BallFour

Jackson ChourioSal FrelickJeferson QueroJacob MisiorowskiTyler BlackRobert GasserCarlos F RodriguezBrock WilkenAbner UribeLuis LaraCooper PrattMike BoeveEric Brown JrJosh KnothEric BitontiLuke AdamsRobert MooreYophery RodriguezLogan HendersonDaniel Guilarte

Reds starting pitchers had an ERA- of 73 in July compared to a FIP- of 104. From the beginning of the season through June they had an ERA- of 126 with a FIP- of 112. Just found that interesting nonetheless. Yes they will get Hunter Greene back but they are due for a major regression regardless.

Also expanded playoffs changes the math on all-in deadline trades but I guess that is just my opinion.

I personally don't have the love for Justin Jarvis as I do for other pitchers in our system. He gives up way too many homers for my liking and I don't see him having the stuff for the bullpen. I am glad we did this over giving up better assets like a Gasser or C-Rod for Jimenez.

For Justin Jarvis

I think the White Sox would want Robert Gasser. They need 2024 cheap rotation help bad. They only have two pitchers in next years rotation atm in cease and kopech. They are a team that will refuse to spend big on starting pitching and go more with the brewers late 2000s early 2010s approach. Suppans, lohses, garzas of the world. If Eloy didn’t get hurt all the time I would really consider that.

Is there a more underrated player in our system than C-Rod? He may not burn up the radar gun but his well-rounded arsenal is impressive to watch.

As always @sveumrules brings the facts. The Brewers are a combined -2.6 fWAR at DH and 1B. If you find 2 Carlos Santana's that is between a 4 and 5 win difference over a season. People are way too caught up in raising the ceiling of this team when they should be concerned with upgrading the floor of the team which this move does.

Jackson Chourio Previous Ranking (1) Hurts to say we don't have a sure fire phenom on our hands. But alas I have learned nothing is really close to a sure thing until a young player dominates AA. He still has time on his side just wish I was writing up about how his AA stats are close to phenoms like Acuna and Trout. Instead they are closer to Jose Tabata and Elvis Andrus. I still love how he can barrel the ball to all fields. I can and will still dream on that.Jeferson Quero Previous Ranking (2) I consider myself modest but will pat myself on the back for believing the upside in the preseason. It is very rare for a prospect to walk more, strike out less, and increase their ISO when comparing A ball stats to AA stats. It is down right crazy the strides hes made offensively. I still think his pull heavy approach will be exploited in the majors and that limits his ceiling for me which is why I still have Chourio clearing him comfortably on this list.Sal Frelick Previous Ranking (3) Ugh a tough season for Sal but that is just how injuries go sometimes. Also tough luck for the Brewers having him and Mitchell go down around the same time. I am not worried one bit about him. Jacob Misiorowski Previous Ranking (6) Wow is all i have to say. He would be right there with Chourio on my list if he had better command and if he had a better changeup. Having said that what a find by the Brewers scouting staff. From JUCO to wowing scout at the future games in under a year is crazy.Tyler Black Previous Ranking (5) I can't believe he has 41 stolen bases. His draft profile really sold him short on his power potential and his run potential. Robert Gasser Previous Ranking (8) Carlos F Rodriguez Previous Rankings (4) I admit I probably had him too high in the last ranking, I can sometimes fall victim to a snap shot in time fallacy. I still love his 3 pitch arsenal though but I do have to ponder how much the tacky ball helps his numbers.Luis Lara Previous Ranking (11)Abner Uribe Previous Ranking (9)Brock WilkenEric Brown Jr Previous Ranking (7) Was hoping for better results at Wisconsin, it is too bad he got hurt recently.Yophery Rodriguez Previous Ranking (NR) I try not to put latin american players in my top 20 till they actually play a game. Gilbert Lara taught me that lesson.Cooper PrattRobert Moore Previous Ranking (NR) I hated this pick at the time it was made. I just did not like taking a player in the second round coming off a bad college year. Thus why he has not been in my rankings. But above average results with a little more pop than I thought has him on my list this time.Josh Knoth Previous Ranking (NR) A nice bounce back year for Freddy. I know he is 24 but when you realize he lost 2020 and 2022 to behavior, covid, and injury you realize how little development time hes actually gotten.Luke Adams Previous Ranking (NR)Hendry Mendez Previous Ranking (10) I want to put him higher but I don't know if he will ever have the power to hit at a corner outfield spot.Eric BitontiLogan Henderson Previous Ranking (18) Below has to be a record on the amount of guys that dropped out after an update. I will say as good as the top of the Brewers system is, it is really shallow in the 16-30 range compared to some years back. I do hope and think the draft really helped with this along with the international signings of Yophery Rodriguez and Filippi Di Turi. Dropped out: Justin Jarvis (12) He just gives up too many homers for me. Alexander Cornielle (13) Daniel Guilarte (14) No power whatsoever Quinton Low (15) Still love the arm talent just were too many guys who have performed that deserve to be ahead of him Matthew Wood (16) A really bad start to High A has him off my list Stiven Cruz (17) Edwin Jimenez *(19) Alexander Vallecillo (20)

I am still not seeing Yophery Rodriguez or Di Turi

Well if Chourio is overrated it is only in the sense that he probably is no longer regarded in the sure fire phenom tier like those who dominated AA such as Trout, Vlad Jr., Acuna, Heyward, and Albies did at the age of 19. Comparing him to Hedbert is laughable at best. He still he has a damn good profile to dream on and just look at what Quero did between his 19 year old and 20 year old season.

