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SRB

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Everything posted by SRB

  1. Kolek at 2, first "surprise"? So much for him slipping to the teens.
  2. T minus a couple minutes! Please let the draft start so I don't have to watch another Jason Aldean (sic?) commercial.
  3. Medeiros is the guy with the very unusual delivery (extremely low slot), right? They talked quite a bit about him on the Baseball America podcast a couple days ago, sounded pretty exciting to me.
  4. I didn't realize how bad Estrada has been before looking at his season line. Honestly, it seems like Nelson should be in the major right now and even if Estrada wasn't pitching so poorly it might make sense to bump him for Nelson. Maybe they are waiting a little longer due to service time considerations?
  5. Now there's some buzz that Schwarber might go as high as #4 to the Cubs. No idea what's going to happen tomorrow, but it's going to be fun to watch!
  6. The Brewers have had a bad few years, but I think we overestimate other teams' success too. For example, the Braves got Heyward at #12 in 2007 and Mike Minor at #7 in 2009, but before that their only decent first round picks since 2001 have been Saltalamacchia (#36, 2003) and Jeff Francoeur (#23, 2002). And obviously the latter two are not a high bar.
  7. I am distraught enough as a fan, but do you think Seid lies awake at night cursing Mark Teixeira and the fact that we missed Mike Trout by one pick?
  8. Very interesting Baseball America podcast put up earlier today if you haven't heard it (w/ John Manuel and others) Seemed to be the consensus that there is a lot of depth in pitching (especially high school pitching) while there are fewer top-flight hitters. Since the Brewers have three picks in the top 50, I would love if they went for a bat at #12 and then picked up some quality pitchers that fall to the 40-50 range. Also seemed like they didn't think the college hitters this draft class were particularly exciting (which doesn't necessarily mean they wouldn't still be a good pick at 12, of course). Interesting theory that the college class is relatively weak due to the change in draft rules a few years back when teams splurged on high school signing bonuses (the year the Brewers tried to sign Rodon). I kind of want them to go Gatewood at 12 and then get pitching at 41/50, but since I'm just a fan and this isn't my career it's easy to dream on upside alone.
  9. 10 million dollars allows him to live a very comfortable life for both he and the rest of his family for the rest of his life. Accepting that money when, to date, he's made maybe 1 million dollars is really easy to pass up when you're a pitcher like Bud Norris and you've earned 10 million dollars throughout your career and will likely make another 5-10 million next year while Singleton has never been thought of as an elite prospect. Good luck to him, and if he has a good career, he'll be able to be a FA when he's 30 years old. I looked it up, and he did get a decent signing bonus back in 2009 as an 8th round pick ($200,000), but there's no way he's earned one million yet. Many non-40-man minor league players make below the poverty level, and even once you've been put on the 40-man the first-year minor league salary is just $40,000. I doubt he has earned more than $300,000 in his career so far (including his signing bonus). Players who flame out in their pre-arbitration years really get screwed. Players who never reach the majors are even worse off (at least in the majors you are on the $500,000 minimum yearly salary for a couple seasons). Pretty good money for playing a game, but considering these guys have played baseball their entire adult lives and have no tangible employment skills, <$300,000 is not exactly a nest egg you can live on once you get cut out of baseball and suddenly find yourself looking for a job. The MLBPA does not care about minor league players.
  10. I'm very pro-MLBPA, but perhaps they should stop exploiting the minor leagues if they want to start complaining about minor league players accepting large guaranteed contracts? I know technically Singleton was an MLBPA member since he had recently been added to the 40-man, but most minor league players are not, and Singleton was an 8th round pick who (to my knowledge) never got a large sum of guaranteed money via signing bonus or otherwise. The MLB players are greedy at the expense of all the uncovered MiLB players who never make it (and Singleton could easily become one of the latter), so it is kind of silly for them to criticize him over this. It would be different if he was in a his third year and was guaranteed a big payday in the future or something like that.
  11. Reynolds's HRs have kept the position above water, but I'd say having two 1B both with OBP <.300 at this point in the season constitutes being broken. If Reynolds's HR/FB% and defense come back down to earth just a little bit, we are going to have a sub-replacement 1B. Morales has the added bonus of moving Reynolds to a bench 1B/3B role, where he would be excellent. The problem is, Reynolds looks pretty good right now, but if worse comes to worse and we need a 1B down the stretch, who is available? Morales is really the only option that doesn't involve giving away prospects. Though I agree that above a certain price it will just make more sense to call up Morris and hope he is passable.
