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Greenleaf1

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Everything posted by Greenleaf1

  1. I enjoyed Haudricourt's article the other day where he interviewed Melvin and he said the Brewers tried to get Hader from the Orioles for K-Rod. Clearly the Brewers org liked Hader.
  2. The BABIP is obviously unsustainable but his hard hit rates were very high last year and they continue to be very high this year, just a little lower than last year. Aguilar looks legit up there, and finding a guy who can put together great pinch hit ABs is harder than it seems like it should be.
  3. Sorry, Ji-Man, the platoon of Thames/Aguilar is here to stay.
  4. The Marlins want us to win. It's the only explanation.
  5. Side note: Miley got blown up today at AA. 3 IP, gave up 3 homers, 4 ER. Good thing they already committed to saying he was going to have one more rehab start before they made a decision.
  6. Cain was so fast there he hurt himself on the slide. But man did he look speedy there.
  7. Haha I saw Bour rounding second and I was like "what the hell is going on?".....wow.....the Marlins SUUUUCK.
  8. First time I've seen Hader use the slider as his "get me over" pitch when he needs a strike. Great to see that he's showing confidence in his ability to throw it for strikes.
  9. Glad we have a day off tomorrow, but still might be seeing Aguilar on Tuesday. Thames looks a little hobbled.
  10. Would never have thought I'd ever suggest that the Brewers deal from pitching depth to get offense, but that might be the spot we're in come the trade deadline.
  11. If there's one thing I remember about the 2011 season, it was that the Brewers beat the teams they were supposed to beat, and that carried them throughout the season. You just have to get to the playoffs, then hope you get hot at the right time. Baseball is just a game of poker, you have to give yourself the best odds to win and then hope you get lucky. Unless you're the Astros or the Red Sox this year, I don't think any team is going to have a sparkling record against tough opponents. Beating up on lesser teams is a legitimate way to playoff contention.
  12. With Nelson out, and Guerra coming off an abysmal season, and a surprisingly decent team overperforming last year, they were sitting on a rotation that at best had 2 sure starters and a bunch of giant question marks. If Guerra came out and was as bad as last year, Suter performed like he is performing, and Woodruff doesn't take a step forward, you're looking at one of the worst rotations in baseball. Chacin helped lock it down and guarantee some innings, and so far that's what he would be doing if our bullpen wasn't as good as it is, which has allowed Counsell to give his starters the early hook. The early success of the bullpen has not left a lot of open spots for the new guys, especially with Knebel and Logan coming back soon. If there aren't any injuries on the pitching staff, we're going to have some major congestion there. Luckily, there's not really a rush to give guys like Peralta/Burnes this year and they can easily wait until after the trade deadline. I wonder if Woodruff ends up being shopped at the trade deadline in order to clear space for Burnes/Peralta. Maybe we find a way to move Chacin to the bullpen to clear space? Or maybe injuries take care of all of this for us.
  13. Kinda seeming more likely that we trade Aguilar for some pitching at the deadline over Santana.
  14. Great, now instead of getting to start the next inning with a pinch hitter, we get Bandy.
  15. Villar has looked pretty awful the last couple nights. I'm still hoping someone out of Villar/Sogard/Perez can turn it around, but how long before Stearns decides to see what Blanco or Dubon can do?
  16. Suter's got like one more start in him maximum before Miley gets his chance. Miley probably gets at least 2 starts unless the first is god awful before they'd consider replacing him with Woodruff. So basically, if we don't see Woodruff in the majors by the end of May, it's probably a good sign that Miley is doing well.
  17. It's still early going but I don't think this stat is a coincidence.
  18. Wow did Urena dodge a huge inning there. Thought for sure Yelich's golf shot was a double and Braun just barely missed a homer. Shaw sent one for a ride too, really just millimeters away from 3 straight homers and an 8-5 lead.
  19. I am a Suter fan and definitely wanted him in the rotation this year, but as much as I like him, I just have a hard time seeing him as any sort of long term starter with the organization or even bullpen arm. There are just too many promising arms in our system that are going to fill up the rotation and the bullpen, Suter would have to be very effective and basically force us to keep him which he's really not doing (he looked particularly hittable tonight, all his pitches seemed like they were ending up with too much of the plate and up). Suter was probably always destined for a short stay in the rotation this year, and with Miley/Nelson/Woodruff/Burnes/Peralta all likely to get shots in the rotation at some point this year, he's going to fall way down the depth chart once he gets taken out of the rotation, and the bullpen is looking pretty full right now. I'd say his best chance at any sort of role with the Brewers is as the 8th man in the bullpen or a spot starter that spends most of his time at AAA and as long as he has options he can be kept as depth or until we really need his 40-man roster spot.
