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stalton

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Everything posted by stalton

  1. I'm pulling numbers out of thin air here, but you'd rather have a 1 in 100 chance of winning the WS in an unfair system rather than the straight 1 in 32 if it were even odds just because the win would be sweeter?
  2. The question asked was if .super teams, like the Dodgers, were good for the sport. I'm sure tons of revenue will come in, even to cities like Milwaukee when the Dodgers come into town because of Matsumoto and Ohtani. From a financial perspective, that is. My concern is if the league is fair. I'm curious if anyone thinks that a team like the Guardians or the Twins have just as likely opportunity as a team like the Mets or Dodgers, given the current revenue sharing and luxury tax situation.
  3. It has been well established that more money doesn't always equate to more wins or more championships but this spits in the face of anything even remotely considered fair.
  4. The part I wonder is if (when?) Ohtani can't pitch at an elite level, how much more outcry there will be paying that much for a DH
  5. I had the realization that the optics are bad when it comes to the NFL being fair, and in certain ways, they certainly aren't, What evidence, as fans, do we have that a bad call is a conspiracy versus refs being humans and making mistakes? I think the accuracy of calls need to be improved across all sports, but does anyone have anything to prove it's a conspiracy other then sensationalized bad calls that can affect the game. For example, the Fail Mary wasn't a conspiracy. Neither was Dez's "catch"
  6. Not to mention the cost of parking has gone up dramatically. I go to a handful of games every year and it's alot easier to head to a bar and take the shuttle. 2 beers at the bar is a heck of a lot cheaper than tailgaiting
  7. OK, did a deepish dive here. I used fWAR and payroll via Spotrac. WAR ranged from Braves at the highest at 56.4 to Rox at 14.7. Total WAR across the league was 1060. Payrolls ranged from 343.6 mil for the Mets down to 61.9 mil for the A's. Total Payrolls across the league total 4.95 Billion. Interestingly enough wins/WAR doesn't appear to relevant. League wise $$ per WAR is interesting, though. The league average is 4.67 mil. Rays unsurprisingly took first with a meager 1.78 million per WAR. Both the Rockies and Angels take the cake at 11.5 WAR Brewers come in at 3rd overall behind the aforementioned Rays and Orioles at 2.8 million per WAR. All these numbers get pulled down from all the rookies making (near) minimum. I suppose FA $$/WAR is another beast. I'm pretty sure in analysis in individual WAR it was discovered that there's a steep incline in price per WAR the further you go up. It's alot easier to get players at 1-3 WAR than 4+ The top 50 players in WAR had at least 4.2WAR and not a single Brewer cracked that list. Which for a small market I think that's the way to go. Instead of paying through the nose for potentially elite WAR. Raise the floor on the entire team. Texas Rangers who spent double the Brewers had a very similar team WAR. The top 2 WAR getters were Garcia and Heim, both whom make 750k this year, meanwhile the top 5 expensive Rangers didn't add up to much other than 110 million on their own. I personally don't think WAR is the perfect metric but I wanted to see how everything lined up.
  8. Badgers stomp on Illinois State and get rewarded with going....down a spot to 19? I know the AP ranking is beyond messed up but come on. Arkansas moves up 3 spots just for beating a then 23rd ranked Cinci. It wasn't even an upset.
  9. If I call someone's bet in poker with better odds and end up losing, was it a bad decision? If I call someone with horrible odds and end up getting lucky and hitting on the river, did I make the right call? Conversely, in anything sports/game related, does the actual result influence whether something was the "right decision" In hindsight, most would say we shouldn't have made the trade for Rosenthal but would people also would have praised the trade if we hit the 2 outer?
  10. Today is Friday! Hahahaha
  11. Trae wouldn't have been cheap. Josh Bell doesn't seem like he was coming to us. Gallo could have bounced back but probably doubtful enough to be an upgrade over anyone we had.
  12. All teams have their ups and downs. I'm feeling optimistic that our down is turning to an up! LET'S GOOOOOO!
  13. JBJ was DFA'd this week making the trade even better
  14. I've been a BF.netter for awhile. I keep my inappropriate self to my friends. Although now that it's Am Fam and not Miller Park, so there is that conspiracy.
  15. This is a gross oversimplification but I think it boils down to perennially competitive versus the window theory. Personally, I don't think either philosophy is right or wrong. Marlins won the WS and then promptly had a fire sale leading to an absolutely horrendous following the next couple of years. The Brewers in 08 and 11 went all in and missed. Teams like TB and the current Brewers are trying to always get a bite of the apple because once you hit the playoffs, you never know. Just ask the Cards. Using statistics, the expected value of the WS is the same whether it's 5 years of 5% or 1 year of 25% and 4 years of 0%. Only difference is that it's possible to get multiple WS with our current approach even if the team is sacrificing a part of the current year to maintain the team in the future.
  16. The Brewers organization have (in my opinion) gone above and beyond for the players. Whether it was LoCain hitting his milestone, letting players leave early for births/medical issues (Hader, Shaw, Suter, etc) or even helping out with causes that the players believe in.
  17. Off topic, the jokester in me wants to make a joke (either political or anatomical) but neither is forum friendly. On topic, I think most people including myself are guilty of sizing up trades and other moves by the immediate results. The aforementioned Davies trade is the perfect example of how we as a collective need patience. All that being said, I think we will all breathe easier when our team goes on another winning streak.
  18. Reds get the Pads #11 player in Victor Acosta, an 18 year old.
  19. Will we ever know what his actual contract is?
  20. I would venture a guess a contact similar to Peralta's
  21. One potential thought is there is a scenario where we can lean on Freddy in the playoffs if he's healthy since his arm won't have the mileage this year.
  22. Though it might come in handy to have an amphibious pitcher if we play in a deluge.
  23. The antagonist in me says the Brewers did this to tip the Pirates into buy mode which further set back them long term.
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