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Bruce Ciskie

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Everything posted by Bruce Ciskie

  1. The Brewers are 2-0 when I get to watch them on TV. I get to watch them on TV tonight. Just sayin'. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  2. I'm sure this is some sort of jinx, but 15 of Dougie's 19 pitches so far have been strikes.
  3. Dear Wes (Helms)-- I'm sure you already know this, but you suck. That is all.
  4. Exactly. It plays out for what happened today, too. IF Miller swings away and bounces into a 5-4-3, Yost has to hear about how he didn't bunt in an "obvious bunt situation". But if Yost has Miller bunt and Miller doesn't get the job done, it's the players' fault. I'm not assuming Miller gets a hit. But the odds of him getting a hit are better when he swings away than they are when he's bunting. He came to the batter's box, and Ned decided to take the bat out of his hands. The mileage of others may vary, but I thought it was a "manage not to lose" strategy. With that in mind, I'm not surprised we lost, because that's usually what happens when you manage or play not to lose.
  5. So if you have the bases loaded and nobody out, you need two hits to score two runs? Ummmmmm...okay. Last I checked, you could score two runs in that scenario without hitting another ball out of the infield.
  6. No, I didn't say that. Try sticking to what I actually said. The odds of two of the three (out of Cirillo, Magruder, and Hardy) getting on base safely - considering the three have a combined .164 batting average - is so small that it isn't worth trying to calculate. This is especially true when you consider that the Dodgers had their best available relief pitcher on the mound at the time. If Miller singles, it's probably still 8-6 unless he hit one into the gap that was enough to score Overbay. Bases loaded, nobody out. Suddenly, NO ONE needs to get a hit, and the Brewers still have a good shot to tie the game. Two fly balls...two slowly hit ground balls...that's all you'd need. By bunting, you need two of three (three guys who are among the worst hitters on the team) to not only make contact, but reach safely (barring someone jolting an extra-base hit). All I'm saying is that if you calculate the odds, the odds were better not taking the bat out of Damian Miller's hands.
  7. What do you want to base it on? The fact that it would have worked if someone could have done their job? The fact that Ned was willing to give up a .351 hitter to leave the game in the hands of three guys who have done virtually nothing in 13 games shows me that he needs to put the book away. What have you seen to suggest that either Jeff Cirillo or Chris Magruder could have realistically kept the game alive? (Again...if the top of the order had been due up in that spot, a bunt is a no-brainer. I think it's anything but when the bottom of the order...especially this order...is due up.)
  8. It's a valid point, but the odds of Miller bunting into a double play or not bunting effectively (leading to a forceout at third) were just as likely as someone hitting into a DP if Miller loaded the bases somehow. That's because we wouldn't. I did address that. If Miller gets on with nobody out, two ground balls would tie the game, as would two deep fly balls, or a combination of the two. Overbay and Lee aren't fast, but Magruder has some speed, as does Hardy, and Cirillo always hustles and isn't exactly slow. How was a Texas Leaguer going to bring in the three runs we needed to win? Did you have a Texas League inside the park HR in mind? Just like two-point conversions and pulling the goalie late in a close game, there are times where normally sound strategy doesn't work, and the odds are so ridiculously stacked against it that it's and extremely flawed strategy to employ. When you have a .351 hitter batting, and he's followed by three guys who are combining to hit .164 (with no one better on the bench available to help), I can't imagine even dreaming of having the .351 hitter give himself up.
  9. I thought I'd responded sufficiently to all the arguments I saw with the stuff I posted, even if it wasn't directed at what you were saying. As far as contradicting myself...that's hardly the crux of my argument (the moron part...I just needed to take a shot at Ned to start it all off http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/happy.gif ), but if you want to split hairs, I'll gladly take that part back and simply say that I completely disagree with the strategy that was employed in that situation.
  10. BTW...count me in with those not giving up on this team. I've been around too long and worn out too many hats to give up now.
