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KeithStone53151

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Everything posted by KeithStone53151

  1. KeithStone53151
    The only place I see the Brewers adding significant WAR is SP at this point. It doesn't make sense to add a decent player at any positional spot as we're pretty solid everywhere. I also can't see us going for high end relief. We could add a low-end SP or high-end SP...but that's the spot. I could also see us adding some version of a bench player that makes the roster function better and/or a cheap reliever. I'm not really sure what would make the bench function better, but those are the only things I see us doing. I'll add, I would be surprised if we DIDN'T add another SP. Depth is still an issue, also it would be really nice to feel like we had an even moderately formidable postseason rotation...and going Peralta, Civale, Rea, Myers just ain't it
  2. KeithStone53151
    Seems y'all are ahead of me on this, but hard not to love this trade. Literally everything about this guy's advanced metrics, batted ball profile, and overall stuff SCREAMS correction. He is not a 5.6 ERA pitcher. Couple all that with the Rockies being notoriously bad at pitcher development, moving to a team that's really good with relievers. Means might be closing games in a month.
  3. KeithStone53151
    Whether he is or isnt, we have 4 guys on the roster that can definitely do it a lot better than him. Yelich had been DHing a lot, If the Brewers feel the need to get his hot bat in the lineup, DH and occasional catcher starts make way more sense.
  4. KeithStone53151
    Has there been any update on Woodruff since March? I've seen nothing personally, aside from him being ruled out for 2024. I would think one of the writers would at least ask about rehab and/or if there's any chance for him to be Sept/Oct help. I'm sure he's probably not coming back this season, but it doesn't hurt to ask.
  5. KeithStone53151
    Yelich has gotten more than 1/3 of his at bats at DH this year, including more than half the games in July and all of the last 5 games. How dare we talk about this in the offseason though. MA clearly made the unequivocally firm decision in February that when Yeli is playing, he'll be in LF.
  6. KeithStone53151
    Is being happy you hit a hr reserved for Judge and Ohtani? Everyone else can get mocked by former-Cardinal Edmonds?
  7. KeithStone53151
    He showed emotion... fastball to the head incoming
  8. KeithStone53151
    Honestly, good. They are perfectly set up to be that NBA team that's stuck as a consistent fringe 8 seed...and that is the absolute last place a franchise should want to be. Their core is mediocre and they have a chunk of prospects that could be 40 man casualties that I assume won't get a look if the Cubs go for that last wildcard spot. Going for it, for the Cubs, also definitely means buying at the deadline and further depleting their prospects. There's a world where the Cubs management can deal from the offseason 40 man casualties for upgrades now, but every team values those 40 man spots as well so that will be way easier said than done. The only big concern with them going for it, is CC can be pretty good with a bullpen and has gone on good runs in September. So it's possible a buy actually works, and then any team can get hot in October(unlike NBA where 8 seeds get consistently run over by 1 seeds).
  9. KeithStone53151
    Got any more hopes you'd like to share with the group??? Small sample, but this is a great one for one...
  10. KeithStone53151
    I was really impressed that Murphy sent Myers back out. Would have been really easy to see the game getting out of hand in our favor and go to relief early. I'm sure it helped Myers confidence to go back out and dominate another inning, and one less inning by the bullpen could be relevant tomorrow or Friday.
  11. KeithStone53151
    Right. With what he's done this year, hard to imagine a team not at minimum giving him a shot in AAA again next year. But if he continues his prior trajectory of mashing AAA and getting mashed in MLB...my speculation is teams will elect to give someone else a shot after 2-3 more years of it.
  12. KeithStone53151
    Right, I'm not trying to say Hiura is a lock. But he does have the tools and is young enough to still figure it out. There are only 60 jobs for AAA 1b/DH and many are tied up by organizational depth/true prospects. While the cost is low, there is still a dollar cost and opportunity cost for atbats that could be given to a different player. I would think Hiura has 2-3 years of AAA work available to him to get over the hump before teams stop giving him a chance(and his tools start to degrade due to age).
  13. KeithStone53151
    You're painting with broad brush strokes here. I understand why, trying to get a bigger sample of comparable players statistically. But the only thing similar about any of these players is their production. Also, consider that Hiura has to make it as an undersized RH hitting 1b/DH, so comparable players statistically have low odds of producing at league average...and Hiura really has to produce a fair amount higher to be a viable big leaguer. With all that working against him, Hiura not only got a job...but forced his way up to MLB. Plenty of players smack AAA but don't get called to MLB because the analysis shows it's unlikely they'll hit MLB pitchers despite hitting AAA pitchers. Looking at the broad brush stroke statistics, the odds are certainly stacked against him. But there's a reason he keeps getting chances. Other teams see the same tools and ability that don't exist in a significant majority of the players you've listed above.
