Really tough decision. The percentages some of you are throwing out about the chance of winning going down from 95% to 98.8% don't take into account the batters that are being faced. I could be wrong, but I think fangraphs simply looks at run differential combined with game situation, so their computer just saw that it was 9th inning with 2 outs and bases loaded, but not that it was Hamilton at the plate and Byrd on deck, with Balfour on the mound. In the ninth inning with a lead, the runners that are already on base really don't have an impact on the game if they're not the winning or tying run (unless they give you a chance at a double play, or if they're so slow that they keep the tying run from advancing around the bases). So intentionally walking a guy in with the bases loaded, 2 outs, and a 4-run lead really isn't all that different than intentionally walking a guy with the bases empty, 2 outs, and a 1-run lead. I don't think anyone would question the decision to put Hamilton on base in the 2nd situation (bases empty, 2 outs, 1-run lead). I think the Rays did what gave them the best chance of winning the game because if Hamilton either doubled or homered, the Rangers would have kept the momentum and would have needed only a single to tie the game if Hamilton doubled. Although if it was my decision, I probably would have pitched to Hamilton bacause of the media firestorm that would have ensued if we lost after I put the tying run on base.