriggs12
    Frelick, Mitchell and Wiemer all have options. So does Chourio for that matter. It's become fairly obvious that Chourio makes the opening day roster. His contract and the fact that Taylor was traded early on the offseason signaled their intentions. None of the Wiemer, Frelick or Mitchell did enough in 2023 to solidify a starting outfield job. With DH job pretty much in the hands of whichever catcher isn't catching that day, Yelich is the everyday leftfielder again. I think it's a certainty that one of the three from last year get optioned.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    If they don't trade Adames, is moving him to 3B a possibility they'd explore? I think they will move him, but if they don't Adames doesn't block Ortiz at 3B and he'd provide a power bat at a corner infield spot that lacks one. That would give them 3 guys in the lineup most days with 25+ HR power.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    He's a power bat on a team that lacks power. His 19 HR season in less than 300 AB's would have tied him with Yelich for 2nd on the Brewers last year. If Rowdy had produced to the level Sanchez did, Rowdy would still be a Brewer. His job isn't to get on base, it's to hit the ball over the wall and drive in runs. I would expect him to get around 400 PA this year (maybe more if Bauers is a bust) and hit 20-25 dingers with 60-65 RBI.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    He's a little bit of a risk because his lows have been pretty low, but I don't know where you're going to get a guy with a power ceiling in the 30-35 HR range for $7 million. He's got 173 career home runs, and a .469 career slugging pct. I think he proved he had more in the tank with the Padres last year. He's only 31. That he can catch is a big plus. On days he catches, you can DH Contreras and keep his bat in the lineup too and keep both guys fresh. They lost a significant contributor with Caratini gone. Now they not only replaced the offense that Victor produced, they upgraded.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    I don't see not getting Mayo as a big negative. Brock Wilken plays the same position and could shoot up prospect lists with a good year in the high minors this year (Keith Law already has him in his top 100). Wilken didn't show a ton of power in the minors last year but I'm sure the Brewers expect him to be a 25 HR guy.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    Well Hall had a better 2023 postseason than Burnes. Joking aside, I think he's a guy who's going to have a significant role this season.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    Any chance we could get Xavier Edwards in this deal if Brewers included Turang or Maldanado?
  13. JohnBriggs12
    Wes Clarke is a legit 1B prospect with an ETA of 2025. Then there's Brock Wilken who's primarily a 3B. He's being fast tracked through the system and could emerge as an option to take over at 3B in 25, allowing Black to move to first, or they could move him to 1B if Clarke doesn't progress as hoped and leave Black at 3B. I'd add one of the young outfielders and say Dunn to the deal and see if that could pry Xavier Edwards from the Marlins in the deal.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    Well Arnold's faith in him might be a big part of the reason that Houser was dealt. Will be interesting to which pitcher has the better season, Ashby or Houser? My money is on Houser in the short term. My inkling is that Gasser starts more games than Ashby too. Arnold has to be patient with Ashby. He's signed through 2027.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    I'm fine with this signing as well. His minor and major league stats are unique in that he hasn't had 500 PA in any one season since 2016 and yet he's still just 28. Not a lot of home runs but he did have 16 doubles in just 206 PA last year. He had 103 OPS+ in both 21 and 22. That kind of production would be welcome at spots of need on this team.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    I'm still scratching my head about why one of the first moves the Brewers made was to deal away depth in the outfield and starting rotation by dealing Taylor and Houser for a pitcher still recovering from TJ surgery who had one hot month in the minors before getting hurt. Taylor was one of their best hitters down the stretch last year and Houser is a proven reliable 4-5 starter. Sure they saved a bit of money but neither of those guys are breaking the bank, and either could have had some trade value at the deadline. For a team trying to contend, they've put a lot of pressure on young outfielders, none of whom are established major leaguers, and a less than stellar combination of mid 30's vets and young unproven arms to fill in behind Burnes and Peralta. Hoskins certainly is a much-needed middle of the order power bat with a track record. But there's still an awful lot of unknowns. Will Black or Dunn provide enough offense at 2B to relegate Turang to a utility/defensive role until the SS position opens up? Can Contreras handle 20 or so more starts behind the plate without it affecting his offense? Will he continue to DH on days he's not catching? How much does Yelich DH? Is the report they are seeking LH relief help, mean that Ashby has the inside track for a starting role and how does he perform after missing all of 2023? What about 3B? Monasterio? Black? Someone else?
