CheezWizHed

Honestly, I liked it better when you went for outliers instead of statistical norms. Made it more fun to predict who would have a hot week. Cooper is 1/3 the way there!

For this week, I'll go with hits again - Chourio with 5 H in 7 games should be pretty easy. Yelich with 3 BB in 7 games is about is norm. Turang with 1 SB should be easy... but oddly he isn't stealing much (maybe because he has been at the top of the order and doesn't want outs on base ahead of the big bats coming. Vaughn's K rate has also been far less (about 11%) this year, so 4Ks in 7 games is right about his norm also. I'll say Pratt's RBIs will be the hardest one to get ... and I hope he makes me pay for that prediction.

Rengifo: Needed 2 hits, got 1… and then got DFA’d. My man literally left the roster to avoid my prediction. Your prediction included the last game of the Athletics, 3 games of the Phillies, and the first game of Cleveland. June 10-16th Date Tm Opp Result Pos AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS IBB GIDP SF SH ROE BOP WPA aLI cWPA acLI RE24 PO A 2026-06-14 MIL PHI W, 4-0 3B 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 -0.113 0.62 -0.06% 0.53 -1.241 0 1 2026-06-13 MIL PHI L, 8-9 PR 2B 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0 0 2026-06-10 MIL @ ATH L, 3-4 PH 2B 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0.085 2.90 0.05% 2.63 0.388 0 0 Looks like 2 hits to me...

I'd feel better if we were getting 750 OPS out of one of the SS/3B positions, but no one move will fix two positions. This move was "free"... so there is no harm in trying it, IMO. Just about every year, the Brewers trade for a rental player at the deadline... most often an RP, but we've grabbed a few bats in the past too. If they have two positions at sub 600 OPS, I can almost guarantee they will bring someone in. FYI, the Dodgers won the WS last year with: Michael Conforto: 199/305/303/637 (79 OPS+) - 486 PAs Tommy Edman: 225/274/382/655 (82 OPS+) - 377 PAs No team has 800 OPS hitters in every position...

I thought Patino (name sake alone) was going to turn things around. Nope. The last guy (who I forget) made a lot of noise about building a fence around MN. Nope. At this point, you just have to wait and see. They always sound good when they start.

Sometimes you need to see the trend to understand the direction. Bringing up Pratt right now gives them a chance to see if he can hit MLB pitching. I don't expect him to be a 850 OPS hitter. But if he is 650 with good defense... you've "fixed" the SS position. They see what they have for the next 1.5 months and then come to the trade deadline knowing what they need to fix. There is no harm putting Pratt in there... they can still make a deadline trade if needed. This isn't an either-or proposition.

I fully supported his signing (thinking he'd be able to product at least a 700 OPS) and I fully support his release. Time to move on. This will give Pratt a chance to see if he can be an everyday player this year...and if not still have time to trade for someone at the deadline.

You sure hear the whining here in MN about all the players that have gone to the Badgers over the years...

Other stats to consider: Rengifo: 205 .280 .254 .534 51 Ortiz: .207 .299 .262 .561 59 The bar is pretty low for him to clear.

Here is hoping the Brewers sign Woo as a pitching coach when he career is done. With all he has been through, battled through, and adjusted to, he is going to be a great person to teach others how to pitch.

I'll assume that your definition of a win is your prediction or better. So, I'll pick Regnifo's 2 hits. Over 5 games, he should get around 17ABs (looking at his current average/game). At a 200 BA, that is about 3.5 hits. So as much as hope that Cooper replaces him soon, that seems like the easiest one to reach since he statistically is doing above that already. Everyone else would have to exceed their typical averages per five games to get to your prediction of their stat. Side note: I didn't realize how horrible Mitchell has been on the basepaths this year. 6 SBs and 5 CS. Woof!

Interesting challenge. Hopefully Wild Bill scoffs at how much you "underestimated" him! 😉

Really great news! Free Luis Lara!

His BA/OPS/OPS+/WAR (pick one) is the reason his time in MKE is limited. They can send Blake to AAA if they want the depth. Of course, 40 man spots might be limited too. Regardless, he hits arbitration next year and we weren't going to arby with him (maybe Arbys...).

Looks like they really leaned into an availability laden incentive setup, which makes sense for us. Also it could easily be a 2 year contract... or a 4 year contract for not much more than Romeo Doubs. Frankly, I think both Reed and Watson were great deals for the Packers.

If you compare this current extension (4 years, $111M) to other WRs, that makes perfect sense. But both of you (and a couple of sports writers) included the full 5 years with only what he is owed this year. Sure, cash flow is important when you are running a business, but it doesn't make sense when comparing the cost of players. Quoting 5 years $116M and comparing it to current signings doesn't say much. It cost the Packers $121M total to employ Watson for 5 years; regardless of whether we paid part of it in 2025 My point is that if you want to compare Watson's cost to other WR, you should use 4/$111M or 5/$121M. Using 5/$116M doesn't tell the total cost of compensation.

I have confidence that Towns will disappear under pressure per usual.

But this was my point. It is 5 years $121M if you want to compare to other WR signings.

Good thing I addressed that in the first line of the blog. 😉

To be fair... no one cares if you win the offseason. Still have to make it count on the field. Yeah, I'm kind of there too. He has really stunk the last few years, but it FINALLY looks like he has turned recruiting around a bit. I don't want to lose that momentum now. But I also don't want to be thinking in three years that he still stinks.

It just "looks" weird to make it look like is so discounted this year by saying the two deals combined is for 5 years $116M. This year cost us $11M... the cap hit is lower, but he was still paid for it. I look at it more as 5 years $121M. That makes it a better apples to apples comparison with other signings.

They aren't mutually exclusive... Maybe I'm missing something? You, @LouisEly, and some writer out on Acme Packing company are focusing on this $5.5-6M number, but the first extension was $11M base with up to $13M with incentives. Did part of the signing bonus get counted last year?

Watson's last extension was about $13M.