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Thurston Fluff

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Everything posted by Thurston Fluff

  1. Thurston Fluff
    Today is the day free agents on a new deal can be traded. While Renigfro isn't likely to have the phone ringing off the hook I could see him being traded in a package deal with one of the prospects. Black seems like a possible candidate IMHO.
  2. Thurston Fluff
    If the term you can never have too much pitching applied it's this season. Imagine where we'd be without the Harrison, Drohan trade. A head scratching trade at the time proves to be one of the most prescient moves of the year.
  3. Thurston Fluff
    Just to be clear, when I said he's high on my list it's within the context of the one I'd most be in favor of not that I'm in favor of signing any of them. That aside, you've given me ample reason to question my preference list.
  4. Thurston Fluff
    They have to know if they don't do it soon it will delay the start of the 2027 season for him. At this point the only way it makes sense to wait is because they don't think the 2027 season will start on time. Does anyone know how a lockout effects injury rehab? Just curious if a team is allowed/obligated to provide it in their facilities.
  5. Thurston Fluff
    While I agree with you for the most part the one thing I think is wrong is determining his value based on how much free agents of his value got paid. The most expensive way to attain players is not the best way to go about determining value. If the choice was to use the same money we can use for Contreras the next ten years or lock up four or five of our best prospects for the next ten years I think the better value is for the latter. All that said, of all the players that could signed to a "locked up for life" contract Contreras is very high on my list. I do question if his leadership is special to him or if it's more young players gravitate to older players by nature. Adames was one of those guys but we didn't miss a beat when he left. One might say that's because we had Contreras and/or Yelich to take over that role. But that would more or less show the role is transitional as opposed to fixed on a player. By the time Contreras and Yelich are gone Churio will be the veteran younger players turn to and so on.
  6. Thurston Fluff
    I think there should be an earned error rate stat. While that sounds counter intuitive it really isn't. In a game where some teams/players force more action than others it stands to reason the ones that do will create more errors. Take base stealing for example. If the league average error rate on stolen bases is 1 out of every 50 attempts a team that attempts 100 steals would expect to see 2 errors. A team that attempts 200 steals would expect to see 4. Simply attempting to steal more bases should earn a team more errors.
  7. Thurston Fluff
    St Louis is on a four game winning streak and haven't gained a single game in the standings.
  8. Thurston Fluff
    It's possible but I doubt there would be an agreement to reduce years of control without more shared revenue. I think they just want to have some cost certainty going into an uncertain time.
  9. Thurston Fluff
    Does he really think there's a team out there who wants to sign a player with a career 5.25 ERA who's sporting a 6.94 ERA this season? On a team known for getting the most out of pitchers no less. I supposed it doesn't hurt to try but if his goal is to get back to a big league career it seems to me the best place for him would have been remaining in our system.
  10. Thurston Fluff
    If we'd have traded the three players we did just for Hamilton most people would consider it a win for us.
  11. Thurston Fluff
    It still might if he pans out when he comes back. Then again it's hard to know if the players we traded would be struggling like they are now if they stayed here. It's hard to judge what a player might have been had they stayed or if they'd have gone to another team. Sometimes teams fit players, sometimes they don't. Kind of like Almond Joy or Mounds.
  12. Thurston Fluff
    I think he's similar to Carlos Rodriguez in they both got called up before they were ready and didn't do well even though they had the talent to be here. Good to see him get through two scoreless even if he did walk a couple.
  13. Thurston Fluff
    This could have all been avoided by calling no backsies. For an organization as astute as the Brewers are it's an astonishing oversight.
  14. Thurston Fluff
    Henderson going on the DL is going to help him with his workload. Patrick being in long relief also reduces his innings. The three major pitchers is Sprout, Harrison and Miz that we have to worry about. I think Sprout will either be optioned or put in the pen if he doesn't start to pick it up a bit soon. Which leaves us with Miz and Harrison. I think both will either see some inning reductions, a skipped start or two along with getting an extra day off here and there starting in June or July. It's also possible one or both have a small issue like Henderson did and the problem will cure itself. BTW anyone else have problems not mixing up Henderson and Harrison's name or am I the only one?
