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brewerhuman

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Everything posted by brewerhuman

  1. brewerhuman
    "This is what the Brewers payroll gap from last year was designed for!" brewerhuman said to himself, both head and heart comfortably resting in the clouds.
  2. brewerhuman
    I'm surprised the Cubs could afford him.
  3. brewerhuman
    Depends on how low buying low is, but yes, I would be interested.
  4. brewerhuman
    If he is somehow a piece that gets Lindor to the Reds I am going to vomit on my keyboard
  5. brewerhuman
    His OPS on the road the last 5 years averages out to .834. I'm not saying that's wonderful but I think it's a little bit helpful when making the case that he's not good away from Coors Field. Not as good, sure, but I don't think anyone would be. You don't know until you get him away from there. Maybe it's hard to adjust to the road games when you play 81 in that altitude. I don't know. I have a hard time buying the framing that he's not productive enough. FWIW, his career OPS at Miller Park is 1.299, second highest of any stadium he's played in.
  6. brewerhuman
    This is a player I'd trade Hader and Peralta/Burnes in a package for if that's where it has to start. You can feel free to disagree and question my intelligence, but I believe Arenado is the type of talent that you should get a little uncomfortable for if that's what it takes to make your team better. His home/road splits aren't wonderful, but they haven't been gross in 3 of the last 4 years in my quick look at it, if I did it right. I do appreciate what the Brewers are doing, and yes I'd rather be consistently competitive than experience up and down cycles. But it's pretty tough to tell myself right now that acquiring Arenado for whatever the price won't make the team outlook worse going forward than the plan they are currently on. I'll take a two year trial window to make things stick even longer if I have the choice. It's a gamble I'd try to take if it's available.
  7. brewerhuman
    If the Brewers can steal signs from the Rockies, why not a third baseman? I don't think this can happen with all the offers that are sure to cross, but damn would I love Arenado, worries be damned. Plus, the Rockies GM is from Milwaukee. Gotta think there's a discount to be had!
  8. brewerhuman
    So how much under last year's OD payroll are the Brewers currently?
  9. brewerhuman
    Good for the Twins. I'm glad they went for it and got him. Some side-eye is in store for the Brewers.
  10. brewerhuman
    Outside of the Correa rumblings earlier this winter, I'm not sure the Astros would change course this offseason based on a result from the investigation. Unless there's something additional we are unaware of that fractures the clubhouse, they still have a fantastic team and I'd be surprised if gutted them. If anything, I think they'd want to prove that they're still a WS contender after the results of their title season being brought into question.
  11. brewerhuman
    $2.725m for Narvaez, avoiding arbitration https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/28457943/2020-mlb-arbitration-tracker-follow-january-10-deadline
  12. brewerhuman
    As a standalone move this seems fine, but in a bigger picture sense I still have many questions. Guess we'll wait and see.
  13. brewerhuman
    Major league deal, according to Rosenthal. 278 big league games at third, says McCalvy.
  14. brewerhuman
    To be clear, in those scenarios Miguel Sano and Austin Riley/Camargo are the potential 3B targets, correct? Obviously there would be more included with prospects, but are those the major league ready talents we’re thinking of?
  15. brewerhuman
    Yes, in my opinion. Could the Brewers find value at a more comfortable price? Maybe, but Arenado is at worst a top 15 player in baseball. Top tier in the field and behind the plate, even though the h/r splits aren't encouraging. If you can find a way to acquire him, you absolutely bank on that talent playing in your ballpark for 81+ games. Plus, consider the lineup (in a complete guess of the batting order) Urias Yelich Hiura Arenado Braun Smoak Cain Narvaez is filthy. Good heavens.
  16. brewerhuman
    I don't disagree with what you've said here. I never wanted to convey that I thought third base was the only place they needed to invest in. It should be both, because doing so in both spots could push them ahead of where they were the last few years and they wouldn't have to rely on scorching hot Septembers to make the postseason. Could the additions of bullpen arms and/or Seager/Donaldson not work? Of course. But if those kind of upgrades do work when you're well under the spending limits you've set before and you can maybe pull it off, it's really tough to sell me on the idea of Todd Frazier. I don't think Donaldson or Seager is going all in, and that's where I'm coming from. I think we all just want to see a team get over that hurdle. The higher floor helps, but I think we're all just trying to find an area where an additional push can be made. And we're in the third basemen thread, so...
