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Cool Hand Lucroy
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Everything posted by Cool Hand Lucroy
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Fair. I tend to think that stuff is overrated, but I've never played big-league ball. -
Hey, old friend Hoby coming in. Glad the Brewers didn't totally wreck his arm with that massive workload.
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Call me crazy, but I'd honestly rather have the two. Takes playing the Cubs before the NLCS off the table.
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Love Yelich running and Contreras taking on the first pitch. That's a free base, and it cashes.
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Well if it weren't for bad luck, we'd have none. Two smoked balls for outs, including a home run robbery, and a ground-rule double that costs us a run.
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Is there a humidor thing going on in Texas? My goodness. These balls are smoked.
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I knew you'd be all over this, @sveumrules. Thanks for your good work. It's reliably insightful.
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How do Vaughn/Hoskins compare defensively? They sort of seem like basically the same player to me, but others likely have a keener eye for the metrics. I would guess, simply by virtue of being 5 years younger, Vaughn would have any small edge there might be, but my quick gloss sees Hoskins as slightly ahead if anyone is. Early in the year, Curt Hogg made a good point about Murphy's tendency to PR for Hoskins in, say, the 7th inning of a tie game being detrimental. One benefit of adding Hoskins to the mix is that we can perhaps do that more liberally without too much of an offensive downgrade. Something with value in the postseason too. Looking forward to forgetting about yesterday. Just a pretty listless performance all around offensively. I'm among those who thought Q was mostly fine. We weren't winning that game anyway. As others have pointed out, the rested bullpen is a nice change of pace. Would love to have that magic number for the division in single digits before this series is out, so... Go us! Go Atlanta!
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Schedule-wise, the Cubs, you could argue, have a more difficult final 19 than we do. They have two series against bad teams in the Braves and Pirates. Their other remaining series are against the Mets and a bunch of teams right around .500 (Reds, Cardinals, and Rays). Meanwhile, the Brewers have the Reds, Cardinals (x2), Rangers, Padres, and Angels. I think that's pretty much a wash all things considered. We also get one more off day and one fewer road game. Anyone feeling extra paranoid might want to throw a ten on the Cubs at 50-1 (which is still too high at DraftKings) for a little insurance policy.
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5.5 to 7.5 in two days makes one feel good. I know a lot of us won't really rest until it's over, but you have to feel incredibly happy with where this team sits with 18 games to go.
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Marlins hold on. Bigger news for the Phils is almost definitely Turner's exit. I'll say this. A lot of the top teams in the NL are dealing with significant injuries. One of the very crappy things about the daily grind of baseball.
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Lol. I see not everyone switched to the Packers :)
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I know everyone probably switched to the Packers, but Josh Bell just hit a PH, 3-run homer to put the Nats up 5-3. Whoever said they hoped pitching Palencia yesterday came back to bite the Cubs today? They're three outs away from getting their wish.
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We're getting closer to sewing up the NL playoff picture. Right now, seeds 1-6 (in some order) look reasonably safe. The AL, though, has some really fun races going on, especially for that final WC spot.
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With yesterday's one-game swing, Fangraphs playoff odds now have the Brewers at over 98 percent to win the division. I'm not one to take those numbers as Gospel. We have no idea which simulation we're living in, and if you run 10,000, 200 are going to come up Cubs. Still, the math is quite hard for them. They're going to have to go like 16-4 and hope we play sub-.500 down the stretch. That's not impossible. It's also going to take both a crazy hot run from them (on par with our post-ASB through mid-August run) and us playing well below our standard to this point.
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I'm glad Bauers is making a numbers argument for his roster spot. I will keep doubting him so maybe he'll keep hitting. I will also add that every Bauers success makes Siegler less useful.
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Tucker is banged-up too, in his own Yelich situation. Doesn't seem bad enough for an IL stint, but also doesn't seem like he'll play this Nats series.
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Yeah, this is all good and useful. At the end of the day, any disagreement with the org's approach is really about like 9 days of the MLB calendar, which is basically nothing. I'll save any serious frustration for the slim chance Hoskins isn't up here when his rehab maximum is reached.
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I'm very leery of taking pain management advice from the NFL. The level of drug distribution in that league is well-documented and not very good for anyone long-term.
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I sort of get it, but then Siegler is redundant. That's all I'm saying. Nothing against either of those guys. It's just that Hoskins seems to have more value to me, and I think anything else ends up too cute by half.
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I think this is about the best the org can do. I'd push back on three things: 1) I get that Bauers has some versatility that makes him useful, especially in the postseason. But we're not in the postseason. As we try to secure a bye, I'd argue that Hoskins' offensive profile is better over 80PAs than anything Bauers (or Siegler) brings. 2) What does Siegler do that Bauers doesn't? And vice versa? I'm not sure, taken together, they provide enough unique coverage to justify carrying BOTH. And, certainly, I don't think they provide enough over having Hoskins/Bauers or Hoskins/Siegler. I think the org should pick Bauers or pick Siegler and give Hoskins the chance to hit. 3) Are we really going to opt for Vaughn and Bauers over Hoskins in the playoffs? I could see having all three rostered (teams carry three catchers with regularity), but Hoskins is in the org for these kinds of ABs. If the argument is playoff readiness, I think it applies just as much to Hoskins, who needs to see MLB pitching after a long time away. I am sure Rhys will be up in a few days. But I think the org has made a mistake by dragging it out this long. Maybe there are some contract incentives I am missing. I don't know. Is it a nuclear crisis? Not at all. It just seems like an outlier bad decision in a sea of mostly good ones.
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Really good point. Vaughn did make the great play to take two runs off the board, but still. If there's a reason Bauers is DHing, it's an idiosyncratic one.
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Bauers had a good run there for a couple ABs.
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I can see this. But I think he's a swing guy. Middle innings. Don't trust the command yet.
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Plus Vaughn's two years younger and has the first-round draft pedigree.
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