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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. I was thinking the same thing, while it seems risky to make the QO with a 19 million dollar salary. There's almost zero chance he would accept because he's bound to get a larger guarantee from another club as a free agent.
  2. Have you looked at the Reds bullpen? The two pitchers with the most innings out the pen were both let go this week: Heath Hembree (42 innings, 8 saves) went to NYM on a waiver claim on 8/20. Sean Doolittle (38.1 innings) DFA'd on 8/24. The remaining parts aren't any better. Amir Garrett (35.1 innings, 5.49 FIP and 1.72 WHIP) Tejay Antone (33.2 innings back to the DL with a shoulder injury) Tony Santillan (26.1 innings, 5.10 FIP and 1.67 WHIP) Justin Wilson (8 innings, 4.67 FIP) Lucas Sims, Michael Lorenzen, Mychal Givens and Luis Cessa are serviceable but not much more than that. The Brewers in this series have scored 7 runs in 4 innings against the Reds bullpen. Cincinnati may win slugfests with teams but they aren't going to win too many regardless of opponent where they have to rely on their bullpen.
  3. Interesting question, certainly amongst the best pitchers in baseball for several years, but not what I'd call an All-Time Great He is/was all All Time Great Brewer Killer though... 2009 5 GS against Milwaukee 36 innings pitched 5 ER and 39 strike outs 2010 3 GS against Milwaukee 25 innings pitched 4 ER and 24 strike outs 2012 3 GS against Milwaukee 21.2 innings pitched 5 ER and 22 strikeouts 2013 2 GS against Milwaukee 14.1 innings pitched 5 ER and 17 strikeouts 2014 4 GS against Milwaukee 31.1 innings pitched 10 ER and 19 strikeouts 2016 3 GS against Milwaukee 22 innings pitched 2 ER and 19 strikeouts Seven complete games against the Brewers, 3 shut outs, 2.49 career ERA against Milwaukee, a 1.07 WHIP, 8K/9 and 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio.
  4. It’s kind of funny, the Cardinals have been such a good franchise over the years that even in a season where they probably will win 85 games it will be considered a down year. That’s next level expectations for you. May 29th they were 30 - 22 and 1/2 game up in first place. They proceeded to go 6-18 over their next 24 games after Flaherty went down and pretty much wreck their season as the Brewers and Reds turned things around. As others have said in other threads, the Redbirds fans don't accept tanking/rebuilds, so they were pretty much stuck between a rock and a hard place between selling off some older vet pieces in a lost season and "going for it" when that wasn't really a prime option..... so here they are, 13 games back. They've got Yadi back in his age 40 season at 10 mil next year though, so they'll be fine. I agree they’ve made some acquisitions and extensions that haven’t worked out: Fowler. Andrew Miller, Goldschmidt, Mikolas, Matt Carpenter. But like I said, they probably win 85 games despite their #1 (Flaherty), #2 (Mikolas) starters missing almost the entire year, and it will be a forgotten season. That’s wild because 60% of the teams won’t get to 81 wins
  5. It’s kind of funny, the Cardinals have been such a good franchise over the years that even in a season where they probably will win 85 games it will be considered a down year. That’s next level expectations for you.
  6. There is no need to trade Hiura, he has an option remaining and has zero value in a trade right now. More importantly, there is no logical explanation for penciling Hiura in as a potential DH in 2022. He was the 2nd worst hitter in the NL this year, and is two calendar years and 400 at bats removed from having any sort of success in the major leagues. Since he has an option reamining, he belongs in the minor leagues, and I'm sure the front office will make him earn his way back onto the 26 man roster as opposed to counting on him again to fill a specific role in 2022.
  7. Interesting point. Sometimes these things have a tendency to fly under the radar, believe it or not, Votto has been to the post season four times ('10,'12',13 and '20) since he broke into the major leagues in 2007 with six years between playoff appearances. Ryan Braun was in the post season five times ('08,'11, '18, '19, '20) and also went six years between playoff appearances. Maybe because the losses piled up more in the lean years in Cincinnati, but certainly over the last 15 or so years the Reds and Brewers have had just about the same number of competitive teams. I think when sports writers decide on who is in the Hall of Fame there is a significant bias against small town players, as opposed to penalizing a player for being on a bad team.
  8. Why would the Brewers offer him another contract at all? A small market team which aims to compete in their division year in and year out, necessarily means there will be a large amount of annual roster shuffling around a small core of players. A team can't emulate the Athletics and Rays then be reluctant to say good bye to good complementary players. Are you calling the guy who leads the Brewers in hits, homers, and rbis a complementary player? Yup. He's a good player for sure, but he's having a career year as an .850 OPS corner outfielder, it's not really that unique.
  9. Why would the Brewers offer him another contract at all? A small market team which aims to compete in their division year in and year out, necessarily means there will be a large amount of annual roster shuffling around a small core of players. A team can't emulate the Athletics and Rays then be reluctant to say good bye to good complementary players.
  10. I really think injuries are the biggest factor………pitching staff was just decimated. Doubt he is in danger. Then again, San Diego is a revenue sharing recipient; which went “all in” and crossed the luxury tax threshold and now might possibly miss the playoffs. Of course, injuries play a role in that but, they’ve been underachievers all year before everyone got hurt. Front office jobs are results driven industry. Preller has been there a long time now (2014) largely without results. I can’t envision any ownership group failing to put pressure on a GM after running up costs significantly only to finish as an also ran.
