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Thurston Fluff

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Everything posted by Thurston Fluff

  1. Here is a pretty good article on his fastball in particular. https://www.brewcrewball.com/2018/8/11/17678550/milwaukee-brewers-closer-corey-knebel-control
  2. Their improvement would have been relegated to pinch hitting for us.
  3. Probably because everyone knows the Nats are going to ask for more than most teams would be willing to pay. Not really the case regarding cost. If the Brewers didn't want him going to the Cubs they should have put a claim on him, offer nothing and risk the Nationals just giving him to us for the cost of his remaining contract. I assume unwritten rules would be broken though. The risk would be losing someone on the 40 man roster just to block the Cubs from getting him. Hell the Cubs could have claimed the guy we dumped and made their farm system a little stronger at our expense.
  4. No doubt we can win the division. Not only do the Cubs have more games left but they can't get near the help from September call ups as the Brewers can. Part of trading all those young players is losing the help expanded rosters can provide.
  5. Just read the Brewers have the easiest schedule of all the NL playoff contenders. They also have more home games than and fewer overall games to go.
  6. Two major spenders who have the same resources of the Yankees. In similar a situation Cashman is way ahead of Theo. The Red Sox seem to be doing pretty well without him as well. The point is, he succeeded in good situations but really hasn't been tested in less than ideal conditions. That's not his fault and shouldn't take away from what he's done. But it isn't as much a slam dunk that one is so obviously better than the other simply because we have no idea how well Theo would do if he couldn't buy half his starting staff while simultaneously absorbing a Jason Heyward level mistake.
  7. He won World Series titles. Anyone who does that deserves a long leash. But that doesn't make him necessarily better. Similarly if Stearns can win a WS with the small market Brewers he'll have done something Epstein hasn't. But that doesn't necessarily make Stearns better either.
  8. The Astos appear to be to have a better outlook than the Cubs at this point. Both essentially started at the same point and built their teams at the same pace. The Brewers, Braves and Phillys all built competitive teams is far less time than it took either of those teams. The difference is, when the Cubs got to the point where the Brewers are now, they could afford to buy the missing pieces without worry of cost or mistakes that cripple the team for years. I think Epstein is a fine GM, but he's never done anything without having mega resources and hasn't turned those mega resources into a dynasty like Brian Cashman has.
  9. As I was reading through a few of these threads about how little this guy would have cost and how easily we could have afforded that guy I started to wonder; If we keep making these sort of moves how long can we continue to afford them? Death by a thousand small cuts makes on no less dead. It isn't just about affordability it's about sustainability.
  10. He is substantially worse than Thames, actually. Substantially. Despite his time in the OF, Thames has basically been slightly below average in total this year defensively. Davis has played 11 games in the OF and tallied -1.3 WAR out there. In 11 games. Seriously guys, his bat is nice if you have the DH. Otherwise his defense erodes much of his offensive value. Just to add to that, given the way the Brewers use their defense and how they like to shuffle guys around, his lack of versatility would make Davis an especially bad fit on this team. His bad arm would be more exposed in shifts than normal. All that said, I think left field defense has less value than any other position so his bad defense as a traditional left fielder is somewhat mitigated.
  11. This was never supposed to be the year. It was supposed to be a year in one of many where the team can be competitive. A lot of people still seem stuck in the mindset of building towards an all in for a year or two type of team. But look at what that got us. Beat by a team that didn't even win it's division and scraped it's way into the playoffs by one game. That same team won another World Series with an 84 win team. Maintaining competitive teams without quite ever having a dominant one might not be the way the Brewers always did it. But look at where the the old way of doing it got us. Keep developing players and look to create solid depth throughout the system and the chances of winning a single World Series is the same as going all in every decade and the chances of winning multiple ones goes up
  12. But he did and the depth has been exposed. The future isn't "just fine" if standing pat and hoping Nelson comes back in full is what everything is leaning on. I think our depth is the only thing keeping us in postseason contention. How many other teams can go without two of their top three starters for essentially the entire year and still be competitive?
  13. Don't know why roster management would have or should have been anything of a concern. They would have just DFAed Kratz when Ramos got healthy and Pina would have become the backup. They had an open 40 spot at the trade deadline that Ramos could have been in in the meantime. Yea but Ramos wasn't healthy and they'd need a catcher while he was on the shelf and they ended up using that spot on someone who might have a future here. At the time of the trade they didn't know how long he would be out and that would have meant not having a spot for August trades or DFA claims. But it was all just speculation on my part. I think in reality it was Tampa had the choice of two nothing burgers and chose Philly over us.
