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bill hAll Star

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Everything posted by bill hAll Star

  1. bill hAll Star
    I'd guess this would be the lineup (order may not be perfect) vs. RHP 1. CF - Jackson (soft platoon: Jones may get ABs vs. tough RHP) 2. 2B - Cano 3. 3B - Seager 4. DH - Cruz 5. RF - Smith 6. 1B - LoMo 7. C - Zunino - Days off against tough RHP 8. SS - Taylor/Miller - Miller against tougher RHP maybe. 9. LF - Ackley vs. LHP 1. CF - Jackson 2. 2B - Cano (Weeks every once in a blue moon) 3. 3B - Seager 4. DH - Cruz 5. RF - Weeks 6. C - Zunino 7. 1B - Montero 8. SS - Taylor 9. LF - Ruggiano Super-utility: Bloomquist Backup C: Sucre - Gets ABs vs. tough RHP I like that offense quite a bit, actually.
  2. bill hAll Star
    Their corner OFs were all flawed LH hitters last year so he can carve out plenty of time at the corner OF spots. Most times when you'd look at their lineup vs. a LHP you'd see a bunch of RH names that you have never heard of (coming from somebody that knows most names going down into AA or AAA for most teams). He'll probably start 20-30 games in the corner OF, 5 at DH, and 5 at 2B, while pinch-hitting when the other team brings in a lefty late in the game when he doesn't start. Maybe 250 PA?
  3. bill hAll Star
    Why in the heck is Jonathan Broxton's name being involved? I'm not a fan of Broxton or Papelbon in the context of their contracts and would take neither if I had the choice, but the rationalization of the trade for Papelbon is, "well, Mark A. is going to [way] overpay dollar-wise for two aging, but decent relievers. Fine." But, if you give up Broxton (LOL @adding another player into the trade) for Papelbon, you've essentially just made your team exactly as good as it was before. All you'd be doing is taking on more money and having Papelbon's vesting option instead of Broxton's team option (with buyout). I'd actually rather have Broxton if I had to make a choice. He's a once very good reliever coming off arm issues and he seems to have settled into being decent. Papelbon is a once very good RP that is just hitting that stage where he plummets into arm issues and we may get the blow-up year. But again, why would you just swap guys that are both projected by Fangraphs and the likes to be essentially the same pitcher this season?
  4. bill hAll Star
    Parra has been more valuable than Dom Brown every year they've both been in the league. I realize that there is some possible untapped potential in Brown, but no thanks.
  5. bill hAll Star
    This was brought up similarly when people thought Aaron Rodgers' injury had worsened when the news came out of a partial tear in the playoffs... http://orthoinfo.aaos.org/topic.cfm?topic=A00111 "Hamstring muscle strain. A hamstring muscle strain is a tear or stretch of a major muscle in the back of the thigh. The injury can sideline a person for up to six months. The likely cause is muscle strength imbalance between the hamstrings and the muscles in the front of the thigh, the quadriceps. Kicking a football, running, or leaping to make a basket can pull a hamstring. Hamstring injuries tend to recur."
  6. bill hAll Star
    According to rotoworld: Partially torn hamstring tendon does not sound like a "mild strain" to me. This goes back to the Aaron Rodgers thing. "Strain" = "partially torn" medically.
  7. bill hAll Star
    Navarro's value comes from platooning against LHP. I guess in Maldonado's career, he is actually surprisingly worse against LHP, but I'm not sure how well this works. Probably not worth the money. Navarro has a .660 career OPS against RHP.
  8. bill hAll Star
    I liked the low-risk move of bringing in Perez, but just because he pitched the 9th inning before doesn't mean he's going to be a very good option there now if he recovers. I'd be happy if he is just a serviceable reliever. I think the bullpen is poised to have about 5 "pretty good" relievers in it, which is fine. I think if they got Papelbon, they'd have 6 "pretty good" relievers, but they'd also be adding a bunch of extra payroll and maybe shelling out a prospect to do so.
  9. bill hAll Star
    Parra is a more valuable/better player at this point to the Brewers at less than half the price than Papelbon...and we'd be tossing in the prospect? People need to stop considering Parra a "backup" and therefore throwaway. It's 2015, and more than your starting 9 matter. Parra gives great relief of platoon splits with Khris Davis against a tough righty, a "closer" defensive replacement for Davis, and also a guy that you could start/platoon if Braun or Gomez go down as well as a plus bat when we want to rest Braun/Gomez against RH pitching. I'm not trotting 7 righties out there again against a division of mostly shutdown RH pitchers. That's not the way regular season baseball goes anymore. It's the same reason I can't believe that they're going to play Scooter everyday. We need every advantage we can get.
