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jay87shot

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Everything posted by jay87shot

  1. jay87shot
    End of year staff Rotation) Burnes, Woody, Peralta, Miley, Teheran/Rea Pen) Williams, Payamps, Peguro, Hoby, Bryse Wilson, Houser, Uribe, Ashby/Justin Wilson If Uribe isn't great and Ashby's rehab isn't on track by the end of the month I would be all for a depth add in the pen. However at this point I don't think it is high priority.
  2. jay87shot
    On the value of our prospects. 1) Chourio is still a top 5 prospect, even though his ba isn't great he still has incredibly high potential, he just might not debut until the end of 24' (at 20) which is fine. There are probably only a couple dozen players in the league he would be traded for and I doubt any of those guys are available. 2)Quero and Misi at this point are widely undervalued, come next year they will both likely be around the top 30. So trading them at a lower value wouldn't make sense. 3) Frelick and Black are probably our 2 most likely to be traded prospects. I really don't want to trade them unless we are getting a top notch player with control. I like a 2025 lineup of C Quero/Contreras 1B Yeli/trade, 2B Black, SS Turang, 3B Wilken, 4 man OF Weimer, Chourio, Mitchell, Frelick, DH Contreras, Yeli, 4th OF way to much to sell on Black or Frelick for a short term bat.
  3. jay87shot
    I can't see us getting Alonso or Goldschmidt at the deadline. However I could see a Burnes for Goldy based deal working in the offseason. The Cards needs pitching we need a bat, we could maybe extend Goldy for 2/50 through 2026 and the Cards could give Burnes a massive 8/260 style extension. I doubt Alonso moves anywhere, the Mets have lots of money coming of the books between this year and next. The Mets fans love him and have plenty of money to extend him.
  4. jay87shot
    Justin Turner and Jeimer Candelario would be at the top of my list. I would try and find ways to trade some of our guys on the 40 man who are seemingly on the way out. Turner for Tyrone Taylor, Ethan Small/Janson Junk, and Gregory Barrios Candelario for Peter Strezlecki/Janson Junk, Abraham Toro, and Jeison Pena Each trade clears up 40 man roster space and improves our lineup without gicing ip meaningful future pieces. The other team 2 young controllable player with some mlb experience for this season and beyond and a lotto type prospect. 1) Yeli, 2) Turner, 3) Candyman, 4) Adames (if he continues to hit), 5) Contreras. That actually sounds like a decent 1-5 and we could make a swing at a decent DH/1B still.
  5. jay87shot
    I am guessing he has a big arm with that high of an era.
  6. jay87shot
    I was just trying to make the money work, you could take from Wilken and add some to Knoth and Pratt.
  7. jay87shot
    Any thoughts on how we get everyone signed? 1) Wilken= 3.9 mill save=121k I doubt Wilken takes much of a discount but maybe a little. 1comp) Knoth= 2.1 mill save=493k This is paying him 2nd round money, as a lower ranked guy 2 mill would seem a solid payday. 2)Boeve= 1.1 mill save=446k Boeve takes less as a smaller school college player who went above rankings. 3)Bitoniti= 1.5 mill over=708k My guess is the 2 lowers drafted HS players will want around 1.5 mill to forgo college. ??? 4)Woodward=100k save=457k Pretty sure he had Tommy John and will be out most of next year. We should be able to sign him well below. 5) Birchard= 392k at slot As a 19 year old with options I doubt we can go below slot. 6)Pratt= 1.5 over=1.19k Same as Bitonini 7-10 Kuehner, Yoho, Manfred, Austin Sign 400k (100k each) save=382k That comes out pretty muchly even if my math is correct. It would be nice to have a little extra to sign Letson and some of the other HS picks after 10.
  8. jay87shot
    As much as I love Hader, 25-ish innings is not worth the 1 solid or 2 good pieces he will cost. I am sure he would cost like Gasser or something like Mendez and Logan Henderson. I'd rather go after a guy with contol if giving up a decent prospect package. Kendall Graveman, Scott Barlow, Daniel Bard, or Drew Smith are guys controlled through 2024 and wouldn't cost a ton. Don't forget when Woody comes back Houser might go back to the pen, Uribe will hopefully stick. Also if Ashby comes back it might be to the bullpen. Maybe a guy like Lauer comes back as a reliever. A nice late inning arm would be nice but unnecessary.
  9. jay87shot
    Mlb hasn't re-ranked prospects since the beginning of the year. When guys graduate they just move everyone up 1 spot and add new guys in like Quero and Misi who weren't in the ranking. I am sure when reranked Frelick goes down a bunch and Quero and Misi jump. Chourio probably falls a bit but my guess is not out of the top 10. Chourio's tools still will keep him above Quero. Chourio is still on pace for nearly 20/40 at 19.
  10. jay87shot
    There's our juco superstar.
  11. jay87shot
    I love Travis Sykora, Cameron Johnson, and Cole Schoenwetter as big upside HS arms. However who knows signabilty matters. Hunter Owen, Jaron Watts-Brown, and Tanner Witt all seem likely to be solid 4/5 starters but without huge ceilings. Plenty of interesting bats as well, my favorite is Brandon Winokur a 6'5" HS bat that has great power and athleticism.
