SomewhereInTime
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Everything posted by SomewhereInTime
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Villar should not be an everyday player and should be no where near the top of the lineup. To put in perspective how terrible his start to the season has been, he has been incredibly lucky, .397 BABIP with a groundball rate of 69.5%, yet his OPS is .654. 30.7% K rate, he doesn't walk anymore. I would play Sogard every day (who has been more unlucky than bad) before I would give Villar another start. 2016 Johnathon Villar is long gone and never coming back.
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We are currently on pace to score 611 runs this season. This would be the lowest run total in franchise history since 1976 (not including strike shortened seasons) On an interesting side note, was surprised to learn that although we finished 20th last year in runs scored, the Brewers did score more runs than they did in 2011.
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Why are we handing out 5 year, $80 million contracts to free agents if we aren't planning on contending? That's a great question, especially for an outfielder when there's much bigger needs on the team. I wish they would have either addressed actual needs with the money or banked it until 2020 when I really see the window wide open.
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Is that last comment specific to the Brewers, or to the product MLB is putting on the field these days? http://www.espn.com/blog/buster-olney/insider/post/_/id/18486/olney-have-big-swings-big-flies-and-big-whiffs-broken-baseball Perhaps both, but I was specifically (and emotionally) talking about the Brewers with my research and criticism. If someone told you that you were obligated to spend 3 hours watching a game, that your team would score 2 runs without the aid of a homer, and they would fail to score at all in more than 75 percent of the innings, would you do it? And, would you do it at the stadium, with all the expense and (perhaps) inconvenience of getting there and back? I'm a 20-game seat holder, and I'm leaning heavily toward giving them up after this year. This is supposed to be a contending team, and even with their winning record, it is a dreadful watch. Who says it's supposed to be a contending team? The only thing I'm surprised about is the bullpen and that's the only reason they have a winning record (that and Counsell/Stearns plan to limit the rotation as much as possible and use as many bullpen innings as you can). This offense hasn't cracked the top 20 in runs scored since 2014, adding Cain and Yelich doesn't move the needle enough to change that. The rotation is bad, but with the organizational strategy to limit their innings, and a bullpen that's been out of this world good, they've won some games. I doubt at the end of the year though, you're going to have four 70+ inning relievers with ERAs below 2.
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Counsell doesn't get to decide who is on his 25 man roster. If it were up to me, Nottingham, Orf, and Wren would all be on a plane to Milwaukee tomorrow. But instead he has to put a lineup out there with Arcia, Perez, Sogard, Villar, Phillips, Bandy, Pina all on the roster, can't sit them all. -
I think it's far more likely that he had a nice circumstantial run of 150 or so ABs than just somehow went from a mediocre career journeyman to a good player in his 30s. You can't chalk his slow start up to small sample while using small samples of good hitting from last year to defend him. There's a difference between 300 PAs and like 60 he's had this year. A little bit more luck on just a few linedrives or deep flyballs hes hit and his numbers look a lot different, that's all I'm saying. I don't think its a bad idea to give him a few starts in a row to try to get out of the slump when every other middle infielder has been as bad as they have been. Soon enough I think they'll call up Dubon anyway.
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Chase has been getting absolutely killed by the homerun ball this year
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"Actually we're talking about 1,500 major league ABs as a roughly replacement level player." 299 PAs last year after missing an entire year, he was a completely different hitter.
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I only threw it right back at him when he responded that my comment should be in blue. These numbers are not hard to look up, I think Sogard has shown a good approach at the plate, but has been extremely unlucky. I think a common mistake from people is to overlook the amount of luck at the major league level when the talent level is as even as it is across the league.
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At some point actual results matter too. We're only talking about 50 or so ABs
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You forgot to put this in blue. I take it the only number you understand is batting average? You probably think Johnathon Villar is off to a pretty good start this year don't you?
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Sogard has a BABIP of .143 with a 26% LD rate Hard Contact 32.6% Arcia by comparison has a BABIP of .277 13% LD rate Hard Contact 30.7% Villar .397 BABIP 20.3% and 29.7% Perez .213 16.3% and 24% Sogard is easily the best hitter of the four and has a much better K/BB ratio than any of the other three. He absolutely has been unlucky and deserves a chance to get his standard numbers up. If anyone's actually watched the last two games, he's lined out to an outfielder twice, hit a flyout to the wall, hit into a DP and walked three times. If I'm Counsell, I play him every day at either 2B or SS.
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But seriously, I hope we've fixed whatever was wrong with Miley the last 4 or 5 years and he has a career revival here in Milwaukee. He did have a good spring before getting hurt.
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Hopefully he's a completely different pitcher than he was last year when he was one of the worst starters in baseball. Pitchers that leave the Orioles organization tend to suck a lot less. Hopefully this is another case of that. Like Oliver Drake!
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Hopefully he's a completely different pitcher than he was last year when he was one of the worst starters in baseball.
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Jacob Barnes is still on the roster... We have a bullpen with six pitchers having dominant starts to the season, this is literally a team with a bad lineup and mediocre rotation that's 18-13 because of the great bullpen work. Yet people complain about relievers.
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Average middle reliever dfa'd in favor of terrible starting pitcher. When's the parade?
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Magic number to clinch the division down to 138! Magic number to clinch a free George Webb's burger down to 4!
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They may never lose again! Your first place Milwaukee Brewers! Magic number 139
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I just don't understand all of the Sogard hate. He was a .393 obp guy with good defense in 299 PA last year. That's a 1.9 bWAR player in half a full seasons worth of PAs. And I'm not trying to single out you, it seems to be a lot of people around here. I'm willing to give him some more time. What I am concerned with is Santana, after a terrible spring, he has one XBH on the season and doesn't seem to be a regular starter now that we're back at full strength. Is this how it's gonna be for him? Basically a bench bat for the season?
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I wish we could play the Marlins everyday! This offense is fun again!
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That's a great bet. You should put money on any baseball game where you can get odds that good. Just placed it live while Aguilar was batting, that's not what it was to start the game. That makes more sense.
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That's a great bet. You should put money on any baseball game where you can get odds that good.
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Well that's not too bad, got him out after 5.1. Sometimes a million strikeouts can work the pitch count up!