  10. bill hAll Star
    If given the choice of Gerardo Parra or Papelbon on this roster, I'd take Parra. Not sure why he's just a throwaway. Of course, it's BleacherReport, so in their Madden 2015/MLB The Show 2015 trade proposals they always throw out, the writer probably sees "perceived overpaid 4th OF for closer experience guy!" in the trade. I don't expect them to factor in Papelbon's assumed downfall due to strand rate/declining velocity/BABIP/etc, Parra's defensive help, or his platoon splits that will be very valuable.
  11. bill hAll Star
    I'd be a fan of Grant Green to platoon with Scooter and be 3B insurance this year as well as Segura insurance this year. EDIT: He does have reverse splits over his short MLB career so far, though. Hits RHP OK and has been terrible against LHP...I'd assume that would change.
  12. bill hAll Star
    I could not imagine RRR having a "closer by committee" if he has a guy that's done it before on his staff. Why do we have to do the same old things all of the time? Why when teams look for "closers" do they have to look for guys that have pitched the 9th inning before? Of course, historically, teams have used their best pitchers there so that helps, but we end up overpaying for things that if we have foresight, can be replaced with cheaper players. I also realize there is risk in this one, as he had a very down year last year, and it "takes 2 to tango," but I'd have taken the resources and spent them on somebody like Jed Lowrie if I had to go out and spend. He can play against LHP for Scooter every time, be Aramis insurance (play for him once/week anyways), and play against tough RHP for Segura as well.
  13. bill hAll Star
    The worst thing about this is I wouldn't be able to hear the Harold Reynolds-types discuss how managers are foolish for implementing shifts when some guy pokes one to a vacated spot.
  14. bill hAll Star
    He is down to 91.3 MPH from the 95 range with his fastball per Haudricourt. Now, he's still effective, as we've seen by his numbers, but one more bit of elbow soreness or anything and he could either become a replacement-level RP or a gas can. You were right a bit in that he was similar to K-Rod, who was a solid reliever even with diminished speed, but I am not incredibly interested in investing 8-figures in some of these guys. Chances are, he's "pretty good" and I won't complain but he's not going to push us to the next level. Put me on the trade of "Lind was a very shrewd pickup and will be an excellent platoon 1B," "I totally understand the Gallardo trade," and "I think they are overpaying for Papelbon" but I am still rationalizing the Papelbon one as a "not bad" move (pending prospects going out). Just not extremely enthused about him in general. I'm one that always wants to go in some Rays form of rebuild, but I roll with the way Melvin and Mark A. move the franchise and therefore normally like the moves they make. I'm not sure that Papelbon gets me much more excited, though. Stay tuned, I guess.
  15. bill hAll Star
    Not sure if this is in response to my post, but I'll clarify: They are at least somewhat trying to win this year. A few posts have touched on Papelbon's cost being a big deal for 2016. I'm really on the side of the fence that isn't extremely enamored with Papelbon but I will live with the trade from a practical standpoint assuming they don't give up much for the future. My point was that if you are annoyed with taking on 2016 salary, I think if they fail at this thing in 2015, there's a good chance they're going to be back to the ol' drawing board and having Papelbon sitting on the payroll isn't going to make me lose sleep at night. It does affect their chance to once again rebuild on the fly and try to "contend" in 2016, but I feel like if Papelbon and the 2015 team fail miserably, 2016 will be a bit of a lost year seeing what they can get for Gomez, Broxton (option picked up, LuCroy, Garza, etc. as their deals come to a close or their value diminishes.
  16. bill hAll Star
    I know Mark isn't for full rebuilds, but if this team isn't really a contender in 2015, I feel like it is dead in the water for 2016 so I don't care what Mark is paying for Papelbon to rot if he hasn't been traded by then assuming the worst-case scenario. Not to rationalize it, because I think bringing in a guy with a declining velocity like this is a gas can waiting to happen, but if they are even doing a partial rebuild in 2016, Papelbon is either just a bad loan our owner has to pay back or a trade chip. This changes if a substantial trade piece has been given up to get him.