  14. KeithStone53151
    I feel like we'd be buying high on Fedde if we grab him. I recently was compared him and Civale, and found them to be quite similar. The big difference, is Fedde went overseas for a year and is posting better numbers while Civale went to the Rays and was seemingly broken. I'm just not sure I believe in those better numbers just yet. I think he's more likely to regress to the pitcher he was than maintain his current production...but we'd probably need to pay in prospect value for the pitcher he is now, and I hope we don't do that. I also generally would rather aim higher, there are a fair amount of arms out there better than Fedde even if this truly is who he is going forward. The Cubs are truly set up for long-term mediocrity right now. I have no idea if they'll tear it down and do a proper rebuild, or if they'll try the bandaid fix again and buy a bunch of guys in free agency(knowing the Cubs, probably the wrong ones). One of those paths would lead to Steele becoming available...though I don't think the Cubs would truly negotiate with us for anybody with team control beyond this year.
  15. KeithStone53151
    It would be a lot easier to keep all 3 if we didn't have a log jam of outfielders as well. It will certainly be an interesting decision in a week or two. The Cubs also are a team that needs catcher help, and with the familiarity with Counsell they could be in the mix for Haase.
  16. KeithStone53151
    The Brewers answer to the fans, not Yelich/Contreras/Hoskins. If anyone "deserves" investment from the team...it's the fans...not the players, who are simply employees.
  17. KeithStone53151
    Good post. The Brewers, with Civale, might be good enough to hold off the Cardinals or at least get into the playoffs. Winning in the playoffs is a different story. Running out Rea or Myers against the Dodgers/Phillies/Braves in that atmosphere is asking for trouble. You also need to plan for the contingency of Peralta/Civale potentially getting pulled early and needing bullpen coverage, you really can't be punting games in the playoffs...so an early hook to try and stay in the game might be necessary. Agree with those targets as well and omitting Crochet. Someone is going to pay through the nose for Crochet, and I don't want to be that team regardless of how good he is. The price on these other guys should be much lower.
  18. KeithStone53151
    Not a huge fan of this whole Cardinals climbing the standings thing...if they add a SP and goldschmidt gets going, we might have some competition for the division.
  19. KeithStone53151
    Agreed. It certainly is difficult to give rope to a 1b/DH. If he was Turang as a defender, with his potential with the bat Hiura without question would get a ton more rope.
  20. KeithStone53151
    I watched his atbats yesterday, first at bat...Jon Gray threw him 3 high fastballs to get 2 strikes and then a curveball in the dirt to strike him out. Small sample, but it seems that simple. Gray throws 92-94 and his fastball looked pretty straight to me. It's about as bland as you're going to get at this level...and Hiura still couldn't handle it at the belt.
  21. KeithStone53151
    If Hiura can close one hole in his swing, he could quite easily be a 270/280 hitter with a sub 25% k rate. It's really that simple. He has every other tool he needs to be a really good hitter, that hole negates all his other tools because it's so easily exploitable. Your analysis is basically looking at the stat line and burying your head in the sand to all other factors. I mean, actually, do you want to join a fantasy baseball league? We could make room for a guy like you. What's the maximum you're willing to play for?
  22. KeithStone53151
    I've said I don't disagree with your conclusion. Your analysis seems based solely on looking at box scores, that's the only way you can get to a Chris Carter comparison. Saying the hitting tools that he still possesses, that were identified by scouts years ago, are irrelevant...is laughable.
  23. KeithStone53151
    Fair enough, the part I didn't like is comparing him to Carter. Carter probably never got higher than a 40 grade for hitting. Carter brute forced the ball over the fence. Hiura's power comes from elite bat speed due in part to excellent swing mechanics. Hiura has the tools to be a very good hitter for average, Odds are probably against him having actually closed that gap in his swing as he had a lot of time to figure it out, So we may never really know what his true potential is.
  24. KeithStone53151
    I think you're looking too closely at results and missing the bigger picture. Hiura and Carter are significantly different players. They both hit home runs, but literally nobody ever thought Carter could ever hit for average. Hiura was considered a pure hitter when drafted and developed power in the minors. His primary problem is a significant hole in his swing that's exploited by a very easy pitch to throw. I truly hope he can close that hole, because doing so could transform him from an unclaimed player on waivers into a star. He has all the tools to hit for a high average, whereas Carter had none of them.
  25. KeithStone53151
    For Hiura, I truly think he can be an all-star if he closes exactly one gap in his game. Learn to hit the belt high fastball. It honestly seems crazy that it was a hole in his swing for so long and he couldn't close it. He can hit everything low in the zone, he lays off the slider enough that it isn't a problem like Adames. The problem with not being able to hit belt high fastball is that it's such an easy hole in the swing to exploit, and it's a strike that he can't hit. Literally every pitcher can throw a high fastball. Many pitchers can throw a good slider away, but sometimes Adames does lay off it and it's not a strike so they can't just throw it 80% of the time like pitchers can do with the belt-shoulder high fastball to Hiura. I really thought he was going to get some serious revenge on CC this weekend, he did well but I was hoping for a 3 dinger weekend.
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