  17. JohnBriggs12
    But in 2022, he was second in the Cy Young Voting in the AL. He regressed in 2023, but he didn't miss a start, he maintained a K rate nearly identical to his 22 rate. White Sox had a horrible team in 23 and were never close to competing. Cease is still considered a guy with Ace stuff.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    i threw out France's name a couple months ago. He's an underrated player and this is a rare buy low opportunity on a guy still in his prime.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    I'm not worried about giving up either Black or Wiemer. They drafted Brock Wilken to be the long term answer at 3B not Black and there's a chance he'd be ready by 2025. With Arraez at 2B they could move Turang to SS and Adames to 3B in the short term. Another option is to give Monasterio the first shot at 3B. If they can't get Hoskins, Justin Turner doesn't make a bad consolation prize (at least for 24) and he can still play occasionally at 3B. I don't think these moves them much closer to the Dodgers and the Braves but at the very least could keep them competitive in the division.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    If they can't get Hoskins, the next best option is Justin Turner. He's almost as old as Votto but unlike Votto, he still is an above average hitter.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    If having a right handed component is so important (and it is), you don't deal your best RH hitting outfielder (Taylor) or let another professional RH bat that can play either corner outfield spot walk (Canha), unless you are fairly certain that you can upgrade over both those players. Yet so far, with spring training a month away, they've replaced neither and they don't seemed interested in pursuing outfield bat/DH types either. Eloy Jimenez fits that profile nicely. Wiemer's lack of output in 2023 screams more time in AAA. Running him out there again to struggle vs. major league pitching when there's nothing to suggest he's solved his issues in insane. Outfield is not a strength. It's a weakness offensively. The only above average major league outfielder on the roster is Yelich. Sure Chourio has immense potential to be a star, but is he ready now? Nobody really knows but they might not have any choice but to stick him out there on opening day like they did with Yount way back in 1974. Yes Yount turned into a Hall of Famer, but the truth is if the Brewer roster back then was the least bit competitive, Yount would have had another year and a half to hone his skills in the upper minors. They need desperately to deal for a RH bat they can add to the outfield mix and other teams know that which is why they are keeping the price high.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    So who plays LF? They traded Taylor and didn't pick up Canha's option. Wiemer showed he's not ready last season. Frelick doesn't have the power to really be an everyday player at a corner outfield spot. Mitchell is essentially still a rookie and Chourio probably could use at least a couple months at AAA. One of those guys figures to be in CF. Ramirez could be a decent trade option to play LF. Maybe they could get Eloy Jimenez?
  23. JohnBriggs12
    Mayo's very similar to Wilken. One of those two would have to be moved to 1B. If Black can handle 2B, a Brewer infield for the next 5 or 6 years of Mayo, Turang, Black and Wilken might be very intriguing.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    But he's hit for a high average at every level. His .289 major league average over almost 1,700 major league plate appearances isn't a fluke and would be very welcome in this lineup. He's no Tyrone Taylor in the outfield but his bat is certainly one they could use to make up for the loss of both Canha and Taylor and there should be plenty of AB's available in the DH role. We saw how well the Brewers offense functioned down the stretch last year with a guy like Canha and a hot Taylor. He wouldn't preclude them from also adding someone like Santana either to handle most of the first base duties.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    Brewers are a small market but they draw a lot more fans than other small market teams and it's not just that they haven't made any significant acquisitions at the major league level, they've let go serviceable major league veterans either by not picking up relatively modest option on Mark Canha, essentially gave away Taylor and Houser, and apparently made zero effort to re-sign one of the better backup catchers in the game. Over what is essentially the last 1/3 of 2023, Canha and Taylor combined for 13 HR and 61 RBI and Caratini hit .333 in September. Forget improving the offense, who's going to replace that production? Joey Wiemer and Jake Bauers? Really? I will withhold a grade for Arnold for the offseason as there's still a lot of time to make significant moves but as each day goes by, there's less and less faith that there's something out there that will excite this fan.
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