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Cool Hand Lucroy
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Everything posted by Cool Hand Lucroy
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It's like tennis. You get a limited number of challenges per game and need to be judicious about how you use them. -
I don't know. The pace isn't bad in tennis. I just think there are going to be some very "ugly" strikes with a fully automated system. There are also going to be a lot of unhittable strikes. Every change creates unintended consequences, but the hybrid, challenge approach seems to make the most sense to me.
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I'm pretty worried about Strez and Peguero. Payamps has earned my confidence, but it's pretty tough to compete when both the middle of your order and the last third of your bullpen is shaky.
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The challenge system is a great solution. Limits the downsides of a purely automated system, preserves pace, and introduces an element of strategy.
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I'll say this. The Brewers sure can't afford to lose games because of outfield defense. At some point, the middle of the order has to hit, you would think?
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Yeah, their schedule into the ASB is tough. Braves, Orioles, Brewers (plus a 4-gamer against the hopeless Nats). Heavy BP usage too. They get the off day tomorrow, but the Brewers definitely have the scheduling advantage into the next two weeks. Too early to be going through all this, of course. I'm just hoping this team can stockpile wins into the break. If they get today's game, I'll be ecstatic.
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I remember when GameDay Audio let you listen to local commercials AND was only about 30 seconds delayed instead of what? 4 minutes?
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Brewers (Rea) vs Twins (Ober): 6/14/23, 12:10pm
Cool Hand Lucroy replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Yeah, there is so little difference between winning the division and winning that last WC spot now. The Brewers are totally fine standings wise. Their schedule is easier over these last 94 than it has been. And the division is very bad. That's the good news. The bad news is, they're a really middling baseball team right now. Until Woodruff gets back, the rotation is what? A little above average? Maybe? The bullpen has been good enough, but beyond Williams, do we have faith in anyone? The offense is a big weak point. Unless Tellez or Willy or Urias or all three really pick it up, I have a hard time seeing this crew stringing together a bunch of wins. 23 games to the All-Star Break, with 13 against the Pirates, Reds, and Cubs. I think the Brewers need to hit about 15-8 for me to feel pretty good about things by mid-July. Anything less than 13-10 will be disappointing. This is the part of the schedule where they need to make hay, I think. The 3 against Arizona are the only 3 against a team over .500 in that stretch. Plus, they come out of the break with 6 against the Phillies and Reds. So, let's say the next 29 games will tell us something about how much we should hope for playoff baseball. -
Caratini's throws to second today were indeed very very bad. I like the guy, and he's a backup catcher. Whatever. I'm just not sure he's bringing much value at this point?
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This is the case for optimism from where I sit: 1) The schedule has been brutal and gets less so in June and July. 2) The team has ground out wins and avoided sweeps and generally maximized win totals during an awful stretch. 3) Injury luck has been bad and should hopefully improve. 4) The NL Central is bad. Somebody has to win it.
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This is definitely the most talented group of players I've seen (following since 1994). Their skill in midfield and out wide is impressive. Back line and striker are pretty thin. And the back is very important at the international level. Not getting out of the group would be VERY disappointing. But, yes, 2026 is the more realistic deep run target.
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Despite Qatar and the sheer absurdity and corruption (not to mention violence), I am looking forward to the World Cup. Will be interesting to see US engagement levels when the event is competing with every major domestic sport (including CBB and CFB), baseball excepted. A few quick thoughts: Most disappointing team: England. Could be sneaky tough for them to get out of a group much more difficult than the gut feelings would suggest. HM: Spain (because I think they have the toughest group) and France (because they are so talented, but also potentially very toxic). Most surprising team: But for some health concerns about Mane and Davies, I'd go with Sengal or Canada. I'll say Denmark. Very cohesive team. Uruguay and Japan are up there too. How far will the US go? Round of 16. I think they'd be underdogs against any Group A team in that game. I could see deeper if Mousah and Reyna have the breakout they're capable of. Champion: Brazil. So deep. Feels like their turn. I'll be rooting for Argentina, though.
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I've honestly always wondered why leagues like the MLS and NWSL don't try to put pro teams in smaller cities. I can't imagine a pro women's or men's soccer team doing poorly, even in a place that doesn't scream soccer culture. Tons of small, pro-sports-less cities (Omaha, Des Moines, Louisville, etc.) seem like great opportunities for the newer domestic leagues. I suppose the NWSL tried this once with that team from Western New York (and they did pretty well in attendance drawing from an even smaller town before moving to NC). I just think, if I were I pioneering millionaire with enough money to buy a pro sports franchise, I might move an NWSL team to the Quad Cities or something on the idea that, in a really fractured market, lower levels of intense, local support are what's going to carry a team.
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Mark A official at Norwich as of last week. Probably a favorite to be a Premier League owner next year.
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Two matches in to the EPL and my question is whether anyone can challenge City. I have a good feeling about Arsenal for some reason. Leeds has been a fun story. Looking forward to watching the US in the World Cup with what will have to be its most talented roster ever.
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An MLS franchise may not be far off if USL play goes well. That was Minnesota United's route, and I think FC Nashville's too?
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I love this matchup for the finals. Two hot goaltenders. Canadian drought vs. potential repeat. Fun stuff. I'd love for the Canadian drought to end, but I'd really prefer it be a Western team...still, the Habs have been fun all playoffs.
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I recall PBS hockey as well! That's a fun reminder. Thanks.
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Very casual hockey observer, but would love to see three old WCHA schools in the Frozen Four. Found those rivalries and environments more fun than the B1G.
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Dubon to SF for Pomeranz and Black
Cool Hand Lucroy replied to torts's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I think, watching Black pitch, that he's a good option for next year's pen almost certainly. Is he a high-leverage option? I don't know. But at this point, I'm pretty comfortable having him out there in a "keep them close" role, yesterday notwithstanding. You need guys like that. Of course, it's the bullpen. It's the most random part of baseball. But, yeah. For now, I think he's a good arm to have. -
This is going to be a looming issue as we get closer to the next CBA. No one seems to want to sign guys in their 30s to long-term deals. The "big money" window is shrinking, and I would be surprised if we don't get some kind of reform of either arbitration, FA, raising the league mininum substantially, or all three. Yelich's deal may end being what a lot of very good players try to get into. Early, multi-year extensions worth 50 or so million. Happy to pay it to him.
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This. Braun signed his 5/105 deal prior to 2016, right? He needs to be worth what? 13 wins over those 5 years to have it be an even deal? He's at 4.8 fWAR and 4.7 bWAR with three years to go. I don't think it's crazy that he ends up around 10 WAR total over the life of the contract. That makes it an unwise deal in the end, but not so unwise as to be horrible. And there's probably something to be gained from having Braun around for some people. I wouldn't count myself as one of them, and I do think the deal is subpar. But it's not so bad as to be completely underwater at this point, and not so bad as to be a franchise-killing albatross. I don't think last year is the real Braun, nor do I think 2016 is legitimate to expect, but if he's a 2-win player for the next three years (and he is still a guy who can hit, I think), I think it's probably a C-level deal for the Brewers. Maybe the franchise can't afford C-level deals, but the reality is you're going to have them.
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