The line about .500 until June is a good one to me. There's really not that many teams in the NL really with a shot in LAD, WAS, CHC, STL, MKE, AZ, Mets. Then your maybes like ATL and Col. so really 7-9 teams going for 5 spots. If you stay above .500 by then, you'll then get back Nelson and maybe get Burnes up. Knebel back, etc. Then other teams will fall off and you're right there at the end. We have a strong farm to make a move if it presents itself. The key to me is the offense, they added two great bats (granted one has been out) but the results have been the same. They have to be noticeably better than last year to make up for a regression from the starters which seems inevitable. BP looks great though, what a pleasant surprise. And think our whole pen probably costs less than Holland.