CheezWizHed
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Everything posted by CheezWizHed
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"Frees up salary"... the problem is that it frees up less than salary than a vet minimum contract. And I'll bet on Hobbs over a vet minimum salary guy. You get over $8M for a post-June cut... but you also lose the opportunity to find guys work $8M/year too. So it ends up being a catch-22. Hobbs wasn't great, but cutting him doesn't give you much of an opportunity to improve the position either. Given that cutting a player 1 year after giving him a 4 year contract looks bad for a GM and there is little upside to cutting him... I'd guess they stick with him.
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We did also have Durbin's 1 year of production at 3B (2.8 bWAR) which was more than Williams brought in any single year of his career. -
It is hard to gauge the trade for a fictitious player. Technically Wilken and Adams are both controllable, young 3B. I'd assume you mean someone at the MLB level, but are we talking a 100 OPS+ bat or 140? GG defense or passable? 1 year of control or 6? The variables matter a lot...
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With Vaughn, I think you have to partially ignore his 2025 season both with the CHI-SOX and the Brewers. Both look a bit like outliers. I'd guess an OPS around 750 would be his floor. Wouldn't surprise me to see him around 800 if the move to the Brewers did have any specific benefit to him (team, coaching, approach, the fans 😉) A soft platoon with Bauers certainly helped him by avoiding the tougher RHPs. I'd wager that the pair can easily exceed 2 WAR this year. 3WAR even seems like a low bar. Yelich is not a 1B. Time to let it go.
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My only thought about Hobbs is that if you cut him... you have to replace him. And cutting him doesn't save much money anyway. Post-June cuts save more this year, but who is left in FA at that point? This would be the year to go with the spaghetti at the wall approach. Sign a couple low-cost FA CBs that failed elsewhere (basically last year's Stokes) and let them compete with a high-ish draft pick, last year's returning CBs, and our three main CBs. If things look good early, maybe you let Hobbs go later?
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But the 2026 offseason doesn't start until next Monday. 😛
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Beauty is in the eye of the beholder... Phoenix dropped $2.5M to get under the tax line. Milwaukee got the only NBA viable rotation player out of the 4 with Richards. He is on expiring contract (they all are) but the Bucks own his Bird rights if they want him back next year. But getting even "B" grades certainly seems more logical than "D" and "A". I suppose it is good to remember this is Bleacher Report... perhaps the author was miffed that the Bucks didn't trade Giannis.
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Regarding CB, I wonder what people expect exactly. Nixon's performance dipped this year, but still was rated as a starting CB. Saying he is league average is a fair assessment. He is on a decent contract for his performance, so not much to gain by releasing him either. Valentine is on a rookie contract which basically is enough to say he stays. Performance wise, I'd rate him about the same capability as Nixon, but worse on instincts. There were several coverage blunders where he looked like he was guessing and got burnt. The chances of both of them coming back are very high. Hobbs' return could be debated. I'm about 50/50 if I think they will give him a second try or not. Mainly because there isn't a lot of cap savings to be had (although there is cash savings). But either way: Nixon, Valentine, (development CB holdovers from last year) + draft pick(s) + a FA or Nixon, Valentine, (development CB holdovers from last year) + draft pick(s) + Hobbs neither would constitute wholesale changes... Doesn't sound like there is much available for FA signing either.
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Bucks trade Cole Anthony, Amir Coffey to Suns for Nick Richards, Nigel Hayes-Davis. Richards looks like an upgrade for Jericho Sims. Or a precursor to a Bobby trade? Nice to have NHD on the Bucks... just for some Badger love. Giving up Anthony or Coffey are nothing-burgers, except that we oddly lacking anything at the SF position. Maybe Khash gets a buy-out and come back to fill the hole?
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I'm very high on Rollins. No way do I take a 2nd. Keep him and let him grow then. The Tank is strong with this one...
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Yes, if Giannis moves, it is fire-sale time. Next year, take on bad contracts for draft picks, then work on building it back up. Rollins would be the one I'm on the fence about... but if we are tearing down, it might still make sense for a good return.
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I would imagine we will see Mitchell and Perkins in a soft platoon or late inning replacement situation to limit Garrett's load. If he gets hurt again, I'd imagine that Chourio or Jett is the most probable long-term solution.
