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Roderick

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Everything posted by Roderick

  1. Roderick
    I agree that he could probably pull that type of contract. But that doesn't mean he hasn't been a negative value for the Brewers last year and would probably be a negative value this year. But some GM would gamble at that cost to get one last decent 'lightning in a bottle' year out of him. Hopefully that is the case in 2010, because it sure seems to me he that Melvin is prepared to see him in the rotation again.
  2. Roderick
    Would anyone want to do this deal if we had a deal in place to move Hart (and change) for pitching? Would make it Gerut and Byrnes in RF. The downside it would seem to me is that if Gomez can't hit at all and you want to put Gerut in CF, then you are counting on Byrnes being available everyday in RF.
  3. Roderick
    I don't think it is an economic downturn discount. It is the usual factors that work against Milwaukee. It is I can shelter half of my multimillion dollar contract from state income taxes by playing 81 games in Texas. And / or I get to live someplace that isn't Milwaukee. It seems to me you have players that go out of there way to stay away from Milwaukee. Whether it be the the weather or less recreational opportunities or $ marketing opportunities - it all means the Brewers have to pay a premium. If the Brewers were going after Harden, my guess they would have had to pay at least $8M to sign him versus what the Rangers had to pay.
  4. Roderick
    Where did the $80M figure come from? Melvin? By my calculations the Brewers spent low $90M last year (variables such as Riske insurance, various incentives, and Sept callups). Why would the Brewers not be in that ballpark again? Of course I count the "dead money" like Hall, Looper, Weathers when I calculate the budget.
  5. Roderick
    You can't. That is why the Brewers will have to take back an equally bad contract. And it sounds like the Dodgers are kicking some money, all the better. The Brewers can actually use Pierre, if they trade Gomez or Gomez needs time in AAA. Whereas I hope Suppan doesn't pitch any innings where the game is on the line next year for the Brewers.
  6. Roderick
    I don't know, it seems to me you can always flip a good reliever to a contender in July for some good prospects. That will give you all kinds of years under control.
  7. Roderick
    Where is the $80M "again" coming from? The Brewers were probably mid $90M for just the major league club after adding in all the stuff that comes after opening day roster like Lopez, Weathers, callups, etc. And I do agree that the Brewers 3M attendance is not the same as another team's attendance. If you want to figure revenue by attendance across the league you better find an average ticket price, and the Brewers aren't going to touch the bigger cities price they can charge because of demand and cost of living in Boston, New York, San Fran, etc.
  8. Roderick
    Has anyone ever seen any figures on how much my $14.95 per season to mlb.com for radio (video) produces for teams? I think teams like the Brewers just need to hold out another ~ 15 years and all the media content will be considered "internet", of which Selig made sure was split equally over all franchises. Then teams will be almost on the same footing as the Yankees.
  9. Roderick
    Jackson, however, would benefit from moving to the National League.Agreed on NL effect. Plus I am not familiar with the AL anymore, how does Detroit's stadium effect pitching stats? I assume it must be middle of the pack, since no one has mentioned it is a Petco or a bandbox. Is it + / - ?
  10. Roderick
    Are you going from the below paragraph or was there something else Melvin stated? If it is from below, I don't think it is so strong a statement that Melvin is saying that McGehee is going to start regardless of how he looks in spring training. If McGehee struggles and Gamel is burning it up ..... McGehee's breakthrough "probably slows Mat's progress to the big leagues a little bit," Brewers general manager Doug Melvin said. "The big question with Casey McGehee is, can he carry over this year into next year? I keep saying that [Dodgers third baseman] Casey Blake developed late in his career, at 28, 29 years old. Is Casey McGehee Casey Blake? http://milwaukee.brewers....p;fext=.jsp&c_id=mil
  11. Roderick
    I disagree. I don't think Escobar, Gomez, and Lucroy/Salome will hit in 2010, but I could see a fair chance that 2 out of the 3 positions will provide close to league average overall offense with very good defense in 2011. Hopefully by 2011 the Brewers will be able to count on a pitcher from the minors in the starting rotation and spend the Suppan money on a free agent. The only problem with setting this all up for 2011 is that means the Brewers keep Fielder and if they are still in it at the trading deadline they are in quite a quandry and may end up only getting picks for him.
  12. Roderick
    I'm not saying you retain Looper, but even those pitchers still are getting close to what Looper's net cost of $5.5M is. Plus you still have to pick one out of the "abundance" that is going to have a decent season - that is the real trick, isn't it. Should be interesting. This article Melvin talks about how he doesn't have all that Cameron/Hardy money to spend on free agency. http://www.jsonline.com/sports/brewers/69725222.html Though the Brewers traded shortstop J.J. Hardy ($4.65 million salary) for Gomez and passed on free-agent centerfielder Mike Cameron ($10 million), Melvin said it's not accurate to say the Brewers have an extra $15 million to spend on pitching.
