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formerlybis

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Everything posted by formerlybis

  1. formerlybis
    It's easy to have missed what's happening to the rest of the division beyond StL (I did). Cincy is now tied with StL, and the Cubs and Bucs are a half and full game behind them, respectively. The magic numbers have really bunched up (see below). Just keep winning if we want a new former Brewer to highlight n this thread (I'm looking forward to Moose Haas next). Cincy and StL: 31 CHC: 30 PIT: 29
  2. formerlybis
    Thanks. I sort of already had an inkling that order was over valued in the eyes of the casual fan - the leadoff hitter is only guaranteed to actually lead off once, for example, so the logic of the following batters also only applies that one time (maybe) too. I take from this that batting Black third might only be a minor mis-ordering transgression, and the idea of getting him better pitches to hit with thumpers behind him has merit. I also think there’s a discussion to be had on OBP vs OPS. I like higher OBP guys batting before higher OPS guys, for fairly obvious reasons.
  3. formerlybis
    I'll admit to being a bit flummoxed with Mr. Black being slotted as a 3-hitter lately, but that raised the question for me about what the modern analytics might say. My understanding (from the pre-analytics days) was that you wanted a high OBP lead-off hitter with speed. #2 would be a good contact hitter that could advance the runner with productive outs, if necessary. #3 is probably your best overall hitter, ideally with a combo of average and some power, #4 and #5 are thumpers. #6-8 are mysteries to me, but I always liked another speedy contact hitter at 9 - a poor-man's leadoff guy. Following this (and knowing Yelich is done), I think I'd go Turang at 1, probably Contreras 2, Chourio 3, Adames 4, Hoskins 5, and Ortiz at 9. I didn't look at righty-lefty, though This board has a lot of knowledgeable folks - is my thinking outdated? What are the other modern considerations?
  4. formerlybis
    Megill’s injury made the “ease him in” option unavailable for using Williams. It worked out, but I still think that would have been the more prudent route.
  5. formerlybis
    Definitely - a video montage of Ghost scenes would be appropriate on the scoreboard, along with Chucky, Jason, Freddy Krueger, etc. with a message at the end that says "Enjoy your stay in Milwaukee, Mookie. You'll probably be fine."
  6. formerlybis
    I know the Brewers have to play Moneyball. If that weren't an issue, I think everyone would want to keep Adames. There are replacements for SS, and *maybe* for his production, but the clubhouse stuff is harder to replicate. Is that worth over-spending for? In my view, yes, but it's not my money.
  7. formerlybis
    Is it possible there’s an incentive in Yelich’s contract about playing in the All-Star game? That used to be pretty common, but mostly it was for *making* the All-Star game.
  8. formerlybis
    Yes, although I'd say as a 20-year MN resident that there is a whole Wisconsin sports envy thing that Minnesotans have, rather than just Packers/Vikings. It's especially true in Badgers/Gophers.
  9. formerlybis
    So the Brewers as of 7/8 have given up the 4th fewest runs in the NL, behind PHI, LAD, and ATL. If you consider that those three teams have 6 combined All-Star pitchers, it's pretty impressive what the Brewers are doing with zero.
  10. formerlybis
    It's not illogical. I still think Williams is the longer-term solution if he comes back and is his effective self, though. But I would not hand Williams the job on day one.
  11. formerlybis
    2-11 in 16 starts - that's kind of impressive, actually. I don't know what the Rockies' situation is with SPs, but to keep running him Hudson out there seems a bit futile, wouldn't you think? Has there been a 20-game loser recently?
  12. formerlybis
    We're on the same page. The 9th will be Williams' job in the short to medium term after his return, but it just doesn't seem like a great idea to just throw him out there on day one when you have a proven effective alternative. Also, Williams wasn't on a short IL stint - there will almost for sure be an adjustment period. You could be right, though.
  13. formerlybis
    I’ll be surprised if Williams has his first appearance in the ninth with a slim lead. It could happen if Megill was unavailable due to throwing innings in consecutive games, but the prudent thing to do would be to let Devin get his feet wet first.
  14. formerlybis
    I’d like to see the Brewers give Haase a game behind the plate sometime this series.
  15. formerlybis
    If Milwaukee were a deep-pocketed team like the bigger market teams, sure - go spend. You know it's not that simple for the Brewers. Failure to accept that dooms you to disappointment. There are precious few "big moves" that are even remotely possible without mortgaging the future. I prefer being in it year in and year out to the all in and then years of loserdom approach. Some want to be Marlins fans, I guess - at least they got a couple titles, but overall, they're a crappy franchise.
  16. formerlybis
    Currently 14-10 with 3 against the last place baby bears at AmFam to go. Guaranteed winning record. Sweep and they'd end the month 12-2 at home. July doesn't look that daunting, tbh, except for a 3-game set at LAD next weekend.
  17. formerlybis
    I think the Keuchel acquisition was at worst a nothingburger. We saved Rea to pitch against a more important foe, and the Brewers ended up winning what may be his one start. Good enough for me. As to the rest of this bigred against the world stuff, yeesh. You can't win the WS if you don't make the playoffs. That should always be goal #1. When you get there, stuff can happen - like one of your ace pitchers not being able to go. Had that not happened, the Brewers may very well have gotten to chew their bite. I do not feel lied to at all.
  18. formerlybis
    The fielder has to touch it or something for it to count as an error, but that was really a single and a 3-base error if official scoring could use common sense. I’m not sure it’s possible to get an inside the parker that wasn’t misplayed in some way.
  19. formerlybis
    It’ll be interesting to see this Dallas-Texas matchup…..
  20. formerlybis
    Scored in 3 of the 8 innings tonight, but no crooked ones….
  21. formerlybis
    I wonder if any of the stats experts on this site have looked at the % of innings that the Brewers have scored at least one run, and how that compares to the league average. Right now, it seems like the offense has a lot of scoreless innings, but they're getting by on the crooked number. I suspect that % of non-scoreless innings is highly correlated with runs per game.
  22. formerlybis
    That sounds impressive until I realized that, most of the time, players going home-to-home are trotting for at least 75% of the way.
  23. formerlybis
    I won't be there this time, but my dad relocated to Orange County about 20 years ago, about 15 minutes from the big A. We've been to several games there, and it was really fun in the "Rally Monkey" days. They do get a fair amount of fans of the visiting team, either through SoCal transplants or people on vacation at Disney. The mention of Trout reminded me that a saw an at bat of Bass pitching to Trout (I think Bass may have been an Astro, but not sure) - I've re-told that anecdote roughly 1,000 times.
  24. formerlybis
    We all want a series win, but we don't need one (as it relates to the Reds). If we were in Cincy's position, we'd need the sweep. Stopping that is acceptable to me (if not ideal). Yes, Cincy isn't the sole team to worry about. Head-to-head divisional matchups are where ground can be gained or lost, though, and with the lead the Brewers have, getting swept in a 3-game series is really the only outcome that hurts,
  25. formerlybis
    The only outcome of this series that I would not be happy with is a Reds sweep - that would put them only 4 games behind. There's a big mental difference between that and the 6 games behind they would be if the Brewers just took one measly little game this weekend. At least for me, anyway.
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