  11. You're comparing J.D. Drew to Jeff Cirillo, Chris Magruder, and JJ Hardy? Puh-leez. Drew has proven himself at the major league level. Cirillo hasn't hit outside of Coors Field this century. Magruder and Hardy haven't shown any hitting prowess at the major-league level. The odds of two of those three reaching base to give this team a chance to tie the game were so ridiculously slim that they aren't worth calculating.
  12. Wrong. If Miller loads the bases, a fielder's choice and a sac fly would be enough to tie the game. Heck, two groundouts would get the job done, and groundouts appear to be a specialty of this team. I don't know that it's 90%, but it's certainly a majority. That doesn't mean it's automatically the right thing to do. (NOTE: If it were first and second with Brady Clark, Junior Spivey, and Lyle Overbay due up, I'd probably bunt Clark. Different situations require different analysis. Part of the reason I come across as so anti-bunt is that I can't stand managers or coaches who go strictly by the book. An example from a different sport would be a football coach who calls for a two-point attempt because "the card told me to". Think for yourself and analyze the situation...don't just do what everyone says you should do.) Well...clearly, judging by the facts so far this season, they're really not capable of it. That's why we're in the situation we're in. If these guys could hit, the Brewers wouldn't be 5-8 right now.
  13. The thing is this: You still need someone to hit the baseball. When you have a bunch of .200 or worse hitters backing up Miller, the last thing you should be doing is asking him to give himself up. About the only chance the team had after he struck out was for the Dodgers to screw up in the field, or for the pitcher to throw out a fatty for someone to hit out of the yard. As some of you might know, I'm largely anti-bunt. I think it can be a good play, but I think it's sorely overused in baseball from a sacrifice standpoint, and not enough guys try to bunt for base hits anymore. If the Brewers have runners on first and second (with the crappy part of the order about to come up) in a one-run game, I'm all for bunting. But asking the last good hitter due up in the inning to give himself up when his team is down two runs is ridiculous IMHO.
  14. When your lineup sucks like this one does, you don't give up outs. Period. End of story. The Yankees can probably afford to do that, though no one on that team except for like three guys can bunt worth a crap. The Brewers can't afford to give up outs when they're down by two runs. I refuse to change my thinking on this, though I'll gladly argue the point if anyone's bored. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/happy.gif
  15. Ugh. Bunting when down by two? Who's the moron that thought of that?
  16. Hardy needs to learn how to hit. I know I'm probably going to get slammed for a lack of patience or whatever, but he's freaking hitting .130. I don't care if he's Ozzie Smith in the field. He's freaking hitting .130. That's not good enough, and if he can't start figuring this thing out, he needs to go to Nashville until he does. If this team is to win anything remotely close to 80 games this season, they can't afford to have Ben's personal catcher AND their starting shortstop hitting like they are. When Bill Hall presents himself as a viable option, you know you have a problem.
  17. Molina is hitting .050. I'm guessing he's not in the lineup for his bat. What am I saying? I don't know. I just thought that was interesting. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/happy.gif
  18. Nice play by Jenks or a stupid play by Eckstein?
  19. Is it wrong to root for a strikeout as the best-case scenario? http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/eek.gif EDIT: I didn't know how many outs there were. Cripes, that doesn't happen to me often. I should read the Gametracker more carefully. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/embarassed.gif
  20. Bill-- I guess Ned said there's something wrong with Branyan's throwing arm. That might have played a part, too.
  21. bryan-- He's 0 for 9 with 5 Ks lifetime against Suppan.
  22. A quick Cardinals note as it relates to MVP Baseball 2005: Scott Rolen bats leadoff (??!!??). Yadier Molina is the worst major-league hitter I've seen in the game so far. And Ben Sheets shut them out on four hits. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/happy.gif I love that game.
  23. G-Love goes 1-2-3 in the fifth on 11 pitches. Just what the doctor ordered. (No. I didn't just call him "G-Love". It's just your imagination. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/happy.gif )
  24. Ty Wigginton is a busy guy, what with all those episodes of "Extreme Makeover: Home Edition" that he has to fit in around his third-base gig with the Pirates.
  25. He's up to 43 pitches, but more than half of his first inning pitches were balls, and he's gotten that ratio improved to 23 strikes and 20 balls. Hopefully, he'll settle down now.
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