  13. Roderick
    I don't think baseball usually work this way. Teams like the Yankees and Red Sox have to pay more to get a player because the players know they will overbid to sign them. The Patriots get players at a discount because of endorsements etc, I don't think the Red Sox really do.If the Yankees and Red Sox would bid for players at the market rate (without them escalating it), I think you would still find they get more than their fair share of players because of the additional endorsement income. But on the same tact, those players out for the biggest total "net" salary will also favor the states with no income tax. 81 games with no state income tax looks good.
  14. Roderick
    At the time of the Brewers offer everyone and their grandma knew the Yankees were going to offer and offer big, which meant at the time the Brewers offered the market rate was pretty much at where the Yankees ended up paying him and not even close to what they offered. I'm not saying the Brewers should have or could have offered more, but it's seems pretty clear from economic supply and demand that CC's market rate was much more at the time of the Brewers offer.
  15. Roderick
    Coffey is going to be probably twice what you have. He made $800-$925 (depending on source) last year and will (and should) get a bump with arbitration. Fielder earned $500K of incentives, so that would probably be counted against last year's budget, but if not tack that onto his salary. Not that he deserves more, but I would bet that Hart gets a good sum more in arbitration than what you have down. He was $3.25M this year. I don't know how much middling relievers like Villy make in the first year of arbitration, but I would assume it is at least seven figures just based on innings thrown and not the $400K minimum salary as shown. As discussed in the thread, I agree with building into the budget the buyouts (Weathers, maybe Looper) and dead money (Hall, uninsured portion of Riske). Personally, I assumed half of Riske's contract into the budget assuming the other half would be insured. A couple of articles. http://legalball.com/MLB-news.html http://www.sportsbusinessdaily.com/article/120793
  16. Roderick
    I realize that players (especially the high-profile players) have charitable items in their contracts, but as I mentioned Counsell is a free agent, and I hardly doubt his special olympics PSA was a contract-mandated appearance. And if it wasn't, wouldn't that actually mean he was doing it out of the goodness of his heart?
  17. Roderick
    I think any budget they impose upon themselves regarding player costs is more for political / public relation reasons versus having to worry about actually having to enough money to cover the payroll.
  18. Roderick
    If he was "forced" to do it. But I don't see how he would have been compelled, as a free agent, which would make it genuine to me.
  19. Roderick
    Yes, but only Howard and a few Phillies employees would know that and it couldn't be publicly acknowledged or they would be sued by whichever party would currently own the supposedly "official" ball. So Howard would have the real ball if he wants it for his shelf (but not to sell), and the other party has the ball they could sell.
  20. Roderick
    Tempting for free, but I don't think teams are going to trade much of any value back over to the Brewers for a $4M Hart (guessing at arby cost). My opinion is the Brewers will have to tack some value on to Hart to get any type of pitcher (that isn't Suppan-overpaid), that we would plan on starting next year, back in trade.
  21. Roderick
    I'm all for trading Fielder if we package him with Suppan and get a very good young (cheap and under control) pitcher plus clean them out of whoever they have that is good, young and cheap in their organization - despite position.
  22. Roderick
    Not if the Brewers decline his option and have to pay a buyout of $500K - $1M. I would consider that buyout to be substantial enough to be quite a bit different from free agency.
  23. Roderick
    I would like to hear whatever everybody thinks Bush is going to get in arbitration. If he made $4M this year, had a bad, but injured season, would he get less, the same, or more? I think if we are looking at $5M or less I am fine with that. If we are looking at more than $5M I would have concerns. What is the cost to cut after spring training? Is it 25%. If we lay down $5M on Bush and he looks like he doesn't have it during spring training, then the exit cost would be $1.33M. Is $1.33M worth it to have a chance to get the good Bush? I think so.
  24. Roderick
    He must not be the only one that thinks Dunn doesn't like baseball. He had to go play for the Senators.http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/tongue.gif
  25. Roderick
    Prince is still under team control for the 2011 season. It will be his third and last year under arby. Now the Brewers may feel compelled to move him after 2010 because they will get more value by trading him (and saving his arbitration salary) than letting him walk the following year for just picks. I'm okay with the Hoffman signing. I understand how it is just one inning and isn't statistically significant, but you hear all the time players and managers say they feel so much better when they know they have a decent closer on their team. That is something that stats can't put a number to, but probably does show up in a team's play over the long run. I would think it gets discouraging when your team loses games to saves and the other teams walk out their closer that is going pretty good. I do think that the Hoffman signing is evidence that MA has materially increased Melvin's budget for 2010. If the budget was to remain in the $90M vicinity then I wouldn't have pulled the trigger on Hoffman if I was Melvin before seeing how free agency and other trades would effect my budget.
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