  17. bill hAll Star
    Trying to rationalize away the high price tag, if this was going to be the last move the Brewers make this year anyways (aside from getting another lefty bullpen arm) and Mark is willing to pay, I don't really care what the 2015 cost is dollar-wise as long as we aren't giving up anything from our system. 2016, a little bit more, but we don't have a ton on the books for 2016. That said, you can only say "eh, what's $10-15 million more...we don't have much on the payroll" so many times before your payroll once again becomes bloated. That's why I personally didn't hate the Gagne move as much as everyone else. Of course, everyone wanted to have their hot take that Gagne was washed up...which, of course he was. If it were up to me, I would never build my team with aging relievers. However, if Mark A. is willing to pay, there is no long-term commitment, and it costs nothing on the prospect side, then I can't complain.
  18. bill hAll Star
    The Giants had an awful bullpen during the regular season last year. Came around for the playoffs a little bit. I'd also argue the Tigers are why we shouldn't make this trade. The Tigers have been stockpiling overpriced guys with "closer experience" (as if that actually means anything) that have all exploded in front of their very eyes. Valverde, Coke (used incorrectly when he struggled), Soria, Nathan, etc. EDIT: I shouldn't say "awful" on the Giants. Depends what you're going by. Fangraphs thinks they weren't good via WAR but strictly by ERA and such they were pretty good. Their FIP was also good so maybe I was wrong on that one. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2014&month=0&season1=2014&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0
  19. bill hAll Star
    Yes, I know that they won't go with the full rebuild, which is why I discussed why if we are even "half contending" this year, I would not go in with the risk of depleting my rotation depth. If I would, I'd obviously go crazy.
  20. bill hAll Star
    Agreed on the 2 lefty thing...not tying up Smith in the 8th inning role makes it a lot better, though.
  21. bill hAll Star
    Understood, but I guess I already am planning for 2016. I'm sensitive to Mark A's desire to compete every year, and more importantly the dangers of having a true fire sale with a 60-102 team. So I wouldn't trade everyone, but if it looks like the there's a couple arms that look good in Spring I would be tempted to move Lohse or Garza for the right deal. I would rather struggle with a couple .500ish seasons and really build a strong, young rotation, continue to slowly improve the position players, and build up the farm system with true high ceiling guys. This team needs to hit it big with another Fielder or Braun from within at some point. I'm always one in favor of a full rebuild, and if we're going to do that, I'd dangle almost any valuable player that we have.
  22. bill hAll Star
    I wish they just had a role that consisted of all of the relievers "best guy in this situation to get the hitter(s) out" for the 8th inning (and even 9th IMO). Things like not platooning Gennett and making Smith the "8th inning guy" might cost this team several games, which are huge in a closely-contended division. Of course, the season hasn't started. My gears are grinding at the possibility but I'll patiently wait until it happens/doesn't happen.
  23. bill hAll Star
    I'd be wary of dangling the remaining rotation guys, and I am fully aware of the limitations of Garza, Lohse, etc. but there will be an injury or two in the rotation. Assuming Nelson will perform, Peralta will repeat/improve, Fiers will be "figured out" again or whatever are all not givens. Dealing away depth of the rotation means one injury or player falter in 2015 and you can start planning for 2016.
  24. bill hAll Star
    Since Will Smith is slated to be our set up guy, we will need another lefthander to hold down the LOOGY role. Maholm makes sense since he adds a veteran who can spot start when needed. Chen and Morales would be some additional left handed options who could fill the swingman role. I know that Smith got tired last year and was good against both hands early, but making him the "8th inning guy" is more backwards 1970s baseball strategy from our manager. A guy that allowed right-handed hitters collectively to be better than Jonathan Lucroy on the whole (.872 OPS (Lucroy was .837)) should not blindly be placed in just because it's the 8th inning so that we can find out in June that he just doesn't belong pitching against a large sample of RH hitters. We should take note from well-managed teams like the Rays and A's. Don't try to wish away a player's weaknesses, utilize his strengths and find somebody else to play at his weak points.
  25. bill hAll Star
    Do we need two lefties in the pen? I guess it makes sense since we have teams like the Cubs that will have matchup lefties all over the place for our rotation full of RH starters, but we've got Smith as the LOOGY. Another one is probably necessary, though.
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