With all due respect I could not care less what the Vegas line is. That should have zero determination as to whether or not UCF should get a chance? Do I think they could beat any of the top 4? I think they COULD beat Notre Dame and I think they COULD beat Oklahoma. But why should we have to sit here are argue whether or not think team A could beat team B when Team A could just play team B and then we’d know. right, like I said I know the whole point is give everyone a chance so it doesn't change anything from your perspective. Just showing that the committee isn't stupid to not think they deserve to be top 4 (or that they're on a different tier, like the MAC or FCS is as well). The issue they're dealing with is when to stop. In their eyes (and supported by the best experts in Vegas) is that this team has no chance to win it all. Again, I think ND is overrated so that would be their chance to make noise, so not arguing that as that is a whole different discussion the BS favoritism that ND gets. The issue then becomes, well if we have to let UCF in because everyone needs an opportunity even though we think they have no chance, well then why not the MAC champ, or if ND St goes undefeated, if UCF gets in why shouldn't OSU/Mich who everyone with a brain would guess is better, well heck might as well get a 64 team tourney going, etc. That's the issue, where do you cut it off. And due to this issue yes I think the major conferences should just seperate themselves from the rest eventually. And not caring what Vegas says, of course they shouldn't have a say. I'm using to show how unlikely it is for them to win. There's probably been 1-5 28 pt favorites (in non major conf vs majors games) to win a game in the last 15-20 years. One I remember was Oregon St vs USC near the tail end of USC's big run, so 2009ish but that was both major conferences? Oh, I assume App St vs Mich was above 28. Extrapolate that down to the lower spreads and it just shows their likelihood of winning, that's it. As in, the chances of a 28 pt dog winning is something like 2% so maybe we should put in a normal team that at least has a normal-ish chance of competing.