  14. This is a bit of a head scratcher for me. The only thing I can guess here is either the Brewers made a similar offer and Tampa chose Philly or the Brewers just didn't want to lose anyone on the 40 man for another rental. The brewers are not going all in for just this year so losing someone that might help for several years down the road might play a bigger role in this than one might expect.
  15. The Rangers are covering the $4 million if the Cubs turn down the option, it's on the Cubs if they exercise the $20 million. The Brewers could've afforded to do that for this year and I'd guess the option wouldn't be picked up. And it's not just Hamels, if you don't get him go get Happ, Guasman, etc. It's ridiculous we didn't add a SP in some capacity. The reason the Cubs had to get Hamels now is because they spent so much acquiring other players in the past they didn't have a farm to draw from. Barring injuries, in season trades are a sign of a mistakes made in the past IMHO.
  16. I think one thing that gets lost in the whole Hamels debate is it seems like people are comparing what Hamels has done lately to what Peralta has done lately as if those are the only two options the Brewers had. If there weren't guys like Woodruff, Davies and Burnes to take over if Peralta can't get going maybe it would have made more sense to take a flyer on Hamels. I'm still not convinced Hamels ends up better than some combination of pitchers the Brewers have available. It's just picking the right one. My guess is Peralta is on a pretty short leash here on out.
  17. I don't need to see 4 games of his performance since the trade to know he would have helped the Brewers rotation... Hamels Home/Away splits were clearly masking a decent pitcher under Arlington Park noise... There is probably something to the park effect but that also depends on the time of year. Wriggly isn't exactly a pitchers haven in the summer like it can be in spring. In Texas homers aren't stifled in April and may by the cold like it is in Chicago. This time of year I think you'll find the home run totals to be closer. Setting all that aside The Cubs made that move out of desperation, not because Epstein somehow knew something others didn't. If he did he wouldn't have signed Chatwood or Darvish. I guess the Brewers could have made such horrible free agent signings to make taking a gamble an aging veteran had something left in the tank worthwhile but I am not so sure that is the best thing to do for the long term health of the franchise.
  18. Do you ever bother to read a thread or do you just come in at the end and make what you think is a pithy comment? No, I usually give up at the point when someone posts stats from three games and thinks they are making some sort of valid point about something.
  19. I would argue Hamels was dumpster diving. He sucked and could be had for chump change. Hell we found Wade Miley for free and has helped us every bit as much as Hamels helped the Cubs so far. You can't just look at what happens in hindsight and say we should have taken the chance.
  20. I'm an OG (original gamer) my first game was pong and I've played ever since. My first computer game was Civilization on a Tandy before windows came out. It took an hour for the intro to play the first time I played it. Have had every version of Civ since. I like strategy games like Civ as well as open world games with some amount of story line with them. The Witcher, Fallout, Skyrim stuff like that. I've finally set up my desk so I can pedal an excesie bike while playing. I fell less guilty that way and average about 20 miles a day now.
  21. I haven't really compared him to other utility guys but I think ones who have a career OPS north of .700 and can play at least league average defense at almost any position is fairly rare. Dude is carving out a nice career for himself.
  22. Overall I agree with you, but considering how much success Knebel had with Pina catching him last season I don't think the problem is where the catcher wants him to throw the pitch.
  23. I know this is a bit nitpicky, but I suspect we still have an 8 man pen with 4 starters at most. It's also possible we have 3 starters and then 2 guys like Davies piggyback in the 4th game to some extent. With offdays, using most of the bullpen on a given day shouldn't be a major concern. Even with that said, Davies certainly will have to show quite a bit to earn a spot on the postseason roster even in relief. And, even if he comes out healthy and pitching well, Nelson might also show up in September and would probably win a spot over Davies if he looks good. Playoff rotation will almost certainly include 3 of Anderson, Guerra, Chacin, Miley. Keep in mind I was only referring to optioning him down to AAA until September. It really has nothing to do with the likelihood of him earning a playoff roster spot. It has everything to do with not limiting our options when we don't have to. Even if it appears like he may not end up on the playoff roster doesn't mean you burn that bridge if you don't have to. If he does play well enough to earn a postseason spot but was optioned until September it means he can't be added. Why do that when he could be kept on the DL for an extra week or so of rehab and keep him eligible.
  24. Wouldn't that make him ineligible for the postseason? If the plan was to do that why not just leave him on the DL a little longer so he would be eligible for the postseason?
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