The problem with your scenario is that next year they would add $16M, plus they need to pick up the $11M for Moustakas, and if the re-sign Smoak that's another $9-11M added on. They also have Knebel, Shaw, Davies, Perez, Guerra, Gamel, Arcia, and Suter arby eligible. With the payroll already at a Brewer record, money becomes a major factor. No Grandal > 18 mil No moose > 9 mil That’s = 27 mil New Fox deal > 9 mil That’s = 36 mil - 16 mil = +20 mil to keep payroll where it’s at now. Then in the last year of Kimbrel’s contract: New turner & Espn deal > 10 mil(EST.) New local tv deal > 8 mil(EST.) No Braun contract > 14 mil( less 2 mil buyout) That’s 32 mil. - 16 mil. kimbrel = +16 mil. To keep payroll the same. That doesn’t include extra revenue from attendance, corporate sponsors, licensing, playoff revenue.[/quote You're assuming they aren't going to keep their #4 hitter (Moose) who is doing very well. I think Stearns jumps to keep him at the chance and look to trade Shaw or put him at 1B. They also will need a replacement for Grandal. They didn't like Pena as a starter this year so nothing will change and Nottingham isn't the answer. Plus you forget the 9 arby eligible guys.