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kramnoj

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Everything posted by kramnoj

  1. kramnoj
    Unfortunately, I cannot cite this, but I believe I've read comments somewhere and have a gut feeling that this payroll level will not be maintained. Mark A. has said if the team wins the WS, they might break even. I don't see them going into next year with that business plan.I think it's safe to assume that some ticket prices will go up next year, meaning the Brewers will have more revenue and can afford a higher payroll.
  2. kramnoj
    Guys that play the outfield are typically power hitting players unless your hitting over .300... which the Brewer dont have except for Braun. If Weeks moved to center it would be a wasted postion... I don't think Weeks to CF is a good idea, but his bat, even this year, could play there. His 715 OPS would place him 17th among qualified CF.
  3. kramnoj
    The issue is not whether or not Cameron is worth $10M; the issue is that is it better to have Cameron at $10M and one of Sheets/Sabathia, or is it better to have Kapler at $3M and both of Sheets/Sabathia. Oh, and Fielder, Hardy, and Hart (plus Bush and Weeks) are arby-eligible next year too. It may come down to Cameron vs. the raise due Fielder/Hardy/Hart/Bush. If the team keeps all players that are on this team that are under contract for next year and due arby raises, there won't be room for both Cameron and a top FA pitcher. I ran some estimates in the FA thread in the proposals forum, and if my arby estimates correct, and assuming a payroll of about $90 million, I think the Brewers have about $20 million to spend in FA or in picking up options. That probably won't be enough for CC, it would be enough for Sheets but the Brewers won't pay him that much, or it might be enough to pick up Cameron's option and sign a mid level FA SP, or a couple of RP this offseason. Obviously things could change. Hall could be traded to a team that needs a SS and is willing to take a chance that he can find his 35 HR swing. Plenty of people here want Suppan and his salary gone, but I don't think the Brewers have any interest in that, unless they get blown away by an offer. Even then, we'd need to spend close to his salary for another pitcher to replace him.
  4. kramnoj
    Lowe is going to be 37 and can't pitch away from the Ravine. It is true that Lowe will turn 37 next year, but it will be his age 36 season, as is commonly accepted in baseball. It is true that Lowe has been bad on the road this season, but that is an outlier among his career and his more recent season. Do you think 64 IP so far this season should be the determining factor in whether he should be signed as a 1 or 2 year stopgap?
  5. kramnoj
    Sheets has made one more start so far this season, but that won't be the case when Suppan takes his turn in the rotation. Sheets has been great this season, but I can understand a club's reluctance to spend something like 20% of a team's payroll on a player that has missed so much significant time.
  6. kramnoj
    http://www.boston.com/spo...ffs_not_ticket_to_riches/ is a link that described the distribution of playoff ticket revenue. Some excerpts: "In the best-of-five divisional series, 60 percent of the ticket revenue from the first three games goes to the players from both teams, who decide how to divide it among themselves and some other team employees. Another 1.6 percent is collected for the umpires. That leaves 38.4 percent of the gate revenue to be split evenly between the teams." "in the American League Championship Series and World Series, players get 60 percent of ticket sales from the first four games. In essence, baseball's playoffs are set up so that teams benefit financially only if they play a full series as opposed to sweeping their opponent. The commissioner's office also gets a 15 percent cut of ticket sales from the World Series." "Players for the 2006 World Series champion St. Louis Cardinals split more than $20 million, with 48 players and team employees getting full shares of $362,173 and 23 others getting undisclosed "partial shares." The American League champion Detroit Tigers divided a pool of $13.3 million among 39 people who got $291,667 each. Fifteen others got lesser amounts. By comparison, the Cardinals and Tigers took in just shy of $6.8 million each from the entire playoffs. That's barely above the $6.7 million the commissioner's office made. And it doesn't take into account how much was spent on added security, employees wages, and other expenses for keeping the parks open in the playoffs."
