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Ron Robinsons Beard

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Everything posted by Ron Robinsons Beard

  1. Something like this may seem far fetched, but the more I think about it, the more it does start to make sense. The team is spending millions rolling out a rebrand in an attempt to get their fanbase into a lather. To follow that up with an offseason where their biggest moves are signing a guy like Moose to a 2-year/$20 million deal and grabbing a few Lyles/Miley types is not going to keep that excitement going in any sort of significant way. I don't know if Rendon will be the ultimate target, but I have gotten to the point where I expect them to make some sort of major move that is going to really excite the fanbase going into next season. What better way would there be than to sell a bunch of new cream home jerseys with "Rendon" or "Strasburg" splashed across the back?
  2. They'd still need to go something like 2/$12 or 3/$16.5 at a minimum. I'm not sure I buy that. All depends on how the market plays out. If enough teams go with internal options at min salary, some established 1b could get left out in the cold or stuck on minor league deals. I doubt that happens to Thames, but it certainly coudl get to a point where 2 teams are left looking for 1b help and 3 or 4 similar guys are still out there. Agreed. If Thames gets more than 2 years/$8-10 million, I'd be surprised. There's just so many similar-type hitters on the market, and he's got enough holes in his game that his value is going to remain tempered. The market has really devalued these platoon corner bat types as well. I predict that he's going to be one of those guys that has to wait out the market and sign close to the start of Spring Training, too.
  3. I think you are making a mistake by separating the years and the total value of the deal. They cannot be separated. Yasmani Grandal, as a 35-year-old catcher, is going to be paid $18.25 million in 2024. After making identical amounts as a 32, 33, and 34-year-old catcher in 2020, 2021 and 2022. It was the price AND years that the Brewers weren't comfortable with ... and a lot of fans agree with that, even though it isn't out money.
  4. Heck, they may have been willing to match or even beat the AAV of that deal on a 2- or even 3-year commitment. You have to consider the length and full value of the deal. Those two numbers are not mutually exclusive.
  5. Well I nearly nailed the Grandal contract, but happy to be wrong about his destination. Good call! I personally thought that the Reds stuff was nonsense. That team is a lot of talk and little action. They are linked to big free agents and trade every year, yet rarely do they make the big move ... their deadline Bauer acquisition withstanding.
  6. Heck, having Hiura offensively for a full season should be a huge improvement. If Cain has his thumb issue figured out, it isn't out of the realm of possibility that he's better. Heck, maybe this new assistant hitting coach is right, and he can get Arcia to the point where he's a competent major league hitter. Going to a platoon of Pina/d'Arnold or Castro is not the substantial step down that it is being made out as, especially if a few guys in other spots step up.
  7. Grandal wasn't on the 2018 NLCS team. While the 2019 offense may have been better, it wasn't by any sort of sizable margin. Grandal was terrific this season, but his offense isn't irreplaceable. You aren't going to replicate it at the catcher position, so it's up to Stearns and the coaching staff to find offensive improvement in other spots to make up the difference.
  8. I believe that he is too big of a risk to go into the season with any expectations of seeing 2017-18 Travis Shaw. So I guess the answer to your question is yes, I think he is done. While it wouldn't be unprecedented, Shaw is only 29 years old. I think it would be prudent to at least bring him back to Spring Training and try to determine if there was some sort of underlying reason for his decline. I agree, though, that if they do bring him back and go into the season expecting him to play a prominent role, it would be best to have a Plan B locked and loaded.
  9. If we get to February and are still looking at a bottom of the order of Shaw, Pina, Arcia, P, I’ll agree with you. There’s been like 2 big name guys that have signed contracts. Heck, tomorrow we could sign Donaldson and the “entire offseason” looks different. There will be key guys brought in over the next few months. I'd rather shoot for the stars and sign Rendon if we are out on Moose... I do NOT, under any circumstance, want Shaw as a starting infielder on opening day. So is it that you are ignoring his 2017-18 numbers, or is it that you believe he's done?
  10. I don't think those can really be separated, though. I mean, yeah, if Yasmani was willing to sign for $40 million over 4 years, I'm sure the Brewers would have been all over that. I personally think that it was the total value of the deal, combined with it's length, that they couldn't do. There's no reason to believe that they wouldn't have been willing to go two or even three more years at the same AAV.
