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Funketown

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Everything posted by Funketown

  1. Anybody mind updating the thread for where these guys rank in the Cleveland system and MLB in general? Sure it's already been done, but this thread is moving quickly and I'm trying to make sense of the trade without reading 17 pages! I saw Fangraphs had Mejia at #12 in Cleveland prior to this season. Granted, he's been dominant this season, but that was still surprising to see. I think there are other trades the board has liked (don't we usually have a collective agreement on smaller deals?), and while I'm usually optimistic about these deals, the return here does seem pretty disappointing. But, I'm still at the point where I'll assume Stearns has a better idea of the market and the expected productivity of these players.
  2. Zaun hit .265/.350/.392 in his limited time in Milwaukee. Also, you can 'book' him for things if you go to his webpage. I'm going to see what he charges to mow my lawn.
  3. I never watched Nilson, but based on my completely scientific methodology, perhaps a coin should be flipped. I'll forgive Yost...this other guy though... Yes, which qualifies him for this list!
  4. So as to not derail the other thread. Chad Moeller: 669 PA's, .204/.257/.319 + bonus points for hitting for a cycle and keeping his name alive John Felske: Continuing the Ichiro debate, what's less awesome: Somebody like Moeller who accumulates -WAR over a long time, or somebody like Felske who managed an impressive -0.5 WAR in just 113 PA's of .137/.205/.216 batting? Gary Bennett: I guess somebody needed to back up starting catcher/cycle hero Chad Moeller.
  5. In terms of what they did with the Brewers, I don't think anybody comes all that close to Lucroy. That said, I'm too young to remember what somebody like Dave Nilsson did defensively, but unless he was elite defensively I don't think I could make an argument for Nilsson.
  6. I think that last year they offered a digital version of Sunday ticket to college students (IIRC you needed a valid .edu email) for $99. You can use one device at a time (i.e. password should only be shared with trusted folks), but I'd imagine streaming on a tablet is nice for dorm rooms. They have a roku app, but last year it was buggy; I've had far better luck with streaming on tablets than anything else for some reason. Besides, having Sunday ticket probably isn't a bad way to meet a few friends, find a college fantasy league, etc.
  7. I would love to see somebody put in the work (perhaps it's already been done) to compile a proper database of statistics from Japan, the Negro Leagues, and Cuba. For me, that's where the discussion gets really interesting. With Japan, in recent years, I think there are perhaps enough observations of players going from MLB/AAA to Japan and vice versa to create some fairly crude comps. For the Negro Leagues, it would be tough. I think I recall that there were exhibitions between teams of white MLB players against Negro League teams (Wiki gives Josh Gibson a 21/56 (.375) batting line), but I'd guess data there is very sparse, and it doesn't seem there are too many who went from the Negro Leagues to MLB like Robinson. There were quite few US-based players who spent time playing in Cuba (Gibson included) before the revolution, but Cuban baseball has been pretty isolated for the past 50 years now. Without crunching the numbers, you'd have to imagine the Negro Leagues had at least 3-5 guys who could make a strong case for the all-time top 50 (to me, Gibson and Paige are both in), and a few in Japan, and perhaps a couple in Cuba. That would be a fun discussion, though we're getting off course, and I don't have the time to dig into that data! Actually, looks like Baseball Reference does have better Negro League data than they used to: http://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.cgi?id=paige-001ler
  8. For reference: Carew, age 27-39: 7,566 PA's, 61.0 bWAR, 5.7 bWAR/600 PA's, .336/.407/.440/.847 (OPS+ 137) Gwynn, age 27-39: 7,390 PA's, 46.8 bWAR, 4.6 bWAR/600 PA's, .343/.393/.470/.863 (OPS+ 135) Ichiro: age 27-39: 9,279 PA's, 58.6 bWAR, 4.6 bWAR/600 PA's, .319/.361/.414/.775 (OPS+ 111) I'm quite rusty on any changes to these metrics (if there are any) over the past five or so years. But, this would seem to illustrate that (i) on a per-plate appearance basis, Gwynn and Carew were far more valuable at the plate than Ichiro and (ii) Ichiro provided a huge amount of value to his team by staying healthy and getting an absurd amount of PA's. He appeared in an average of 159 games in this time span, much of which we remember as the leadoff man in Seattle. Ichiro also gains somewhere around 10-15 bWAR on Gwynn due to defense; but given that Gwynn was before my time and I don't put too much confidence in the defensive metrics from back then, perhaps you can argue that's an overstatement. Hypothetically speaking, given that Ichiro was a mid .900's OPS'er in Japan since he turned 20, it's probably not unreasonable to estimate that had he been in the US, he could have tacked on another 30 career WAR if he made the majors at say, 21 years old. That would put him solidly in the top 20 outfielders and well within the top 50 batters of all time, if that's your measuring stick.
  9. There's a lot of room in the analysis for different weighting placed on different things, which can lead to vastly different ratings. How should we compare a player who was very good for 20 years against one who was dominant for five years? How much weight should we put on performance in non-MLB leagues? I have a hard time excluding somebody like Josh Gibson from the discussion of greatest power hitters, but it's really tough to compare him to his peers on purely statistical grounds. Of course, this history of performance data which goes back over a hundred years is what makes this all so amusing.