  7. kramnoj
    I don't think the FO has any interest in Hart at CF. He could play there, and his offense would mean that he would be ok as an overall player, but overall he hasn't been good defensively. He certainly makes great plays, but there are plays he doesn't make either. I believe that the FO thinks that improved defense has helped this years pitching staff be better, and that last years horrid defense was a part of the collapse. The Brewers picking up Cameron's option is the best $10 million the Brewers could spend this offseason. None of their own players are likely to be close to average there and there aren't any FA that I would want there. Plus, I just like the guy, he's fun to root for, and he seems to really fit in the clubhouse. That shouldn't be a major factor in the decision, but I think it might have some influence.
  8. kramnoj
    So i don't care what CC does the rest of the way cause your guy sheets has done absoultly nothing since the big trade a true sign of a #1 guy Your opinion is that a shutout is absolutely nothing, is that correct? It is true that Sheets only has one win since the big trade, but the Brewers do have a couple of wins in Sheets starts that Ben didn't get credit for.
  9. kramnoj
    don't think you could ever call Sheets truly "dominant." What did Sheets need to do in 2004 for you to consider him dominant? That team only scored 634 runs all season, it had a collective OPS+ of 88. His K/BB was 264/32. Sheets ERA+ that year was 162. CC has never had a season that good. Peavy has one full season like that. Santana has been an ace, but if your definition of ace is limited to one player, you are using that term differently than most people.
  10. kramnoj
    If you say to me that over the next few seasons that the team is willing to pay Jeff Suppan $12.5 mil per and Sheets not $17 mil per, I don't know what to say to you. IMO, the Brewers not offering any kind of contract before this year tells me they have no interest in retaining Sheets. They weren't willing to gamble that he would be healthy enough to warrant a contract extension. At this point, once FA comes, some team will be more desperate than the Brewers and will offer Sheets more money than the Brewers will want to. I do agree with your main point, though. If the Brewers go out and sign some mid-level pitcher this year, they will presumably be spending $10-$12 million/year for 3-4 years. I personally would rather spend the extra 50% for Sheets and the chance that he could be a playoff ace. It would be unlikely that any pitcher available for FA that the Brewers could sign would be a guy they want starting Game 1 or 2 of a playoff series.
  11. kramnoj
    Everytime TH makes these errors, which are fairly major, he damages both his credibility and the credibility of the Journal Sentinel. You think the JS loses credibility by addressing a rumor and saying that it's likely to be wrong? TH was called early in the morning because he was told there is a blog claiming that Yost was going to be fired. TH figured if it was important enough that he had to be called before the sun got up, he better address it. If you remember middle May, there was talk that Yost was on the hot seat. They were in last place, they got swept in Boston, things weren't looking good. There were people here speculating that this would be a good day to fire Yost, because it was an off day. Yost being fired was a topic on talk shows and on messageboards, it wasn't something that was completely out of the blue. Even though he didn't think it was likely, he felt that his blog was a place for him to address what he thought was going to be a bigger story. You may feel that way, but there aren't established guidelines on what is professional in all of these areas. They are making up the rules as they go along. They will get somethings wrong, but I don't feel it's clear cut that it was an unprofessional decision.
  12. kramnoj
    IIRC, most players peak in ages 26-28, so for most of the population, their age 29 year would be at the top of the hill and sliding down.
  13. kramnoj
    I don't get the desire for Dempster. After this season, he will have had two good seasons as a starter, and they will have been separated by 8 years. Even as a reliever, he's only had one good season, 3 years ago. Someone will undoubtedly overpay for Dempster, but I sincerely hope it's not the Brewers.
  14. kramnoj
    TH clearly has no idea how to maintain a blog for a major professional newspaper (remember when Yost got fired). TH didn't write that Yost was being fired. http://blogs.jsonline.com/brewers/archive/2008/05.aspx?PageIndex=3 is the blog archive, the relevant blog is May 19th. TH was called and told that there was a report that Yost was going to be fired. Tom figured if someone he knew had read this, other people would hear about it, and he should respond. So he wrote that there is a blog that has reported this, but that he couldn't verify it and didn't think it was likely. Tom didn't foresee that his own blog would bring more attention to this issue than if he hadn't reported it at all. I think this again shows how TH can't make all of his readers happy. He was called early in the morning and wrote a blog that was posted here at 4:57 AM because he had to catch a flight and he wanted to be timely, since that is one of the goals of a blog. Someone here complained because a roster move wasn't reported for 4 hours recently. Just about everybody has different expectations of what they want from TH, and this results in lots of people not being happy with his work (and that is regardless of his unforgiveable posting of someone's email address).