  17. brewerhuman
    I agree. I understand the appeal of the Urias and Smoak deals as creative ways to potentially bank on great values at positions where production wasn't fantastic. Even getting Narvaez was a solid-to-good pickup, albeit a downgrade from Grandal. At least you could say they made out reasonably well there in hoping to replace most of what they chose to let go. Signing Frazier would feel like neither of those things, to me. In my opinion, his upside isn't high enough to just let him have the spot at hot corner after losing Moustakas. It would very much feel like they just settled for a comfortable option when they could have used their capital on Seager, Donaldson, or [insert player acquired in Hader trade]. This may also just be me, but I think all the moves to increase the bottom line depth make more sense if they are willing to take a risk on a higher tier third baseman. I don't know.
  18. brewerhuman
    I would probably be in on this type of deal as well, but now I wonder what the Brewers would do with Smith or Smoak for this year if they ended up with both. Neither is flexible enough to make the most of the 26th roster spot, though I suppose you can live with it for one year. I wonder if they'd target someone like Matz or Lugo instead of Smith. I don't know! I still think the Mets are an intriguing trade partner, depending on what they're asking for return.
  19. brewerhuman
    That is until Stearns trades Hader for prospects that he can combine with his few decent ones to acquire Arenado, right?
  20. brewerhuman
    I would have a difficult time trying to justify Stearns and Co. making a potential play at value here. That would feel totally scummy to me. I do hope that he becomes a much better person going forward, but I don't have any interest in the Brewers playing a role in any form in the potential redemptive arc.
  21. brewerhuman
    To circle back to my post a while back, the likelihood of this account knowing this and nobody else is so unlikely. To me, there's no way the Brewers would lower their asking price to allow a trade to the Yankees when there are a handful of teams with better farm systems and a more pressing need for Hader (though I fully acknowledge that those handful of teams might not have interest right now) that could still be in the mix. The logic does not add up, other than this account tweeting stuff so that people continue to interact/click/follow them.
  22. brewerhuman
    To be clear, I meant that both teams would get what they both want as in the opposing team would get Hader and the Brewers would get to create their most ideal return from a much better looking pool of prospects instead of having to settle for the best of what is available and not as ideal (read: Yankees). I never meant to imply that any deal had to be balanced. I'm all for the Brewers winning the trade
  23. brewerhuman
    As tempting as it has been to play along, I think it’s best to be heavily skeptical (or don’t believe) accounts like MLB Marathon and the Yankee-leaning accounts. The likelihood of them being the only accounts to have anything new is super unlikely. It makes way more sense that talks are still at “Yankees are very interested, but the price is very high and hard to meet.” I think saying the Brewers need an elite, overwhelming return is a bit hyperbolic. It should be significantly substantial. Those don’t sound too different, but I think there’s a fine line there, and I think this debate can often shift to extremes. For example, a guy like Lux is probably not being included. If we think as objectively as possible, the teams the Brewers should be involved with should have an easy to identify, deep and varied pool of talent and a clear desire/need for Hader to push them a level up. To me that includes the White Sox, Twins, Rays, Mets (maybe), and Dodgers. Are there more teams where the logic adds up, and both the receiving team and the Brewers can get what they’re in the trade talks for?
  24. brewerhuman
    Can we shift our attention to the White Sox for a bit, as it was reported that they’re turning some of their efforts to relief pitching (and Puig, I guess)? They seem like a really intriguing landing spot for a Hader deal given: -they need to/could improve their bullpen, given that... -they’re sensing their time to make a push forward is now -they have quite a bit of talent in the prospect/MLB ready/young and controllable upside camps -have made deals with the Brewers in the past (I admit this doesn’t mean much at all but i don’t think familiarity hurts) -also this re: familiarity https://www.brewcrewball.com/platform/amp/2017/9/25/16360096/white-sox-wanted-josh-hader-in-a-potential-jose-quintana-deal-with-milwaukee-per-report Thoughts?
  25. brewerhuman
    I'm on board with trading Hader now because these are the types of moves you should probably end up having to make to keep your small market team on a pattern of sustained success. I will, however, question how useful our Andrew Miller comparisons (as far as breaking down is concerned) are when Hader is 9 years younger than Miller. I think there is a real chance Hader loses a chunk of his value going forward, but I think the most likely reason will be because that comes in the form of a drop in effectiveness or significance raise in cost.
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