MrTPlush

Chicago, the city, probably not the worst to live in. Definitely one of the worst places to live. Just terrible, nothing would make me live there.

I’d guess Wisconsin, Minnesota, and PSU would be the order of Rose Bowl teams. I just don’t see how Minnesota ends their regular season on a loss to Wisconsin (at home) and then gets the nod over Wisconsin when Wisconsin also won the West. Having this game be the last one in the regular season makes it pretty cut and dry between those two teams. Minnesota would actually have losses to both the other two loss teams AT HOME. No chance they get picked.

Wasn’t the original plan was to have Hosmer as a veteran guy during a rebuild...as some type of leader. Thus the money wasn’t really a big deal to them.

Okay I am not really a Black Friday person, but my apple watch broke a few months ago and Walmart was running a deal for a 42mm one for $160. Cheap enough where I was willing to get a new one. The deal started at 9pm on Wednesday and they sold out in a few minutes (I got one). Today they canceled my order and checking twitter I wasn't the only one and to be honest I am not sure anyone actually got it...appeared to be a total bait and switch. Some even claimed when they sold out they reappeared on the site for the standard price back in stock. Probably going to avoid Walmart in the future. I didn't really like them before and they are the second big box store to tick me off the last month.

I'm going to have one minor quibble with that stat, in that it doesn't appear to take into account leverage at all. Villar went from first to third a lot last year, I'm assuming somewhat because the Orioles were down 7 to 1 at the time and the opposing team didn't care if he took an extra base, they just wanted to keep the double play in order and keep the trail runner from getting into scoring position. That doesn't turn Villar into a great base runner. He's just an aggressive runner on a really bad team. Just like those guys on bad teams in the NBA that score 20 a night. That doesn't make them great players either, someone has to shoot the ball. I give him credit for hustling, but let's not pretend those skills will translate when/if he starts playing in tight ballgames where the teams actually care. That's why we saw him get thrown out so many times when in meaninful Brewer games. I don't believe he's changed at all, it's just the circumstances around him have. I'm not saying occasionally this wouldn't be true, but over the long run of 162 games that kind of stuff just doesn't add up. Villar was not the best baserunner in baseball cause he just ran around doing whatever he pleased cause he team was bad. The only time I ever see what you are referring to consistently would be on stolen bases. In situations where a game isn't close and the defense basically just lets them take the base (but it still counts as a SB...this isn't always the case). I would imagine Villar saw a lot of these hypothetically. He was 22/26 in wins and 18/23 in losses. He was actually better in wins as far as SBs went. The other situation would be going 1st to 3rd where the defense doesn't care late in a game. There won't be a stat to show that, but I really doubt he did that consistently to suddenly make him the best baserunner in baseball.

The FG call I thought was kind of weird. If there was 30 seconds left it makes plenty of sense, but they had 2 minutes left and all 3 timeouts. Had plenty of opportunity to still get a TD and maybe make it a 3 point game. It just didn't seem like the right call for what thay were going for. Especially with 2 minutes coming off a stopped clock. Maybe they score and then the final drive they can maybe play for the tie or win. I was surprised they didn’t take some quick shots to maybe get the TD out of the way. I get wanting an avenue that doesn’t involve another successful onside kick though. I would guess the logic is to get the ball back after a failed onside kick you will have to make it such a long field goal try for the saints they will just want to punt the ball on you. Thus you will get stuck on your own 10 yard line and need 90 yards to go the distance. By kicking the field goal early you assure yourself over a minute if you can stop the Saints. It’s probably the best plan in that situation when the onside kick success rate is nearly zero.

The Falcons managed to successfully recover an onside kick three times in a row late in the 4th quarter. The first erased by an offsides that seemed like a bad call, recovered the redo, and then after opting for a field goal (so they could still have a chance for the ball had they not gotten an onside kick) got the onside kick after that. After all that insanity the Falcons suddenly had the ball, down by 8, nearly 2 minutes to go, and all three timeouts. Had a chance at a crazy comeback, but the offensive line pooped the bed. Kinda wish such an improbable comeback opportunity got a more interesting finish.

Not that Rendon wasn’t good before, but he just had a killer career year and is going on 30. You don’t take a short term deal at that age when you can lock in the mega deal. A 2-3 year deal would be a dream theory if he was hitting FA at some crazy young age like 26-27. It just doesn’t make a ton of sense for him.

Why are we still talking about Hiura’s elbow years later? Did I miss something?