  12. jay87shot
    No but he should be top 50 or so in mlb. In my opinion 1. Chourio top 5 2-4 Quero, Frelick Misiorowski around top 50 5-7 Black, Lara, Wilken End of top 100/Borderline
  13. jay87shot
    Only 9 strikouts in over 200 abs. This guy feels identical to Tyler Black. Small school guy, high end hit tool with a little power and speed. He is maybe a bit slower but probably a better fielder. Another very solid pick is my opininion.
  14. jay87shot
    I love the plus curve ball with a solid heater. His delivery looks pretty smooth and at 17 I would guess there is still plenty of untapped potential. If we could sign him for under or at $2 million this becomes and A+. As the 98th ranked prospect my guess is the Brewers know he will take an under slot amount which greatly improves his value.
  15. jay87shot
    Teams can buy players in the mlb. We bought Owen Miller for cash considerations. Also a teams in all leagues can take money in the way of bad contracts. Say in 3 or 4 years a guy like Bryan Reynolds stinks and the Pirates have the 1st pick. The Pirates could trade Reynolds and #1 to a rich team to take his contract. That would widen the gap between small and big market teams even more.
  16. jay87shot
    Knoth is a nice get, especially if he signs below slot. Ranked in the 90's by mlb.com means we could get a super intriguing arm and possibly save some $ for a later pick.
  17. jay87shot
    Love this pick, 3rd was a weak spot in the system and we need middle of the order bats. Wilken is both, I wouldnt be surprised if he goes straight to A+ and let Adams keep the playing time in A ball. He will be a great 1B in my opinion if he gets a bit stiff for 3rd. Looks a lot like Pete Alonso to me.
  18. jay87shot
    Problem is that big market teams could just buy picks. I would be fine if the rule was trading picks for picks or prospects. No money or 40 man salary commitments. Hoping Morales or Gelof at 33. I don't know much about some of the better HS prospects but I'm sure they would be fine.
  19. jay87shot
    Brayden Taylor and then Hurst Waldrop would be my 2 options if there. I still like taking a lower rated player and saving a bunch for later picks. There are a ton of high school pitchers I like later on that we can go over slot and make 3 or 4 solid picks that way.
  20. jay87shot
    Chourio isn't going anywhere, you don't trade a top 5 prospect for 1.5 years of anyone. With the Mets having a lot of potential money coming off the books this year my guess is they take care of Alonso after Ohtani signs where ever next year. Carlos Santana could be an interesting option. He is a much better 1B than Rowdy and better than Winker at the plate. He won't set the world on fire but would be much more consistent and cost peanuts. With Frelick sputtering in AAA, I would be ok trading him if someone would give us top 50 prospect value for him. Maybe even Frelick for a prospect like Kyle Manzardo. We could even do something like Frelick for Justin Turner and a prospect (Nick Yorke or Blaze Jordan). Any chance we could get any value for guys stuck in AAA like Urias, Huira, or Lauer. My guess is at this point none of them will be tendered a contract next year. They could get a shot at some playing time on a seller and we could get something useful back. Urias and a prospect (Jace Avina or Joseph Hernandez) for Candelerio would be interesting.
  21. jay87shot
    Any chance Misi could be a bullpen option at the end of the year? I know it is crazy since he is in A+ with only 26 innings in, however Uribe and Misi in the 6th/7th would be nuts.
  22. jay87shot
    I like Canha a bunch, Mets would likely eat some of his salary and wouldn't cost a ton. I agree Mariners not probably selling, Hernandez would be interesting. I think Justin Turner is ideal if the Red Sox dip below .500. Maybe in tandem with Adam Duvall to DH. Mitch Garver would be an interesting option as well at DH/3RD catcher it would allow. Caratini to DH occasionally as well. Garver has played a bit at 1st as well.
  23. jay87shot
    If he would be cheap I would go for him in a second. At this point anyone who has a chance at being decent is a step up from Rowdy. My guess is that they would want a little more than that Tigers trade. He did hit 25 HR's in 2021 and is cheap and controllable. I could see like Strezlecki and a lesser prospect (say Max Lazar) being close. I would still probably do that.
  24. jay87shot
    I would prefer Mark Canha from the Mets, he can play 1st and OF. I personally dont like Pham much as a person.
  25. jay87shot
    I was looking through through AAA stats today and found a list of blocked/interesting trade options. OF/1B Dominic Canzone Ari. .343./.423/.648 16 hr. OF Jo Adell LAA .277/.363/.581 21 hr 7 sb 1B/OF Trey Cabbage LAA .297/.373/.603 21 hr 21 sb 1B Elehuris Montero Col .383/.435/.765 13 hr (not good in 100 mlb abs) OF Elier Hernandez Tex. .336/.405/.566 12 hr 6 sb 1B Alfonso Rivas SDP .320/.444/552 8 hr 7 sb 1B Luken Baker Stl .313/.437/654 20hr OF Estevian Florial NYY .288/.379/.597 19 HR 13 SB 3B/1B Bobby Dalbac .296/414/.638 18 hr 9 sb 1B Jared Young ChiC .326/.426/.605 13 hr. Obviously some guys are less blocked or on bad teams. There are also a bunch of AAAA type players that wouldn't be great options. I like Dominic Canzone from Arizona and Luken Baker from Stl a ton if we could get them at reasonable prices. Both are great bats not to old (Canzone 25 and Baker 26). Baker is likely more of a DH and Canzone a LF/4th OF who could play some 1B.
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