  10. Ichiro was tearing apart the Japanese league by age 20. He hit .385/.437/.549/.985 in 1994 with Orix. I can't see putting him in the top 50 on his MLB performance alone, but if you include his seven full seasons in Japan when evaluating him, perhaps he has a case.
  11. Well, it's been fun. I'm happy to see the tournament includes a 3rd place game, should they not shock Argentina. Rumor circuit is going wild with John Brooks, but Hertha say they're intent on keeping him.
  12. Gotta get a point tonight. If they can't muster a draw against Paraguay, they don't really deserve to move on.
  13. Ugh. That was horrendous. John Brooks should be a strong player on the back line for the next decade. Other than that, I can't say anything positive.
  14. A win today could just bump their playoff odds to 0.2%. Or, about 10 times as likely as Leicester's pre-season championship odds. Leicester won the league once this season, so if my math is correct, this means the Brewers will snag all ten playoff spots this season. In other words, a win today guarantees a world series victory.
  15. It's about time for the Copa America. I caught the friendly vs. Ecuador last night. First half was 45 minutes of hot garbage, save for one clever pass from Dempsey that Zardes made a mess of. Second half saw some less experienced subs come on, and the last half-hour or so the following (I think) lineup: ----------------- Wood ------------------- Pulisic ------------------------------- Zusi -----------Nagbe--------Bedoya------------ -----------------Bradley-------------------- Johnson---Brooks/Besler--Birnbaum--Yedlin , and looked very good against about a 50/50 mix of Ecuador's A-team and some inexperienced subs. I generally don't like Fabian Johnson playing LB, but with Pulisic on the wing and Nagbe playing more centrally, I think they can spare his creativity on the wing and cover for the gaping hole that is left back. While it's usually prudent to cool the wheels on the Pulisic hype-train, he was very solid last night. Yedlin's defense has improved immensely at Sunderland, and he only got caught out of position badly once from what I remember. Bradley looked strong as a holding mid. After a somewhat shaky start, Brooks was very strong, and Birnbaum looked serviceable. I'm not optimistic against Colombia, but I'm much more confident in their chances of getting out of the group stage if Jurgen puts his trust in guys like Nagbe, Wood, and Pulisic (granted, at Pulisic's age it may still be better to be a bit conservative with his legs).
  16. I actually wanted to see Spurs win; seeing them clinch at home against Everton would have had the potential to be one of the great moments in sporting history (if this isn't already).
  17. Pulisic is now the youngest ever in the Bundesliga to two goals. This one was the result of a sloppy rebound, but he read it perfectly. Leicester are in complete control over Swansea. This will put them 8 points up, though Spurs have four games left to Leicester's three. I suppose you can consider their magic number to be 5 in terms of # of Leicester points + # of Tottenham points dropped, as they won't pass Tottenham on GD.
  18. If you can share a cable password with someone in Wisconsin, I'd think you could watch the games on Fox Sports Go.
  19. I was only able to watch until halftime, but sounds like a mess. Should Tottenham beat Stoke today, things may get interesting. Great touch in tight space by Pulisic and he's now the youngest non-German to score in the Bundesliga: http://www.starsandstripesfc.com/2016/4/17/11446670/christian-pulisic-scores-first-borussia-dortmund-goal He also put in some great crosses, from reading up on his performance he was disruptive off the ball as well. At this point, I can't imagine he shouldn't be starting for the USMNT this summer, unless it's simply to be conservative with a young player's legs.
  20. Not trying to be negative, but it should be pointed out MadBum and Locke were both awful when they faced Gennett and were handing out walks like candy on Halloween. Way to ruin the good vibes captain bringdown. In reality, they were awful because Gennett had instilled FEAR into their heads.
  21. Gennett has a .500 OBP vs. LHP. And yes, in the positive post thread 12 PA's is a huge sample!
  22. Taylor has never been quite as good as Cain was in the minors, but he's tracked at 1-1.5 years younger than Cain so that comparison maybe is reasonable if Taylor can draw some more walks. But, given that he's still only 22 and has not yet had success against AA pitching, I just don't see the point of bringing him up outside of the late-season roster expansion. I'd let him have a minimum of 80 games at AA this season and let him stay there the whole year if he doesn't post something like a .280/.360/.440. He can then have his full age-23 season at AAA.
  23. I like the idea of a lottery playoff between the worst 4 or 8 teams, something like a best of 3 series. I'm not sure how that would distort incentives, but clearly you wouldn't want to do a 76ers style "process". Mostly though, I think it would be amusing to watch.
  24. I've used FSGO a lot in the past year, primarily for streaming Bundesliga soccer. I've found that it runs best on my Android tablet and worst on my computer. I do think it's quite a bit buggier than the WatchESPN app and the NBCSports app.
  25. What better way than to spend three hours "working" while watching the Brewers attempt to improve upon their 0.9% playoff odds!!!!!!!!!!!
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