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Roderick

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Everything posted by Roderick

  1. Are we buying the Astros to trade their decent, cheap guys to the Brewers are we buying them to beat out the Brewers? I could chip in my winnings from my Badgers vs Wolverines bet.
  2. The biggest advantage I can think of to paying any coach a bale of bucks is that the players know this and realize that the manager has power and will be there longterm. So they will more likely "get with the program" or risk not playing as much as they potentially could. Valentine is going to be able to come in and bench a starter if he has to - there is no chance that he will get fired. The club has an investment in Valentine, that they can't trade away (unlike a player).
  3. Signing a contract as a hitting coach doesn't preclude him from interviewing and getting a job as manager for a different team. Taking the two-year contract gives him the security of the contract, but doesn't restrict his moving up the ladder. Seems like a no-brainer.
  4. Plus Rogers would be cheaper in years 2014-2016, because he would be prearby one more year and always one year lower on the arby scale. Start him in the minors, and bring him up for the inevitable starter injury/sucking and go from there.
  5. We really were not at $90m this year. Wolf deferred $4m.If you total up all of the buyouts and dead money like Hall, Suppan, Looper, Davis, Zaun etc I have the Brewers at low $90Ms before any September callup costs. So they are in the $90M ballpark with deferrals.
  6. I also assume that MA and DM will reign in the budget. I assume MA lost money at $90M this year. Add that to attendance that will be down next year, I assume that $80M would be the goal. Unless DM pulls enough moves during free agency and through trades, that MA authorizes going in the red to field a playoff-contending team.
  7. I really don't think that Cain would have started the season in the majors. And I don't think that Melvin would have counted on Edmonds to make it through the year as the starting CF. Edit: I guess I forgot that Gerut may have been considered the backup to an Edmonds breakdown. Which does mean that the Brewers really did save that extra money as they wouldn't have tried to sign some FA. I never said Gomez was a min guy. What I found was that Hardy was $5.1M (ESPN) and Gomez was $1.1M (Bfan.net). Hence the $4M difference I stated.
  8. Gomez was $4M cheaper than Hardy this season. We know Escobar and Cain are min wage. If you are trying to isolate the cost/benefit "what if" scenario, I think the question would be what would the Brewers have done at CF without Gomez (to start the season) and how much would that additionally cost.
  9. Maybe I missed something, but has Braun ever been asked by the media if he would embrace a move to 1B? Because, I would assume Braun would not like a move to 1B - and if that is the case, would Melvin risk that with Braun?
  10. Yes, net income does become retained earnings. That does not mean that the club can't budget to make money one year and lose money (and use retained earnings) the next year. If that is your plan, than yes you can "carry over" your budget or restrict that share of retained earnings for next year costs.
  11. My estimation is that it would be very minimal extra ticket sales revenue and that it would not come close to the payroll savings for Hoffman for the rest of the year. Trade him for nothing, if he wants to go.
  12. I guess I assume that we will have a bullpen of 8 guys again next year, and I only see Axford, Braddock, Villy, and Loe as "knowns". Hawkins - injury or lost it? With Coffey's injury and pricetag? Capuano? I can assume 1-2 Kintzlers or McClendons show enough during the spring to make the team, but that doesn't get you to 7-8 guys. I think a "better" veteran signed to a two year contract (as Hawkins salary is gone after 2011) would be a good bridge. A guy willing to settle for a 1 year contract, is going to be even more of a crapshoot than the usual bullpen guy is. Of course the starting pitching needs to be figured out before I would work on the bullpen. And, if after signing a free agent, there is nothing left in the budget, then so be it.
  13. Agreed, we've finally got a lot of young power relievers. We should have at least 4-5 guys in our BP the next several years who are promoted from within, not signed from outside the org. Do we have enough young guys to replace Riske, Hoffman, and potentially Coffey (do you pay him arby? $2.5M?) and Capuano? I'm thinking they are going to have to sign 1 more multiyear free agent reliever yet to get them through to the arms that were drafted lately.
