Good article. I do agree that they've gone away from the things that were working well. I don't fully agree that it was just dumb luck that they applied those strategies in the first place though. There's some regression involved, which does make their slump coincide with making different decisions but isn't fully a result of making different decisions. Seems the guy is pushing his favorite explanation/agenda over several other important factors. I mostly agree about Knebel. He's never had the command to be anointed the closer, even last year when he was an all-star. This is just inevitable regression. They should be using him on a match-up basis more. That said, there are many save opportunities where it would have been him even if they didn't care about the "closer" role, simply because the match-ups were favorable and other guys had been used already. He's been quite a bit worse than even the Knebel Regressionists expected, but you don't know that until it's too late so you can't blame them for using him in a lot of high leverage situations. Again, that's just hindsight; the real story is that he's been a disappointment and that Hader and Jeffress have come back to earth a little lately. Most of the pen has regressed lately, and that's not Knebel's fault. Jennings, Williams, Barnes, etc weren't gonna be terrific all year. I'd say now is about the right time to start weaning him off that closer role, but I respect Counsell for generally giving guys the right amount of leash. I think fans in general call for changes too impatiently, but Counsell is actually less stubborn than most managers when it comes to changing personnel in response to changes in production. You can't just make changes every time a guy slumps a little. In a way, talking so much about the closer situation instead of recognizing all the issues causing the slump just reinforces how much the closer role is magnified beyond it's true importance, which is what most of us are trying to dispel. You hit pretty much everything very well but I think the highlighted part is spot on. He ignored some of the relievers were probably not as good as they appeared even while talking about the starters not be as good as they appeared which is the definition of confirmation bias. It kind of took away from the greater point he was making. Sad because I don't think he needed to do that to make his point.