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Thurston Fluff

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Everything posted by Thurston Fluff

  1. Thurston Fluff
    I think you meant career instead of year.
  2. Thurston Fluff
    I don't know if it's volatility or lack of objective metrics. Not sure if objective is the right word but it's easier to know what the value of getting on base is to offense than having a strong throwing arm is to defense. Is consistenly being able to make routine pays more valuable than being able to make great plays or vice versa? Things like that need to be figured out. Maybe lack of refined value of metrics is a better way of putting it. Like you said, we still haven't pegged the overall value of defense let alone the value of each defensive metric. Which is why I don't put a lot of weight into WAR. Offensive WAR, yes. Overall WAR, not so much.
  3. Thurston Fluff
    I applaud the effort analytics put into defense these days but I think advancement wise, they're at the blood letting to cure a fever stage. While it's necessary to go through the stage it is far from being as useful as offensive metrics are. As far as Ortiz v Mona goes, Mona is perfectly fine at short but Ortiz is exceptional. With his combination of offense and defense Mona could man short or second as a starter on a lot of teams. He just happens to play on one that he can't.
  4. Thurston Fluff
    You saying so doesn't make cutting a sentence in half to imply someone said something they didn't say any more valid.
  5. Thurston Fluff
    It's one thing to be optimistic but that borders on myopic. The way the schedule is set up there are bound to be two or three losses in along the way.
  6. Thurston Fluff
    Here is the part you quoted to justify your argument. Now here is the entire sentence Those are far from the same. It's never good form to cut a quote in the middle of a sentence. Much worse to do so to make it appear to say something it never said.
  7. Thurston Fluff
    How is trading a fringe prospect and a 6th starter on the last year of his contract the same as trading a major league ready starting pitcher with 6 years of control left for a half year rental logically the same?
  8. Thurston Fluff
    If there's name recognition there's a buyer.
  9. Thurston Fluff
    If anything says you're the best of the best it's the next best team in the division is celebrating beating you 3 games to 2 at home to "only" fall seven games back.
  10. Thurston Fluff
    It doesn't have to be only 15 there are 76 full time umpires. I don't think perfection has to be the goal. Just a basic proficiency level. I'd expect a majority of umpires would qualify so there shouldn't be a shortage of capable ones. The alternative is to demote the worst ones. There are two problems with that approach. First is there is always a worst so the bottom would always be getting demoted. Second is it assumes there are superior ones in the minors.
  11. Thurston Fluff
    Now for something completely different. If we can rate umps ability to call balls and strikes accurately why don't we just have the umps who do it best call all the games?
  12. Thurston Fluff
    The Cubs are a good team not great team. The first half of the season shows they can get hot and do some damage in the playoffs. We've seen that happen often enough to think it isn't possible this season. The Brewers are a great team so lets kick them when they're down and try to make sure they don't even get there.
  13. Thurston Fluff
    I don't think it matters one bit. We have to beat a good team regardless of who it is. They'll also be the hottest of the teams by definition. If we play to our capabilities none of it will matter. We aren't the best team because we got lucky, or remained healthy. We are simply the best team top to bottom. If we play that way we move on regardless of who we face.
  14. Thurston Fluff
    He'll get some votes, and he should, but I doubt he gets it. I think Peralta's season is underappreciated by a lot of people. He deserves to be in the conversation. Truth be told I'm pulling for Skenes. It'd be nice to see Pirate fans have something to be proud of and a pitcher with a losing record winning it would finish any merit wins have left.
  15. Thurston Fluff
    As of now the NL central is the only division in baseball to have four teams above .500. In the NL it's the only team to have more than two teams above .500. It's hard to believe the conventional wisdom early in the season was only one NL central team was going to get to the playoffs due to how stacked the East and West were.
  16. Thurston Fluff
    You're making the same error as the rest of the K's don't matter crowd does. It's not about the times the out is made. It's about increasing the amount of times a should be out doesn't end up an out. Striking out leaves a smaller chance of getting on first safely than putting the ball in play that should be an out. A lazy fly to center should be the same result as a strikeout. But when we combine the number of errors, balls that gets lost in the sun, misplayed so badly they fielder never touches the ball or drops between two defenders due to miscommunication are higher than the number of strikeouts that end with the batter safe at first. That admittedly small increase in reaching first safely is not zero. Every single ball put in play has that added small chance of reaching first safely that a K does not. The correct way if stating it should be strikeouts are almost, but not quite, the same as other outs.
  17. Thurston Fluff
    Good question. It could also just be guys putting the ball in play more creates more chances for an error. One of the things that always bugged me about the strikeouts are just outs argument is they eliminate any chance of a error, bad hop, lost in the sunlight, misplay or a seagull getting in the way. It may be a small difference but that doesn't mean the results are the same.
  18. Thurston Fluff
    I have a theory about that. Teams that can buy ready made talent don't spend as much time and effort refining the support staff necessary to make average players great. Why spend a bunch of time and effort learning the exact best way for each pitcher to pitch each pitch when you can just buy the best pitchers? They never have to figure out how to make a player with average stuff better than average or how to make a player with one great trait effective because they can buy players who have all the tools or can figure it out on their own. When they can't, they just eat the money and find one that can. In a nutshell, teams forced to make do with what they have learn to make do with what they have. The ones who can just throw money at it just throw money at it.
  19. Thurston Fluff
    Was hoping it was an "injury" or at least something not arm related.
  20. Thurston Fluff
    Two Weeks, or not two Weeks, that is the question.
  21. Thurston Fluff
    Nothing on the team is 2 week. My joke on the other hand...pretty week.
  22. Thurston Fluff
    Got to think he falls asleep at night by counting the money jumping out of his future back account. I feel bad for the guy but it is kind of funny to see the Yankees give up what they did to get what he's giving.
  23. Thurston Fluff
    It's crazy how different Collins and Mizz got into the ROY discussion. Mizz took the league by storm but lacks the overall body of work. Collins is putting up some of the best rookie numbers in the league without anyone noticing.
  24. Thurston Fluff
    Perfect world scenario alert! Collins wins ROY and Mizz falls short of the threshold to get a full year of service time.
  25. Thurston Fluff
    How can you not consider the team with the best record in baseball a great team?
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