  14. I'm thinking Haudricourt meant this to read the opposite, but this is what the online story said. "but Hoffman does not have a no-trade clause in his contract." http://www.jsonline.com/sports/brewers/99511604.html
  15. Logically or not, Garza's price tag just went up a bunch with his nohitter.
  16. Don't forget to include team option buyouts in your budget. Suppan $2M Davis $1M Hoffman $.5M Zaun $.25M Riske $? not sure if any I do agree with Monty's list on the whole. I would put Loe right on the list of relievers with the league min salary. I think Weeks and Gomez are going to get more in arby than what you have. But that is splitting hairs next to the big decisions on Fielder and Hart. I think one comes back next year as I can't see Melvin trading both away. What would Fielder and Hart get in arby - $14.25M and $7.25M, anyone?
  17. Agreed. But how much is he going to get in 2011? $6-$7M? Seems to me the Brewers need to trade him (and Coffey) before the deadline not only for the prospects but to clear the salary to get a #1/#2 pitcher.
  18. Macha won't get fired. Why? Because they don't want Randolph or Sveum coaching the team next year, and even if the team simply plays to it's preseason expectations in the second half, they'll be 'way better' under the new manager and he'll have his whole leg in the door for next year. I really don't understand why firing Macha means that Randolph or Sveum will be managing the team next year. Sveum took over when they fired Yost, guided them to the playoffs, but wasn't retained as manager and they hired Macha. I think the rationale is that if the Brewers play decently with a switch to Randloph/Sveum for the rest of the season that Melvin will be compelled to keep them on as manager next year. And that may not be what Melvin wants to do. That is all assuming Melvin gets another shot at hiring a Manager. Seems to me that he has been around long enough that the minors and major league rosters are his to take blame or congratulations for, and not to many times does a GM get to hire as many managers as Melvin will have went through.
  19. The only logical reasons to keep Suppan over anyone is that Suppan is already paid and/or we don't want to start the MLB clock on some prospect. By being paid, I mean that if we had to bring another player up from the minors to the 25 man roster that wasn't already under a MLB contract, that would cost the Brewers the difference between the MLB minimum ($400K?) versus whatever the player was making in the minors. Now guys like Riske (when he comes back) are already on a MLB contract so that wouldn't apply to him. As for the clock issue, that applies when we are talking 25 man roster, which if Suppan was DFAd you just have to make sure you aren't bring up a "Braun" too early. There aren't that many bodies in the higher minors that may be so good (that aren't already on the 25 man roster) you want to make sure that you are meticulous on their MLB days (Cain?). So to me it looks like the Brewers decided it was better to the team as a whole to lose Heether than pay Suppan's replacement on the 25 man roster that couple of hundred thousand difference for the rest of the year. $200,000 isn't anything to sneeze at - I would take it. Just hope they spend it well.
  20. My feelings are that his long-term stats are going to be closer to last year than his stats this year to date. You want the Brewers to pay what he would get in arbitration ($6M?) for another year? I don't, hence he isn't in the long-term plans anyways, so trade him now as you probably won't get anything after the season. If you disagree about his ability and you think he can sustain good seasons, then I can understand where you are coming from. If you agree that Hart isn't going to put up the numbers worthy of $6M then I think you are overpaying just to have an average player on the MLB roster in 2011 versus possibly having a decent prospect in the minors.
  21. How many relatives does he have? I am the least bit interested in going to a Brewer game to watch Hoffman. Knowing there is a better chance of watching Axford and Braddock would be more compelling to buy tickets to me. I would think differently if Hoffman had gotten more of those lifetime saves with the Brewers, but to me he is just a hired gun.
  22. Yeah, if the Brewers pick up his salary. $7.5M is quite a chunk of change.
  23. I would hope the Brewers trade away a bullpen guy if the usual overpaying for pitching exists at the trading deadline. Assuming the guys get their acts together to be tradeable. If that was the case, there would be room in 2011.
  24. Not my perception. I think most of greats have a pretty big ego (well earned), and feel they can turn it around the very next pitch. I think you usually see retirement "forced" upon them by teams not being interested in their services (at least in their expected price range) anymore.
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