I have always been high on Quero but what he is doing in AA is very rare and never could have imagined him being this good with the bat at AA this fast with basically skipping High A. I will still put Chourio above him in our next prospect update because being 19 at Biloxi and holding your own is some sicko stuff as well but I would be lying if I didn't say the gap has closed considerably. What a great problem to have. I do have to throw some love Keith Law's way had Quero and Tyler Black in his top 100 before anyone else.

OF-Jackson Chourio (1) C-Jeferson Quero (4) CF-Sal Frelick (2) RHP-Carlos Rodriguez (14) 3B-Tyler Black (9) RHP-Jacob Misiorowski (11) SS-Eric Brown, Jr. (8) LHP-Robert Gasser (7) RHP-Abner Uribe (10) RF-Hendry Mendez (12) CF-Luis Lara (NR) RHP-Justin Jarvis (19) RHP-Alexander Cornielle (NR) INF-Daniel Guilarte (NR) RHP-Quinton Low (NR) C-Matthew Wood (NR) RHP-Stiven Cruz (16) RHP-Logan Henderson (17) RHP-Edwin Jimenez (NR) RHP-Alexander Vallecillo (NR) Graduated RF-Joey Wiemer (3), CF-Garrett Mitchell (5), SS-Brice Turang (6) Dropped out 2B-Felix Valerio (13), Janson Junk (15), CF-Jace Avina (18), SS-Eduardo Garcia (20)

Turang did have the lowest chase rate in all of the minors if i remember his prospect writeup from fangraphs correctly. I guess how much upside you think he has depends on what school of thought you prefer. Is it easier to learn to swing at good pitches? Or is it easier to learn how to impact the ball more? Either way he has a nice floor with the game transitioning and valuing the skills he already is above average in.

Fangraphs also said he had a very low chase rate. The great thing for Brice is speed and defensive range are going to be important with the rule changes. The rule changes raise his floor up a little bit, which is good.

1. CF-Jackson Chourio (3) 2. CF-Sal Frelick (1) 3. RF-Joey Wiemer (6) 4. C-Jeferson Quero (4) 5. CF-Garrett Mitchell (8) 6. SS-Brice Turang (5) 7. LHP-Robert Gasser (7) 8. SS-Eric Brown, Jr. (12) 9. 2B/OF-Tyler Black (10) 10. RHP-Abner Uribe (20) 11. RHP-Jacob Misiorowski (13) 12. RF-Hendry Mendez (15) 13. 2B-Felix Valerio (9) 14. RHP-Carlos Rodriguez (NR) 15. RHP-Janson Junk (NA) 16. RHP-Stiven Cruz (NR) 17. RHP-Logan Henderson (NR) 18. OF-Jace Avina (NR) 19. RHP-Justin Jarvis (19) 20. SS-Eduardo Garcia (17) No longer with organization CF-Esteury Ruiz (2), C-Mario Feliciano (14) Dropped out LHP-Ethan Small (11), LF-Hedbert Perez (16), RHP-Victor Castaneda (18)

I find interesting that all the NL Central are ranked in the range of 6th to 13th.

ESPN came out with their rankings. The Chourio write up was weird, basically saying he is a dart throw. Which is fine a lot of prospects are dart throws but putting a "dart throw" at 11 seems odd unless you didn't want to be incredibly lower on him than everybody else. 11. OF-Jackson Chourio 45. OF-Sal Frelick 72. SS-Brice Turang

C-Contreras 1B-Tellez 2B-Urias 3B-Anderson SS-Adames LF-Yelich CF-Mitchell RF-Taylor DH-Winker Bench C-Caratini, 1B-Hiura, INF-Toro, INF-Brosseau Rotation Burnes, Woodruff, Peralta, Ashby, Lauer Bullpen Williams, Bush, Milner, Payamps, Guerra, Miley, Houser, Wilson Having Anderson and Winker takes the pressure off of having to have an exclusive 4th outfielder on the bench. Don't get me wrong I don't want Winker in the field but in case of emergency he can do it. I just don't see how Hiura fits on the team, with zero options and his heavy reverse splits he is pretty redundant when Tellez and Winker are on the club. I admit the bullpen looks funky with 3 guys that could potentially start but with Strezelecki and Cousins having options I think they are going to keep the guys with zero options until they either prove they can't cut it or until the inevitable injuries strike.

So when he signed an extension in 2021 it was for only 2 years? Why?

Move Houser to the pen go with a 6 man there are enough innings to go around with MIley and Peralta's injury histories.

I like the Marlins as a fit, they need a CF bad what about Edward Cabrera for Mitchell? Mitchell and Cabrera both have question marks. Mitchell would be a pretty good get with his defensive ability in that cavernous outfield.

In Ken's latest article he has a snippet speculating the Brewers could trade Wiemer or Mitchell for pitching. He starts out by saying Chourio is untouchable and Frelick is pretty close to untouchable as well. He doesn't say anything specific besides trading for pitching.

Cubs will still be lucky to be .500 but will be the trendy pick to finish above the Brewers.

Why? because if he put up just those wRC+'s you posted he would have had added over 2 wins just because of his defense in the outfield, with elite defensive play in center field, which was important because Cain didn't play in 2020. He was a great complement to Cain and Garcia in theory. Did it work out? Absolutely not.