  11. If the season ended today the Padres would miss the playoffs. After all the moves Preller made since the end of the 2020 season, and they took a step backwards. You have to imagine his seat will start getting hot.
  12. Where’s Hiura going to play? I think it’s quite presumptuous to assume the worst hitter in the NL this year is back on the big league roster. He will have to earn his way back to the majors.
  13. Yep. This exactly. We may end up needing a lot of runs come playoff time. Or just down the stretch even. But the Brewers have done all they can to give themselves a shot. I firmly believe they pursed Scherzer because he could provide insurance in case of injury or tiring by one or more of our studs. This has been reported, Brewers did pursue but Scherzer only wanted to go to a west coast team.
  14. We are not a lock for anything while the cardinals control their own destiny against us with 13 games and less than a 13 game lead against them. Sure, the future is unknown. BUT, the Cardinal rotation is: Flaherty, Wainwright, Happ (4.32 FIP), Lester (5.12), Gant (5.13), and maybe LeBlanc (5.59) with a bullpen of Reyes, Gallegos, Cabrera but then Helsley (4.00), Andrew Miller (4.85), Justin Miller (5.51) TJ McFarland (4.54) and Ponce de Leon (6.14). If that ragtag group of pitchers (and heretofore uninspiring collection of hitters) radically outperforms the Brewers staff down the stretch, then the front office in Milwaukee should probably make a change in leadership in the dugout because the more talented team will have been outperformed by a lesser talented team. Moreover, the Cardinals have gone 17-2 against Pittsburgh, Miami and Kansas City. They're 44-54 against everyone else. They've played their entire slate against Miami and Kansas City and only have 4 games remaining against Pittsburgh.
  15. The knee jerk reaction to DFA someone after a couple of bad innings is how a pitcher like Phil Bickford is now the 7th inning guy for the Dodgers. With Milwaukee: 2G, 2IP, 6ER, FIP of 13.69. With Los Angeles: 37G, 34.2IP, 8ER, 42K, 5BB, FIP of 2.72, WHIP of 1.07.
  16. I don’t know if I’d say the Cubs are in full tank mode. You see how important Bryant, Rizzo, Baez etc. were. They were a losing club with those guys and the players that are there now were all there when those guys left but obviously those superstars were the difference between a 78 win team and a 65 win team. As for the Reds, they’re not going to simply sweep all the weak teams they play for the rest of the year. Even the mighty Brewers dropped one to Pittsburgh. It’s baseball; even the best teams lose twice a week. The Reds are 20-13 in one run games. That’s a lot of good fortune that they need to keep getting. The Cardinals had 3/5 of their rotation held down by retreads: Lester, Happ and Wade LeBlanc. It’s a pipe dream they could somehow leapfrog into first place with that starting pitching, not to mention LeBlanc is hurt forcing them to go back to John Gant who they brought in the retreads initially to replace
  17. Isn't one of those rare collapses just what happened to the Brewers in 2014? Best record in the NL on July 1st, and could've coasted into the playoffs playing just .500 baseball, only to falter down the stretch and miss the post season entirely. Which is not to say I think the Brewers will fail this year, BUT if there is one team in baseball that has seemingly gotten snake bitten at every turn it would be the Milwaukee Brewers.
  18. Can we stop with the knee cap as being a proximate cause of Yelich's slump? It was a fracture of the knee cap. Nothing was shattered. He didn't even need surgical intervention or any serious medical treatment outside a knee immobilizer. More importantly, Yelich is 4th on the Brewers in sprint speed behind Garcia, Cain and Taylor. If his fractured knee cap was effecting him at the plate, you could bet that it would also impact his sprint speed.
  19. Why? There's an old adage in baseball: if your bullpen sucks, you suck. The Reds bullpen even with Cessa, Givens and Lorenzen sucks. Heath Hembree: FIP 4.60 Sean Doolittle: FIP 4.36 Amir Garrett: FIP 5.55 Justin Wilson: FIP 4.44 Jeff Hoffman: FIP 4.81
  20. I wonder if David Ross resigns after the season? When the Cubs hired him so much was made how their group of guys respected him and he would be able to motivate them better than Joe Maddon, and now they're all gone, and Ross evades the question if it's time to move on from Arrieta until the GM does the dirty work for him and releases Arrieta. Ross would probably prefer to go back to TV than preside over this for another year or two (only to get fired when they're ready to win again).
  21. Here's a roster question: why can't the Brewers simply release John Axford instead of moving him to the 60 day DL? He will not be able to pitch again this season, contract is guaranteed, he will be a free agent after 2021. I'm sure that the union would have something to say about that. The Brewers are 100% responsible for his medical care. ...and being responsible for his medical care isn't going to change if they release him or not. Service time arguments maybe for pension benefits, but still.
  22. The only thing I can tell you is, Chris Davis was always a low batting average, low on-base hitter who was a poor defender. That never really changed during his salad days with Baltimore. Once the power stroke dried up, Chris Davis was dried up Yelich on the other hand is right outside the top 10 in the NL in on-base percentage. Even if he never slugs .500 again a average defender with great speed and elite OBP skills is a useful thing to have. Not to mention it would be out of character for a front office like Milwaukee's to tie their hands in the future by giving out a contract to a player who then underperforms.
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