  20. They want Miley to make one more rehab start after his 2nd one tomorrow, then I'm guessing he'll take Suter's spot in the rotation on Wednesday May 2nd. Suter lines up against the Cubs next Friday though, so I wonder if Miley has a good start tomorrow if they accelerate that time table and bring him up then. With Knebel/Logan on the mend faster than expected, they'll likely push Williams/Drake out of the pen and there won't be another spot for Suter (unless they want to carry 8 again I guess), so he maybe they'll keep him stretched out at AAA but if it doesn't work out with Miley, I'd assume they just bring Woodruff back up over Suter (or by then maybe they go with Burnes or Peralta). Too bad because I like Suter and think he'd make a decent bullpen arm but I think there's going to be too much talent pushing him off the big league team before long.
  21. Eric Thames is sitting on a .194 BABIP (he had a .309 last year) while still managing a .245/.333/.679 line and 164 wRC+. On the other hand, his HR/FB% is an unsustainable 38.9% (24.6% last year). He has a soft contact % of only 10.5%, so he's been hitting the ball hard (as evidenced by the home runs) but his hard hit balls that stayed in the park haven't resulted in many hits. So if his luck evened out, he probably would have a few less homers but would also probably have an OPS even higher than his already elite 1.012. Aguilar has the better line with .414/.485/.552 (190 wRC+), but those video game numbers are propped up by an equally video gamey .480 BABIP (compared to .337 last year). His walk percentage (9.1%) is almost as high as his strikeout percentage (12.1%) which is pretty impressive, so he's putting a ton of balls in play and right now they're all dropping in for hits. Brewers are tied with the Braves for most WAR at 1B so far this year (0.9).
  22. We've got a lot of quality lefties in the Majors or on the DL right now, all of whom will be back next year. Not sure QTC is a sure thing. I agree that Gatewood is very borderline right now though, and a roster spot is likely going to be determined if he has a great year this year or not.
  23. I left all the players off my list that had already been Rule 5 eligible in the past, because at this point none of them have shown enough this year to indicate that they'd be any more likely to be selected at the end of this year when they weren't last year. The one exception could potentially be Tyrone Taylor now that he's made it up to AAA and seems to be doing well enough. It's a crowded outfield and I'm not sure what it would take for him to really get a shot, so I'm inclined to say protecting him on the 40-man doesn't seem like the best use of resources, but maybe if the congestion is cleared up with some midseason trades, he might prove worth protecting after this season. I think anybody below AA at the end of the year probably doesn't get protected. They didn't protect Miguel Diaz even though he ended up being so coveted that he went with the very first pick of the draft and we lost him. With so many interesting prospects in the upper minors, I wonder if this will be the first year where we just have to start getting used to losing some talent in the Rule 5 Draft.
  24. In the Major League part of the draft, a team must keep the player on the Major League roster all year, or if the player is injured and spends time on the DL, they have to spend at least 90 days on the active roster (which, if they're on the DL for long enough, could extend into the next year). Plenty of non-competing teams will draft prospects, stash them on their active rosters for 90 days, then find a way to call them injured and send them down for the rest of the year on long "rehab" assignments (we did it with Wei-Chung Wang, I think the Padres did something similar with Miguel Diaz). The minor league portion is more lax on both ends. There are minor league rosters that players must be placed on to be protected, and you can protect players at the AAA/AA level and so on down. So basically only prospects you've barely heard of are unprotected in the minor league portions of the draft with very few exceptions, and it's not really worth worrying that much about, since we won't lose anybody in that part of the draft that is really worth caring much about. I'd say once a rule 5 draft pick makes it through spring and actually gets on a team's active roster, the chances of that player being returned to the original team go down substantially. Although we have had players like Colin Walsh make the team only to fail pretty miserably and be sent back later. Long story short, it's possible that a player like Gatewood might not get drafted, but top 30 prospects would probably get drafted more often than not in the Rule 5 Draft.
  25. I can't believe I even have to ask this but Davies will hit for himself and come back out for the 7th right?
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