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3and2Fastball

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Everything posted by 3and2Fastball

  1. 3and2Fastball
    Bonds league OPS was .756, Ruth league OPS .767
  2. 3and2Fastball
    Babe Ruth 1923 vs Barry Bonds 2001. Which was a better season? According to Fangraphs: Ruth wins in wOBA .571 to .537 Bonds wins in wRC+ 235 to 231. Bonds wins in OPS vs RHP 1.437 to 1.358 Bonds wins in OPS vs LHP 1.239 to 1.203 . Ruth was better defensively in those particular years. Based on league quality, I'd pick Bonds but it is close. I could see the argument that Bonds had a better offensive season but Ruth had a better overall season. In terms of WAR, according to Baseball Reference Ruth had a 14.1 season, Bonds 11.9 Ruth .393/.545/.764 41 HR's, 45 Doubles, 13 Triples Bonds .328/.515/.863 73 HR's, 32 Doubles, 2 Triples
  3. 3and2Fastball
    I look at Jimmy Nelson (for instance). These are career batting numbers against: 1st Plate Appearance in a Game .241/.321/.380 2nd Plate Appearance in a Game .277/.360/.433 4th+ Plate Appearance in a Game .357/.514/.571 2015 Batting Stats Against: 1st Plate Appearance in a Game .235/.299/.374 2nd Plate Appearance in a Game .263/.350/.417 4th+ Plate Appearance in a Game .500/.632/.857 Clearly, the more times in a game a hitter is facing Nelson, the harder he is getting hit. Plus I can imagine how much better he might pitch if he knew he was only going to pitch for 2 to 3 innings and then could go rest.... Plus, in the NL, more frequent pitching changes would allow you to pinch hit for the pitcher much more frequently, effectively giving you a "DH" in the pitchers spot over half the time if not more
  4. 3and2Fastball
    I've heard Brian Kenny of MLB Network and others discussing utilizing a pitching staff of Relief Aces/Bullpenning, in which you have each pitcher throw 2-3 innings once every 3 games. Game 1: Pitcher A/Pitcher B/Pitcher C Game 2: Pitcher D/Pitcher E/Pitcher F Game 3: Pitcher G/Pitcher H/Pitcher I And continue that "rotation" Those 9 pitchers plus 1 long reliever for blowout games and 1 "closer" Is this a way for a small market team like the Brewers to compete without signing and/or developing that traditional ace starting pitcher or two? Is this the kind of thing that works on paper or in Strat-O-Matic but wouldn't work in the real world? We've already seen trends towards this in the MLB postseasons lately.....
  5. 3and2Fastball
    I, also, think Broxton will really develop. However I believe Stearns is sincere about controllable young talent. Therefore I predict that at the trade deadline of 2019, the Brewers will get back a haul in trade for the two time All-Star Broxton, including a pitcher who will be a big part of the 2020 staff... Brinson will be in CF I hope Hader is a starter. Actually I hope by 2019/2020 the Brewers will institute a "bullpenning"/relief aces approach of having every pitcher throw 2-3 innings once every 3 games or so, and Hader will be a big part of that. But that is perhaps another topic (!) Isan Diaz is the one to watch. I hope he has a tremendous year at AA this year. His development is a key for the 2020 Brewers, I think.... Great topic and fun to read/think about it. Thank you
  6. 3and2Fastball
    Organizationally this is my biggest concern. A lot is riding on Hader for 2018/2019 etc. I'd bring him along slowly
  7. 3and2Fastball
    Good article, I especially like the last line "I’ll pick the Brewers, and live with it." I dunno, call me crazy but I think the Crew will be pretty good this year, i.e. better than expected, possibly all the way to 80 wins. I guess it depends on the pitching, of course, but MLB is trending towards younger, athletic, versatile players and the Brewers have that in bunches of talent. Would it shock me if Arcia, Villar, Broxton, Santana, Shaw & Perez are all better than they were last year and better than projected? Not at all. And if "old man" Braun can hit like he did last year, this team could surprise some people. At any rate I think they'll be an entertaining team to watch & cheer for. Here's hoping Hader becomes an ace
  8. 3and2Fastball
    Forsythe is a plus defender who is a year away from putting up a .599 SLG % vs LHP. A good solid player who didn't take a huge return to get. He hits LHP a little better than RHP but doesn't need to be platooned. A pretty good baserunner and overall above average player. Good pickup for the Dodgers
  9. 3and2Fastball
    For what it is worth, both Bill James & MLB Network's "Shredder" ranked Braun as the #1 Left Fielder in Baseball going into 2017....