I almost bought the new Rav4. It is cheaply built, pathetically outdated for a new remodel, lame features without spending luxury car prices, and has had numerous problems already. To be honest it seems likes Toyota knew the fanboys/fangirls would gobble it up and so they cut corners like crazy. In defense of real Toyota fanboys, we prefer to buy them off lease when they’ve depreciated by 40% after 2 years. I couldn’t care less about features - only value. I think you are a financially savvy fanboy. I was in a group on Facebook for the new RAV4 when it got announced. It was filled with people dying so bad to get it many would travel hours to pay near MSRP for it even months after it came out. Some were/are still waiting for theirs and 2020s are hitting. Not sure value is the goal for many...at least not with the original purchase price. To me most Toyota lifers are in it for the dependability and it’s perceived ability to drive till it falls apart. I appreciate your vehicle buying strategy though. I am not a brand new car buyer. I will wait for the rental fleet cars a year later if I really want a new model badly. My last one was a California rental vehicle and I got it less than 10 months after it rolled of the production line. It may have some imperfections etc., but those are inevitable in no time anyway. My vehicles also do light off-roading so pristine condition is not a long term thing I worry about anyway.

Jonathan Villar was easily the best base runner in baseball last year according to fangraphs. BsR is a pretty in depth look at baserunning value that takes in about every aspect of baserunning you could think of...for instance getting an extra base a typical runner would not. Cue BrewerFan Implosion https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2019&month=0&season1=2019&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2019-01-01&enddate=2019-12-31&sort=18,d

Ummm...so he gets penalized for being dependable and playing every day? Imagine we had him last year...what happens if Villar couldn’t play, who plays? Arcia, Saladin, other terrible player? Those guys would find a way to put up negative WAR in sporadic playing time. There is value in playing everyday and not having AAAA getting ABs. Your defense comment is interesting because A) I bet you didn’t watch even 5% of Villar’s field time last year (maybe 0%?) and B) He had his worst bWAR defensive season of his career and his fWAR wasn’t all that generous either. If you made it closer to his career average it probably doesn’t take a lot off his overall WAR, probably 3.5ish instead? His fluke defensive season per fWAR was 2018.

Real strange to find a 2.5 year old thread to ask a question like this. I’d put it at more like 75% chance he is either kept or traded. I can’t imagine a team won’t take a shot on him or get him for a utility role.

I think you would love the offense...you would not like them playing those positions in the field. Does Urias have the arm for 3B? It’s all moot anyway. The Brewers ran Villar out of town...regardless of the perceived need/fit some may see I doubt they would consider bringing him back into fold.

That’s not as expensive as I would have expected. I’d dine before a game at that price...maybe not a random day of the year though. $8 cocktails? I’m done for that...one could dream those prices could leave the restaurant.

I agree that Villar most likely is not coming here but Urias shouldn't have anything to do with it. Villar fits as either a regular 3B insurance if Shaw doesn't rebound, or if he does, as a super sub all around at 3rd, 2nd, and SS. There's plenty of reps in that role. Villar fits no matter what happens with Urias. For all we know, they don't think Hiura's glove will ever be good enough and plan to shop him high now this offseason. Except Villar can’t play 3B. His fielding percentage was .881 at 3B the last tome he got an extended look there (2017). If he played the same amount of innings at 3B as he did last year in the field that equates to 48 errors in a full season. That is worse than Braun at 3B. He is a middle infielder that with good offensive production is livable in the field. I’m not sure I would want to give him the somewhat sporadic playing time as I’m not sure he would really do well in such a role. Maybe he would...who knows. He could be a 26th man, but certainly not a true utility player.

I’m sure they are talking to him. Where his price ends up is a mystery.

Massive pass. They can’t just trade Hiura away like that. Him being an elite bat is essential to our success. Gotta risk whether he can play the field or not.

Today is the last day of Friday’s. I see the new restaurant is going to be ran by Delaware North...lol. Considering how the normal concessions are I wouldn’t waste my time going there once.

Someone did...but okay.

Villar is not coming here and it doesn’t really make sense after getting Urias.

Front offices don’t operate that way, they just don’t. Arcia is a good example why. Everyone thought he would be our SS for 6 years and the only reason he lasted this long is because we simply had nothing to turn to. This trade doesn’t effect their view on Turang at all. You can’t assume Urias is going to become an above average player or assume Turang will/won’t. There is no rush to trade Turang, he isn’t even close to being blocked. We don’t even know Hiura can stick at 2B and be competent. Who says Turang can’t be a 3B? This reminds me of when we draft someone and everyone starts penciling them in to replace a player. Example Ray replacing Braun. You guys are banking on way too much way too early...operate a team like that and your team will lose 110 games with a bunch of failed prospects.

He better not laugh when he is struggling.

Brewers aren't even going to pay these guys the league minimum next year. lol

They did use the bullpen often, however. A deeper bullpen gave CC a whole lot of flexibility in managing a game in Sept., especially with pulling the SP earlier in games Wasn't any deeper than using the options game all season. Pomeranz was the difference in the bullpen down the stretch, not expanded roster. *Brent Suter has entered the chat*