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SRB

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Everything posted by SRB

  1. Yes, but just because you are great relative to the general population doesn't mean you have any business being on a MLB roster. The Brewers have had a remarkably horrendous bench this season. I don't see how anyone could argue that it has been even close to league average. The notion that it's "normal" to have a bench so far below replacement value ignores the entire point of the replacement-level baseline...
  2. Looking forward to watching Troy's career as he hopefully follows in the footsteps of some great Brewers fourth round picks who developed into top prospects over the last decade and a half (e.g. Brad Nelson, Mat Gamel, Hunter Morris)
  3. The couple times I saw the replay it actually didn't look that intentional to me. If you want to hit the pitcher it's not hard to throw the bat straight. I can fully buy that he was swinging hard, saw the ball coming/got hit mid swing or whatever and lost control of the bat.
  4. These guys are all given visas under a special category, and I don't think his age matters. I imagine he would play in Rookie ball at 17 and then make the jump to low-A at 18. That seems to be the timetable for most international prospects, e.g. Miguel Cabrera, Alcides Escobar.
  5. Fantasy 2019 Lineup! C - Clint Coulter (25) 1B - Old Man Braun (35) 2B - Jacob Gatewood (23) SS - Orlando Arcia (24) 3B - Gilbert Lara (21) LF - Victor Roache (28) (Hey, I said fantasy. Though Khris Davis will still be under team control, I think?) CF - Tyrone Taylor (25) RF - Monte Harrison (23) If Gatewood can stick at SS then that's fantastic, but in the scenario where both he and Arcia become top prospects, I think Gatewood is the one who moves to 2B. Arcia has a great arm.
  6. I think if he can develop his change people will think of him more as a starter and not a bullpen guy. As far as I can tell this is almost solely about him only really having 2 pitches. The arm slot is something a good number of starters get away with so that can't be too big a part of it. Really? Seems like scouts love his slider and fastball, and think he might have a plus pitch down the road in his changeup too. My sense is that the reliever tag is due to his unusual arm slot and the fact that (as a result of his delivery) he might be expected to have fairly large platoon splits. I don't think that a good number of starters have his arm slot, it sounds fairly unusual. (I'm just going off discussion by Baseball America, etc., not my personal observation slash non-expertise). If he was from Florida and not Hawaii and scouts had more of an opportunity to get used to his orthodox delivery, I suspect he would have been "ranked" much higher in consensus rankings.
  7. I wonder if Gatewood/Harrison signing so fast means they'll end up having more money set aside from rounds 3-10 than they'll end up needing which they can throw at some of these high school players.
  8. Based on who they picked it's almost a given they will make that $700k up in rounds 3-10. Even if they don't, the absolute worst case is that the Brewers go $700k over their bonus pool, get fined, and lose next year's first-round pick. But (especially with the Brewers' record so far), Monte Harrison is possibly better than who they will get next year anyways. Signing him as fast as possible is huge because now they know what they have to work with and can use his figure as leverage with Medeiros/Gatewood.
  9. Maybe it's because I like Medeiros much more than some and think he is being underrated due to his unconventionality and his home state, but from the perspective of right after the draft (huge caveat) is this the best Brewers draft in recent memory?? They had picks 12, 41, and 50, and ended up with arguably three top-20 talents who are all likely to sign.
  10. Haha, well so much for that! This was a great draft.
  11. Did the Padres just draft Johnny Manziel...?
  12. Victor Roache needs to bring his OBP above .260 in high-A before he is the type of player that lands David Price...
  13. Ok. Well, Mark Reynolds or bust!
  14. Great points. They can also spend an additional $380,000 toward bonuses if they have to while only incurring a fine (75% of the overage, so if they maxed out it would be costing them $665,000 combined, with only the first $380,00 of that going to players). Considering they are stashing an A-ball pitcher on the major league roster all season just to get some decent talent into the system, I'm guessing they would pay the extra half million if they needed to.