  12. Anybody have strength of schedule info for the Brewers? Seems like April/May were pretty tough months, and June looks to be pretty easy. Could just be over/under-estimating though.
  13. Why would the Brewers want Butler, who is definitely a DH-only, and is pretty horrible now (like, worse than Overbay horrible), when we could just sign Morales in the first place?
  14. I think that's true if you have, say, Bryce Harper v. Eric Arnett to choose from, but the difference between all of the great players that will be available at #12 is so marginal/ambiguous that I think the BPA philosophy is severely over-stated sometimes. If you have two players that are roughly equally good, there's no reason not to take organizational realities into account. Especially if one player is a 1B-only and thus really cannot play anywhere else--it limits your options. In theory you could trade him, but prospects aren't always such a fungible commodity. Maybe I am wrong about them moving Braun though, in which case Schwarber makes more sense (especially if he can move through the system fast).
  15. I buy into to the best-player-available mentality to a certain extent, but don't you think it makes sense to move Braun to 1B at some point in the next few years? And Braun's not getting traded (probably ever). Since Schwarber is not way better than all of the other options, I would prefer to not draft a 1B-only guy. Especially since it is so hard to hit well enough to be a successful 1B prospect. If he was a sure-thing above-average 1B he would be going a lot higher.
  16. Is Jacob Gatewood an absurd reach at #12? Personally Personally I want the highest upside possible and his power looks very impressive. (Then again, if his ceiling is Pedro Alvarez/Mark Trumbo at 3B, then eh...)
  17. Didn't Chipper Jones fake an injury a few years back because he was upset about something and refusing to play? I think the MLB inquiry into whether an injury is real is pretty minimal. I'm sure basically any pitcher has some lingering issue that can be used as the justification.
  18. I'm starting to think that Morales is not going to happen. Reynolds is playing too well, and Melvin is the type of GM that will just stick with that. Even though I think they should sign Morales, for both this year and next.
  19. They should send him down a couple weeks before they trade Weeks. Gives Melvin a little more leverage at the bargaining table.
  20. My picks: 1-1 (HOU) = Bradley Aiken, LHP 1-2 (MIA) = Carlos Rodon, LHP 1-3 (CHW) = Aaron Nola, RHP 1-4 (CHC) = Alex Jackson, C 1-5 (MIN) = Kyle Freeland, LHP 1-6 (SEA) = Tyler Kolek, RHP 1-7 (PHI) = Nick Gordon, SS 1-8 (COL) = Sean Newcomb, LHP 1-9 (TOR) = Jeff Hoffman, RHP 1-10 (NYM) = Max Pentecost, C 1-11 (TOR) = Bradley Zimmer, OF 1-12 (MIL) = Touki Toussaint, RHP
  21. We're less than two weeks away from the first day of the June draft, and so while it may still be a little early I thought I would get the ball rolling with an individual predictions thread (as opposed to a mock draft of who you think should be picked). Comment below with your predictions for the first twelve picks (through the Brewers at #12) anytime between now and the start of the draft on June 5, and after the draft I will score each submission (+1 point per correct prediction, +3 points if you get the Brewers pick correct) to see who won! Note: +5 bonus points for "Brewers sign Kendrys Morales on June 4 and forfeit their pick" 1-1 (HOU) = 1-2 (MIA) = 1-3 (CHW) = 1-4 (CHC) = 1-5 (MIN) = 1-6 (SEA) = 1-7 (PHI) = 1-8 (COL) = 1-9 (TOR) = 1-10 (NYM) = 1-11 (TOR) = 1-12 (MIL) = I don't remember from years past, but if B-Fan staff usually run something like this, feel free to delete/merge my thread.
  22. It doesn't really say if he had to go through waivers or if he was going through and the idea of a trade was broached and then not finalized till he was through by coincidence. This example raises a much more important question: how did we go 29 pages without anybody making a Rule 5 Wang/Dickey joke?
  23. They should just leave Nelson up and go with a six-man rotation until the Brewers sign Morales in the second week of June.
  24. Maybe he wasn't "throwing Braun under the bus" but was simply trying to defend himself from the inevitable barrage of 1000x "Gomez is an idiot," "Gomez makes mental mistakes," "Gomez is hot-headed," etc., etc. that follow anytime he does anything remotely not perfect. Honestly, it is bizarre to me since Gomez has been so good the past two seasons that he is still nitpicked so much. How many other MVP-caliber players have people pontificate on how he doesn't know how to swing right, and things like that? I think maybe it's because he was initially so bad offensively that people still feel they have license to blame him for everything. (I'll leave deeper sociological/political theories for not on here.)
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