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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. Jopal78
    Interestingly, the immediate impact of the Peralta trade for both clubs is negligible. Myers and Sproat have negative WARs, Peralta is 0.1 and Williams has yet to play in the majors. 5 years is a long time, but anyone would be hard pressed to say the arrow is pointing up on either Sproat or Williams right now too.
  2. Jopal78
    The point is an international draft is not going to work. There is no way to bind international players. MLB teams can agree to do whatever they want in terms of procurement of those players, and yes, the major leagues are the highest paid league around, but if their agreement amongst themselves doesn’t bind the players, it’s in the players best interest and those who come after them to find a way to exploit it. It’s not a difficult concept to understand.
  3. Jopal78
    Replace the bottom three hitters in the lineup with guys who can put up at least a .699 OPS? when you’re pitching and defense team, you’re gonna lose some tight ones when the pitching lets you down.
  4. Jopal78
    If you want to be 100% literal, sure you are right. But 95% of those players aren’t going to be selected in an international draft anyways. What I’m talking about (and I know you know despite wanting to be literal) are the premier international players. They either have options besides America (which is leverage) or they know they’re going to get drafted with slot money so they have the ability to tell certain organizations not to draft them (also leverage). Its not a video game, people’s jobs with an organization are on the line and no organization is going to waste a top pick calling an international players bluff, or select a player who has stated they don’t want to be there
  5. Jopal78
    Interesting you mention it; MLB is proposing to eliminate American High Schoolers from being drafted which will eliminate the leverage those kids have.
  6. Jopal78
    He’s James Mouton with marginally better slug (less than 100 PAs difference) yet Mouton was a nobody and bounced around to 4 different clubs while Sal starts most nights.
  7. Jopal78
    It’s unbelievable he and Perkins are both in the major league roster. One should be DFA’d and the other optioned to AAA and it’s making less of a difference which one gets what.
  8. Jopal78
    Depends, there won’t be many worth the slotted pick if the current financial format continues with an international pool. Yet the next Soto or Acuna would know they’re going to get paid when eventually drafted and would hold all the leverage to choose where they go by threatening to sign only if drafted by certain teams.
  9. Jopal78
    An International Draft is worthless. The owners can’t compel foreign players to come to America so draftees would have all the leverage. If the money or organization isn’t right, the foreign player can simply refuse to sign, and no team is going to waste a draft pick for a player. They are uncertain of if they can get in their organization (Similar but different Herb Kohl went all the way to China to talk Yi Jinlian into agreeing to play for the Bucks after being drafted). Further, Japanese teams control players for 8-9 seasons which is why there’s the posting system. MLB can agree to whatever they want with their players but NPB does not have to abide by it.
  10. Jopal78
    12 weeks is the end of the baseball season for 2026. I’m sure he’ll work out generally but amping up without major league facilities isn’t likely to happen (certainly not if there’s a lock out). So he’ll be starting from square 1 in essence in April 2027.
  11. Jopal78
    Historically it seems Wheeler is the exception and not the rule. We probably won’t see Priester until April of 2028 though. Tough break for the guy, after looking like a front of the rotation horse, his career is suddenly at a crossroads
  12. Jopal78
    First of all, the Brewers can sign any player they want if they’re willing to pay top dollar. The fans here who want players resigned never say they want them resigned at market rate. The players play for money, and no sense of loyalty is likely to mean they leave millions of dollars on the table. Second and more on topic, any increase in revenue is great for us fans who consume the vast majority of the games on TV, radio or streaming. It likely won’t translate into higher payrolls, but it does help pay Latin Scouts, fund the Academies, keep up the tech arms race and analytics department. All of which have contributed to what the Brewers are today.
  13. Jopal78
    They won’t fire Counsell this season regardless. He has 2 years left and managers usually aren’t left as lame ducks, and there’s little to no chance he gets extended, so he probably would be on the hot seat in 2027. The injuries to pitchers are tough but I wonder if the Cubs would’ve been better off fortifying their rotation than signing Bregman especially when they had a young player with promise at 3B already.
  14. Jopal78
    That’s the thing about metrics. There is one to support any point someone wants to make. Escobar got a multi-year deal after leaving Milwaukee as a free agent. Santana signed a 1 year deal with Minnesota as camp opened the next season and Canha was traded to Detroit in a salary dump
  15. Jopal78
    You’re right, although I suppose I should have framed it as the Brewers don’t shop for premium talent, impact players, difference makers, etc. at the deadline, rather they look for role players and depth pieces. In fact, both Canha and Santana were approximately league average bats in 2023 depending on the metric you use. Escobar, by contrast, played in the All-Star game in 2021 and was amongst the top 5-6 in homers by MLB 3B when traded.
  16. Jopal78
    They’ll always have tailgating it will just be in a specific area and first come first served. The Packers have eliminated gobs and gobs of parking/tailgating over the last 10-15 years.
  17. Jopal78
    The last regular the Brewers traded for at the deadline was Eduardo Escobar all the way back in 2021. Arnold hasn’t done it as GM. Thus I assume this year will be no different and they’ll shop for bullpen arms, and bench players. Maybe a back of the rotation starting pitcher like Montas if they can get one by absorbing payroll on an expiring deal.
  18. Jopal78
    Yep, wait until they start eliminating parking spots/tailgating to build a huge bar/restaurant/event space. Why let people drink their own beer in the parking lot when you can sell it to them.
  19. Jopal78
    Just give him 19 and be done with it
  20. Jopal78
    I didn’t call them “lowly”. But I think fans view teams as some sort of public trust, when its a business. The corporations and organizations that are going to shell out $40,000 for seats behind the plate with Truss club access are to generate way more revenue than a group of regular fans going to a game 10 times a year and getting an $9 brat and $14 beer each time they go. If the goal is to generate as much ticket and in Park revenue as possible, those fans just aren’t that important in today’s calculus where premium experiences are both extremely profitable and popular. The Brewers absolutely know what a typical family spends for a game at the ballpark and how often they go; what a season ticket holder spends; what a private group likely spends; what ages and demographics generate the most revenue and they’re adjusting their seats accordingly to capture the most revenue.
  21. Jopal78
    They wouldn’t build it if they didn’t have a good idea that they could sell enough of them to make it worthwhile displacing folks. Frankly, the fan who buys the $50 ticket and drinks beer and eats hot dogs in the parking lot before carrying in a bag of peanuts isn’t generating much revenue for them. If they perceive they have potential a significant customer base who will pay more for tickets and spend more in the park, they’re going to cater to those folks more than the $50 fan. Thats the way pro sports operate now.
  22. Jopal78
    Frelick is quickly eroding whatever trade value he has. Mitchell due to his injury history and remaining team control has limited trade value to begin with.
  23. Jopal78
    Every player would rather try to rehab an injury before having surgery. In Priester’s case if he ultimately cannot rehab this and has shoulder surgery he’s likely going to miss a big chunk of 2027 too.
  24. Jopal78
    I always thought Bauers was a useful player. Hard to tell if the break out is a real or this is just an extended hot streak. However, if he finishes with an .890 OPS and 25+ homers he’ll do a lot better than 2yr/16 million as a free agent
  25. Jopal78
    I get Lara is forcing their hand with his AAA numbers and the struggles of some of the hitters on the 26 man roster, but Lara at 5’7” and 169 lbs os going to make Greg Jones, Frelick and Ortiz looks like hulks in comparison. It’s probably unrealistic to assume another tiny speed and defense guy will have a major league profile much different from Jones, Frelick, Ortiz, etc.
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