  15. kramnoj
    Weeks OPS+ was 19 points higher than Hall last year. This year they are even.
  16. kramnoj
    It is clear to me that the JS sports department doesn't know how to live in the e-world. Look at the response from Howard. He makes it clear that TH has two jobs, and that he shouldn't approach them in the same way. TH isn't like the rest of us, he doesn't have a learned understanding of what is appropriate communication and boundaries in this internet world. He busts readers chops just like he would if one of his colleagues said something stupid in the press room or having a pop after the game. I heard Bill Johnson on the D-List the other day say that he had the idea for PTI before PTI was ever on the air by watching TH and Drew Olson go at it when talking baseball. TH has to stop interacting with his readers because he really doesn't know where the boundary is, and it's not worth his time trying to figure it out. Another weird thing here is that Adam's email was given to TH. If this was a complaint, the only reason for TH to be given the email address is if he was specifically told to write an apology. Otherwise, that was just a stupid move by the President or Howard.
  17. kramnoj
    I guess I don't see Salome in the OF for the Brewers. There is realistically only one position he could compete for, and there would be a lot of players in line for that spot. Maybe the Brewers put him in the OF in AAA to develop him for a trade if they don't think he can make it as a catcher. I don't see that happening for a couple of years, though.
  18. kramnoj
    Are Salome's only options C or be traded and be a DH? I've never seen the guy play, would he have no ability to become a 2B? I realize he's too short to play 1B.
  19. kramnoj
    I still can't believe he won the MVP award last year. What a joke that has become, especially after Morneau. I'm not sure I understand. What does Rollins winning the MVP have to do with Morneau? Rollins is a good player and would have value on lots of teams. The Brewers are probably one of the teams he would have the least amount of value for.
  20. kramnoj
    http://www2.jsonline.com/general/contact.asp gives you the email address for all editors and management. In my time with retail, when customers get up to management above the store, the relevant manager just wants the problem to go away. It's not usually about disciplining the employee, it's about preventing any issues from reaching them. I would bet that this is being handled in a similar manner. I doubt the managers care very much if some non-paying person got insulted by one of their staff online. They do care about having someone email them and having to deal with it.
  21. kramnoj
    I completely understand the need for some/lots of it - but this year certainly seems to have taken it to a new level. I think this represents the interest the business community has in associating themselves with the Brewers. With sold out games and huge ratings on TV, companies want to ride the wave of Brewer fever.
  22. kramnoj
    That was a fun read, thanks for the link. How uncommon is it for a major leaguer to not be drafted out of high school (IIRC, Weeks wasn't drafted out of HS either)? I wonder if Braun's perceived cockiness turned off a few teams. I mean, the guy hit a homer at Dodger Stadium in HS! Hard to believe some team wouldn't spend one of its 50 picks on him.
  23. kramnoj
    Do they have advertisements on the uniforms? I remember when the Yankees went a few years ago, there were ads on the unis.
  24. kramnoj
    And I think the issues of high Ks and low BA & OPS -- along with BA-RISP! -- are bigger, more time-proven Brewers concerns than the righty-lefty thing. I still don't understand. You think Cameron's 831 OPS is low? If he had enough AB's to qualify, he would be 6th in the majors. This is what you said earlier: Cameron's power & RBIs are pretty positive, actually, but the high Ks and low BA & OPS out of these 3 (not that others are fully innocent, either) are just killing the Crew. Edit: Meant to say that Cameron's OPS is 6th at CF.
  25. kramnoj
    What baseball are you missing because of corporate relationsips, and how are they sacrifices? Other corporate deals: Metavante, Briggs and Stratton, BP Cmon Back club, promotiions this season included Summerfest, State Fair, Pizza Hut, Applebees, one of the oil change places (Valvoline?), Time Warner. Those are just off the top of my head. I think they spend more time pimping products than talking baseball. There isn't enough action in baseball to talk about baseball for 3 hours for 162 games a year, and Uecker only has so many stories to tell.
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