Have you read any of the studies of mlb performance related to age? If yes, what is your interpretation? If no, try to educate yourself with a little reading. Most everything I've read on the subject points to ages 26-29 as a player's prime, but of course that is left to some interpretation. In any case, most times the drop off in production between 28 and 31 is not massive. I feel comfortable knowing that Shaw is Brewers property through his age 31 season, but I don't think I'd look to extend him past that. There is no reason why he wouldn't be able to put up an approximation of what we've seen out of him the last two seasons, though, for the next 2 1/2 years. I admire the heck out of this response. Further, even if studies and estimates and wagers and hypotheses are all taken into account it still goes by the wayside when it comes to the individual player. It's only a guide, it isn't gospel.