  10. 3and2Fastball
    Strongly agree that sustained success can breed success. Green Bay is a smaller market than Milwaukee and Packers fans are fanatics. Different sport, different situation, I know, but your point is well made that Wisconsin fans will follow a consistent winner. What I find fascinating are the trends in Baseball, and I'm looking forward to seeing if Stearns creates trends, follows them, or something in between.
  11. 3and2Fastball
    I'm just hoping we get a great Peralta for half a season and then trade him.
  12. 3and2Fastball
    Yes! Agreed. He is doing a great job so far on maximizing return on what may be an overvalued part of the game. I say it "may be" overvalued in the sense that an elite bullpen does seem like an essential part of a Championship run over the last several years. At any rate, for a rebuilding GM, Stearns is doing doing a great job exploiting that trend.
  13. 3and2Fastball
    This is more of a philosophical question, and since Stearns et al aren't on here, it really ends up being a matter of opinion. It is clear that Stearns believes in young, controllable talent, as well as putting a premium on athletic, versatile players. The emphasis on athleticism seems a little bit modeled after the 2015 Kansas City Royals. What I wonder is: is this a new sustainable trend, or already an older model that caught lightning in the bottle once and isn't sustainable? The Cubs certainly have young, athletic, versatile players, but seem built around the power bats more than the Royals were. I've read Stearns in interviews saying that when you have limited resources you have to be out in front of the trends in order to build competitive advantages. Thoughts on that? (hey it is a slow offseason weekday)
  14. 3and2Fastball
    Strongly agree on Mejia being a priority if there is any chance to get him. Braun/Guerra maybe?
  15. 3and2Fastball
    Dozier will be 30 in 2017, just had a 6.5 WAR season as a 2B with 42 HR's, he's under contract for 2 more years for $15 million total and has barely missed a game in the last 4 years Braun will be 33 in 2017, just had a 4.4 WAR season as a LF with 30 HR's, he's under contract for 4 more years for $77 million total and has missed a lot of games in the last 4 years Huge difference in value and expected return
  16. 3and2Fastball
    Kirk's Home/Away splits in 2016 is the most ridiculous thing I've seen in awhile Home .290/.397/.556 Away .127/.249/.211
  17. 3and2Fastball
    K-Rod!!!! (kidding) I'd try to get Justin Wilson and his 10 K/9 left arm to see if he can be turned into a closer http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/wilsoju10.shtml or Bruce Rondon and his 11.1 K/9 http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/rondobr01.shtml thinking that Kirk alone wouldn't suffice for those guys though....
  18. 3and2Fastball
    Difficult to speculate on without knowing what else is happening in Braun trade talks. Puig is such a wildcard. He'll be 26 this year, had a 101 OPS+ last year. He does have 3 more years of control but man oh man not sure if I want Puig as a center piece of a Braun deal
  19. 3and2Fastball
    If Perez was strictly a 2B/SS, his 91 OPS+ could be more forgiveable. His baserunning skills are somewhat negated by his .302 OBP, and while I do think there is plenty to like about him 18 walks in 430 Plate Appearances is just plain not good. I don't know why opponents ever throw him a strike, honestly.
  20. 3and2Fastball
    The amount of work pitchers put in, in between appearances, is staggering. The amount of work hitters put in is also mindblowing. Just really hard to imagine anyone being able to do both. I could see Hunter Greene being a possibility though. It'd have to be a relief pitcher I would think (agree with MrTPlush)
  21. 3and2Fastball
    We've repeatedly seen teams overpay for closers. This is the type of signing you roll the dice on, for sure. If he has a great 1st half he can be flipped for a strong return
  22. 3and2Fastball
    That sounds like the type of deal my cousin dreams up. At Christmas he was advocating that we trade Braun & Guerra for Mike Trout
  23. 3and2Fastball
    Babe Ruth thought it'd be impossible, didn't want to do it. Clayton Kershaw wants to do it but the Dodgers won't let him. The problem is (among other things), 1B's still have to throw sometimes. I could see, potentially, a Bumgarner type DH'ing on off days in the AL, but it is tough enough making the show as either a pitcher or hitter, let alone both
  24. 3and2Fastball
    That would be exciting. Adell reminds me a little of Jason Heyward. Not a bad comp for a floor
  25. 3and2Fastball
    current rumor: McCutchen to Yankees, Prospects to White Sox, Quintana to Pirates, 3 team trade Not done yet, but this combined with Encarnacion signing would make Braun the most valuable RH power hitter available http://www.inquisitr.com/3822106/new-york-yankees-trade-rumors-andrew-mccutchen-to-the-bronx-will-yankees-scoop-mets/
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