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In my mind, I've been comparing him to Byron Buxton, but even the oft-injured Bux averages 81 games and 310 ABs per year. Whereas Mitchell is closer to 35 games and 111 ABs. Hopes may be high, but expectations are low.
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So I got my first solar quote - a company that did both roofing (which I need to do first) and solar. $25k for a 10kWh (annual production) system - a very simple ROI puts it at a 22 year break-even point (with a 30-year warrantee). I've didn't factor in the increased cost of electricity (yet), but I also didn't figure in opportunity cost or efficiency losses either. I really doubt I'm going to get it under a 10 year ROI (which was my goal).
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What do those numbers compare to? To an NBA average? Buck's Average? To the average without them in the lineup? How do those +X numbers compare to other star pairs in the NBA? If Giannis+Lillard are +10.0, but Tatum and Brown are +15.0 (made it up)... They are all great players and should provide positive value, but that number in a vacuum doesn't mean much. Just by using my eyeballs, Giannis and Lillard was a very uncomfortable offense to watch. It is also clear that Turner plays very differently when Giannis is injured.
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If Wilken hits > 800 OPS and Pratt hits <700 OPS. Futures are still TBD and Wilken's power is always going to give him a bit more leash given how rare it is.
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If we are using the benefit of hindsight, we should've traded him in 2022... I'm guessing that no GM wants to cut the roster to the bones right now... because we have no assets to rebuild for the next 4 years. A losing GM isn't going to last that long. I do find it interesting how hard it has been to find players that fit with Giannis well. Lillard didn't. Turner doesn't. Is Giannis the next Russell Westbrook or James Harden (even Lillard himself might fit in this group)?
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Whoa. I've never looked at the 60s era of QB stats before. Looks like Starr went to the ProBowl in 1960 with 1358 passing yards, 4 TD thrown and 8 INTs... Very different era of FB. So I suppose Sander's 1400 yds, 7TD, and 10 INTs fit right in... 60 years ago.
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I think most had higher hopes for Pratt initially, hoping for a higher ceiling type SS. After a couple of years, his bat looks a little light but could still change. Meanwhile you add Made who has a huge ceiling and Williams who is ahead of CP developmentally... Doesn't mean he is bust, just that he has been passed up.
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"Come to where the flavor is..." Seattle?
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The problem is that the players know it is a joke too. Should I go to the ProBowl or go relax on a beach in the Caribbean? Now if Nixon and Sanders were the first people chosen as replacement, that would be nuts.... I need to believe that many, many people (especially for Sanders) turned it down first. Sanders was the third best QB on his team. Is this the first time a Pro-Bowl QB had more interceptions than TDs?
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I think MLF needs to give up playcalling duties. He gets praised for his ability to structure plays and set up an offense, but there are time he really struggles in executing the offense. Maybe by giving up the live playcalling, he could focus on challenges, identifying defensive shifts, etc... and then put a bug in the play caller's ear. In both the QB and the coach, the main differentiator between the very good and the HOF is the ability to think and adjust on the fly quickly... I'm not sure MLF or Love have that skill (or certainly inconsistent at it).
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Peralta and Myers traded for Jett Williams and Sproat
CheezWizHed replied to torts's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
No, I don't think Jett was picked up for a second trade and I don't see many "blockages" for a few reasons: I think he potentially could do exactly what Durbin did last year... Start at AAA and jump to MLB if Ortiz continues to struggle. He and Turang would swap if you have SS concerns with him. Pratt's bat isn't a lock for MLB and he still needs to prove himself at AA/AAA. If Jett can play CF, the field opens up quite a bit for him. Not much in the pipeline for CF (save for defensive players with light hitting ratings - Perkins can be included there too) and Mitchell is so injury prone that you can't count on him lasting terribly long (until he actually does it). Pena seems unlikely to be a regular SS at the MLB level (not at Brewer Defensive expectations at least), but that is generally how the Brewers fill 3B/SS/2B... draft SS and move them off if they can't play there. Will the Brewers sign Turang long term or trade him? Having too many good SS is a great problem to have. -
Would be interesting to go back to the Hafley hire discussions too. No one was impressed until he showed success. So which DC would've exceeded cromulence for you?
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Peralta and Myers traded for Jett Williams and Sproat
CheezWizHed replied to torts's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
<5'9" is the new market efficiency!