  15. No. Because he's wrong as often (if not more often) than he's right. See my sig. He's particularly good at "evaluating" pitchers. Especially LHP with low arm slots. (And yes, I know that every talent evaluator makes mistakes. The difference with Keith Law is he acts like such a pompous know-it-all about it. Most others don't do that because they know they make mistakes.)
  16. I think it's possible even if Harrison demands $2.5M (though I'm not sure if the Brewers would want to pay that regardless). If you can keep picks 1-3 in the <$6.5M range combined, then they can pick up the difference in rounds 3-10.
  17. Javi Salas, RHP, Senior, University of Miami. Back in March he threw the second perfect game in Hurricanes history (23rd in Division I history). *Edit* http://deadspin.com/miami-pitcher-throws-perfect-game-on-night-brother-does-1536953839
  18. [sarcasm]Packers draftee HaHa Clinton-Dix also an alumni.[/sarcasm]
  19. Sorry if I'm behind in the thread, but this is so obnoxious/infuriating to me. How many times has Keith Law, professional pundit, seen Kodi Medeiros pitch in Hawaii? How many scouts could he have possibly talked to? If you observe actual professional talent evaluators like Jim Callis or John Manuel, they tend not to do this holier-than-though, overly-smug "oh, that was a bad pick" nonsense because they know that it is extremely subjective and that the team scouting departments likely know way more than you do as a pundit talking to guys on your phone. Honestly, Keith Law is just an idiot. He's just barely a notch about Harold Reynolds on MLB Network giving an impromptu projection for every draft pick as if he actually knows what he is talking about with this random high school player he's never heard of.
  20. No idea, but at least it's not a situation where they were (widely) projected to be top-5/top-10 picks and dropped due to signability issues. Best case for both was in the $1.5-$2.5M slot range, so you would have to imagine they weren't expecting more than that. And as a result might be happy to sign for $0.5M or so below what they were hoping for.
  21. Perfect, thanks! So the Brewers have a $7.6M aggregate bonus pool for this year's draft. If they are willing to spend a little extra via penalty tax, they can spend just under $8M without losing a pick in next year's draft. (With the penalty that would end up costing them an additional $300k, so total draft spending of $8.3M let's say). The recommended slot value for #12 is $2.8M, but if we assume Medeiros will sign for a decent discount (pick-20-ish money, $2M?), then you have roughly $6M left for the next nine picks. They could give Gatewood and Harrison $1.5M each, and be left with $3M for rounds 3-10. The recommended slot values are a combined $1.9M for rounds 3-4, about $590k for rounds 5-6, and about $640k for rounds 7-10. Even if they sign everybody at slot, that's only like $3.25M, so maybe $250k above what they are allotted? They can easily shave that down across round 3-10 by taking seniors and other low-leverage picks. It really doesn't seem like it would be that hard to fit everything in if the above estimates are accurate. Is $1.5M for both Gatewood and Harrison implausible? $2M for Medeiros ($800k discount)? *Edit* On second thought, $1.5M might be a little low, hard to say. If you give them both $2M each, you need to lose $1M somewhere in rounds 3-10. Still, not that hard to do. If they wanted the Brewers could just punt rounds 3-4 altogether basically. Get low-cost seniors there, sign them for like $400k combined, and then go through the rest of the draft picking at-slot guys. If Gatewood or Harrison want more than $2M then they were never going to sign in the first place, because nobody was going to take them top-15 without a below-slot pre-draft deal in place.
  22. Considered the top international prospect for when the international signing window opens on July 2. Strong rumors for the past few months that he has a $3M+ agreement in place to sign with Milwaukee. Toolsy SS/3B.
  23. Coulter, Arcia, Gatewood, Lara, Harrison, Taylor all fulfilling their potential and hitting the majors in a 2-3 year window would be amazing. I don't know if they can sign both Gatewood/Harrison, but at least now we can be pretty confident they will get at least one of the two.
  24. So what are the rules again, if the Brewers just blow past their slot allotments?
  25. Say whaaaaaat?? Greg Vaughn keeps going rogue and making amazing picks!!!!
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