  11. Did he say they were fine with 4 years? Where? Because all I see is that Murray is saying that the Brewers would not be able to compete with a $73 million offer. He later followed it up with this tweet: "Yasmani Grandal’s $18.25 million AAV is the exact same as his Brewers deal last season. But, as @Haudricourt said, the difference between giving a one-year vs. four-year deal to a 31-year-old catcher is significant. For the “payroll is going down” crowd: It is Nov. 21." That would indicate to me that the difference was the total years of guaranteed money, not the AAV.
  12. Don’t forget Chacin, Moose, Perez, Jeffress, and Albers as well. They have a lot to play with. I am guessing they will make an upgrade at SS for sure since there will be a big downgrade at C. Maybe instead of neglecting the starting staff and going with a bunch of bats like the last couple years, we bring in a couple arms like Wheeler and Strasburg and go with a mediocre offense and hope for progression from internal options offensively! (Half blue) I think there is something to this. The offense was better in 2019 than in 2018, but remember that the 2018 team did come within a few outs of a World Series birth ... without Yasmani's big bat in the lineup. A lot went right that year, but there are some very nice pieces already in place that get get them to that point again.
  13. Come on, man! You are certainly playing right into the thought processes of those of us who view you as a troll ...
  14. Yeah, his jump in offensive production last year seems a little excessive. Still, he's a solid trade chip for the White Sox now, unless they plan on keeping him around as Yasmani's backup. Put it this way, if they DH Grandal a fair bit, it will keep the wear and tear down, and they get a good C for four years. Except that McCann is looking at a pretty nice raise through arbitration this year. The White Sox may have more money to play with than the Brewers, but it doesn't grow on trees for them, either. Also, Grandal's bat is great at catcher. It's average at best as a DH, though.
  15. A reminder that it is Nov. 21. The Hot Stove hasn’t even been stoked yet.
  16. The guaranteed $73 million that he signed for just makes the fact that Stearns was able to get him on a one-year deal and squeeze a career year out of him at an equal per year average all the more of a master stroke. It's fun cheering for a team that is run well.
  17. If they decide to go the FA route for a catcher, I'm going to guess d'Arnaud or Jason Castro. Both seem like Stearns types. But it wouldn't surprise me to see them roll with Pina/Nottingham/Freitas, and invest that Grandal $$$ at other spots, too.
  18. Yeah, his jump in offensive production last year seems a little excessive. Still, he's a solid trade chip for the White Sox now, unless they plan on keeping him around as Yasmani's backup.
  19. I would imagine that historically OFers have been able to maintain productivity into their mid-30s at a higher rate than catchers. I'm sure that was a line of thinking. But yeah, the Brewers will be hoping for a Cain offensive rebound in 2020, or he will be a case study on how expensive long-term contracts can hurt mid-market ballclubs. The Brewers can take chances on longterm deals, but they need to be limited and smart.
  20. Agreed! Time for DS to pull another catcher rabbit out of his hat. I'm happy for Yasmani, as he seemed like a great guy, and was awesome in his one year as a Brewer. On to Plan B. All aboard the Jake Nottingham bandwagon! With the DH, this is a VERY good deal for the Sox. Grandal catches two years, DHs the next two. I'd figured about $80 million - and that included Yasmani as the primary 1B for the latter half of the deal as Feliciano/Henry/Fry forced their way up. Paying nearly $20 million per year for an aging 1B/DH is an extremely irresponsible use of funds. The White Sox better hope he can be their primary catcher for the next four years.
  21. If David Stearns wasn't willing to go there with a fan favorite catcher in LuCroy at a similar age, there was NO WAY he was going there with Grandal. The White Sox can absorb that type of risk much easier than the Brewers can. 4 years at $18.25 per season is about the max that I foresaw Grandal getting. I'm just glad this isn't the Reds that got him.
  22. Agreed! Time for DS to pull another catcher rabbit out of his hat. I'm happy for Yasmani, as he seemed like a great guy, and was awesome in his one year as a Brewer. On to Plan B. All aboard the Jake Nottingham bandwagon!
  23. 4 years, $73 million. Darn for the Brewers, but good for him.
  24. This is pretty much where I see them going as well. I could see them targeting a couple Tyler Austin-types to stash at AAA as a backup plan, should Shaw not regain his stroke. I wouldn't rule out the possibility of Thames signing a cheap deal to come back, either. Not sure how much of a market he's going to find.
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