  15. Thurston Fluff
    I think we have enough young pitchers to share the workload to make it all work without adding a inning eater veteran. I'm not counting on Priester coming back which hurts but I'm also not writing Gasser off just yet. He's coming off a long layoff and major surgery. It takes time to get back to where he was. I wouldn't be at all surprised by late July or August he's starting in round into form and can be a spot starter.
  16. Thurston Fluff
    It's amazing to me that there aren't more high revenue teams with great farms. When you can buy all the best players it creates a road block for all the talent on the farm. Which goes back to my belief that money stifles innovation. Certainly there will be teams like the Dodgers who do both. But for every Dodger franchise doing both there is a Mets team failing upward. I'll stick to my belief that necessity in the mother of invention here. Nothing is going to be 100% effective but there are ways to make it better. Simply having a floor or cap won't do it. But I think if there's going to be one or the other (which is what this the premise of this thread) I think a floor with revenue sharing is better than a cap with or without it. I base that on the idea that if all the teams make the same amount of money they'll be forced to find other ways to win than just buying the best players. I don't think it's an unreasonable belief.
  17. Thurston Fluff
    That's why I get the move. But I question how much it matters given who's starting the next couple days and how many multi inning relievers we have. Mostly I just want the Woodford experiment to end. It's hard to justify holding guys like Gasser accountable yet keep someone else around that isn't. Especially when it's done at the expense of someone who was doing what we expected of him. If you set a standard you should keep that standard IMHO.
  18. Thurston Fluff
    I get why they sent Rodriguez down but would have preferred they ended the Woodford experiment instead.
  19. Thurston Fluff
    Good question. I don't know what they have in the minors as trade chips but even crappy farms have enough for one or two rental relievers. We'll see what happens I guess. They're still in it so I assume they won't be sellers. All I'm saying is if I was looking to shore up my team for a playoff run I'd rather my problem be in relief pitching than starters or offense.
  20. Thurston Fluff
    One of the things few talk about is how the lack of a salary cap boosts innovation. Right now it's the small market teams that are forced to find new ways to win. It's the Brewers, Rays and Guardians of the sport that keeps baseball from stagnating. Without teams like Milwaukee we'd still be in the wait for the three run homer stage of baseball on offense and the only three inning relievers would be end of the roster mop up guys. Stealing bases, and defense would still be afterthoughts. A cap and revenue sharing would eliminate the need to find new ways to win. A floor and revenue sharing would do the opposite. It would prevent some teams from pocketing the profits but also force the big spenders to live within the same budget restraints as all the rest. That, to me at least, seems like a good way to get more teams to find new ways to win.
  21. Thurston Fluff
    I guess the glass half full view is relief pitching is the least costly area to upgrade in season.
  22. Thurston Fluff
    I am for practical reasons. I think it's the only way to get revenue sharing with player approval. If teams share most revenue then the cap will naturally occur. Ideally we'd have a floor and ceiling with an agreement on percentage of revenue going to players. We don't live in an ideal world so taking the practical approach lets do the next best thing.
  23. Thurston Fluff
    The fascinating part to be is how complex the calculations are and how much more complex they need to be to be close to accurate. Something I've always been curious about is how often they update their metrics to compensate for how the game changes. Even something as simple as replacement level changes. If a replacement level player has more value relative to average that they did two years again it changes a lot of calculations about how productive a team is with more replacement level players on it.
  24. Thurston Fluff
    I think the only thing I'd add to the OP is I think fans of teams like the Brewers have much more satisfaction when their team wins. We know our team didn't win by rigging the game. We won by beating teams who rigged the game against us. While there is no metric to gauge satisfaction, I find it hard to believe following a team that defied the odds has to be more satisfying that having to defend winning by privilege. When (and I mean when) the Brewers win we won't have to defend our championship by saying things like "We just played by the rules" or "We're not the only team with a huge payroll".
  25. Thurston Fluff
    The league has caught onto him. Now teams are giving up leads early so he can't beat them.
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