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Ennder

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Everything posted by Ennder

  1. Ennder
    We have a lot of serious offensive prospects in the minors so I really don't think this scenario is likely.
  2. Ennder
    The situation more people have a problem with is bunting the runner to 2nd with no outs. If you have someone that is capable of bunting I don't have a big issue with bunting them to 3rd unless a complete hack is up to bat next. Generally speaking giving up an out to put a runner on 2nd is a bad move, there obviously are situations where it works like with the pitcher batting or a really good bunter etc.
  3. Ennder
    Yes but Bush has excellent control and Looper and Suppan are groundball pitchers. Villanueva is flyball pitcher with mediocre stuff who walks too many guys, he doesn't have a single tool you like in a starter.
  4. Ennder
    Villanueva doesn't really have the stuff to be a starter, I think we need to keep him in the bullpen.
  5. Ennder
    Cameron is one of the best CF in baseball and would easily get more than $10M a year as a free agent, there really is no arguing the fact because the numbers pretty much spell it out. If you don't like him fine but he is a bargain so I'm glad we kept him.
  6. Ennder
    There is no reason to replace him so I assume nobody. He just needs to be moved down in the pecking order.
  7. Ennder
    The all-star break can't come soon enough.
  8. Ennder
    It is about exploiting market ineffeciencies and OBP happened to be the big one when the book was written. So you like bunt, K, weak groundout? Just seems like a weird example to use. You are way overrating how easy it is to bunt successfully as well, even with good bunters it is nowhere near 100% success. With a slow runner who doesn't get asked to bunt much since they are a good hitter the odds probably aren't even 70%. Bunts look good when they work pretty much, statistically they are rarely a good idea. In the Hardy example it is 100% without a doubt the wrong move the 30%+ of the time that Hardy gets on base without the bunt, it is also wrong the 25% or so of the time he fails to properly execute the bunt. Hitting the ball to the right side is effective as well of course but who is to say he isn't trying to do that. Looking at the league as a whole there is only a 51% chance you score a runner from 3rd with less than 2 outs in the first place and only 43% of the time does a runner advance from 2nd to 3rd with no outs.
  9. Ennder
    It would be hard for me to pick Cruz considering the .578 OPS he's had in the past 21 games and the fact there are a number of guys who are probably better options even ignoring the current slump.
  10. Ennder
    You probably need to read moneyball, this really has nothing to do with moneyball. Hardy bunting lowers our chances of scoring without a single doubt in my mind in this situation. He is a bad bunter, he is slow so will never leg one out for a hit and Braun strikes out a lot and is a good hitter so many times will drive in Counsell without giving up an out for free. This is the kind of move I would blast Macha for making. As a very generic rule of thumb if you have average or better hitters up to bat bunting is always the wrong move unless they excel at it to the point they can bunt for hits sometimes. The gray area comes with just how bad a hitter needs to be to make bunting worth it.
  11. Ennder
    I'm fine with Hart bunting as well since he is good at it and has the speed to leg out singles enough to probably make it worth it overall. Needs to be the proper situation for it though of course.
  12. Ennder
    The samples are too small for the splits to really mean anything. They easily could just be random.
  13. Ennder
    Brewers have scored 0 - 4 times, 1 - 10 times, 2 - 9 times 3 - 9 times. 4 or 5 - 27 times. Cardinals have 0 - 5 times, 1 - 6 times, 2 - 13 times, 3 - 17 times. 4 or 5 - 23 times. Cubs have 0 - 8 times, 1 - 10 times, 2 - 13 times, 3- 7 times, 4 or 5 - 15 times. Doesn't seem out of the ordinary compared to the other teams in our division at least.
  14. Ennder
    Our OPS with RISP is higher than with the bases empty so I really don't think RISP is the issue. We are pretty low on productive out% though, being particularly bad with a runner on 2nd and no outs, like worst in the NL style bad.
  15. Ennder
    April 9th to May 18th last year we went 14-22. Sept 1st to Sept 28th last year we went 10-15. They are called cold streaks, almost every team has them even ones who win 90 games.
  16. Ennder
    To show people just how much easier it gets here are the series coming up. Reds Pirates Braves Natinals Padres Dodgers Astros Padres Astros Pirates Natinals Reds Pirates 10 out of 12 series against sub .500 teams with over half of them against the worst teams in the NL. If we don't somehow make a move during that stretch we have September which is almost all games against other wild card teams so we can always just hope to get hot and push into the playoffs that way. There isn't much reason to give up on this team before the end of the year and certainly not now.
  17. Ennder
    Just take a break from the team until after the all-star game. Then we finally get a big long easy stretch of schedule and we'll likely catch up with the Cardinals who have already had one of the easiest schedules in baseball so far this season and are looking at the rough part of theirs coming up.
  18. Ennder
    I'd imagine the swing and miss on ball 4 with the bases loaded late in the game probably got Gamel his day off, not the HR.
  19. Ennder
    To be fair I don't want to follow the Twins model either. There are years where taking a stab at a player and stepping backwards for a year or two is worth it. I don't know if this is such a year just yet though.
  20. Ennder
    The Marlins got insanely lucky, I wouldn't want to go down that path at all.
  21. Ennder
    I hope they fixed whatever his problem was with runners on 1st, not very confident though.
  22. Ennder
    I would trade Gamel for Halladay as well and I'm a 'prospect guy'. The fact that Halladay helps next year as well is what makes the deal for me, the fact that Gamel might end up at 1B which cuts a lot into his value just adds some icing on the cake for the deal.
  23. Ennder
    His peripherals were actually better in the second half than the first half for what it is worth. Also if Parra stuck out significantly fewer batters I wouldn't think much of him either. Taking away 20+% of a pitchers K really changes him. Also I'm not sure I'd say I'm big on Parra, I think he has a #2 upside and thought he'd be in the 4.00-4.50 ERA range most likely this season which makes him a Ted Lilly type of pitcher with a bit more upside, to be fair I still think he can do that if they fix the problems he has pitching with runners on 1st base. Eveland in his career now has 6.7 K/9 and 4.69 BB/9 with a 49.3 GB% Parra has an 7.98 K/9 and 4.48 BB/9 with an 48.7 GB% Even with the terrible year this year he has struck out more with fewer walks and comperable GB%. Parra doesn't have to face a DH but Eveland pitches in a big time pitchers park with a better defense behind him so that is a wash most likely.
  24. Ennder
    He had a period last year where he had a low ERA, his peripherals were pretty terrible while doing it though. He just had a good run of a low BABIP and not giving up as many HR as would be expected from his number of flyballs.
  25. Ennder
    He might be that serviceable but unspectacular level player like Jenkins was after his injuries but I just don't think he has the plate discipline to become an 'all-star' quality RF at this point.
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