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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, the PECOTA standings feel closer to right and I don't think I'm being a homer about either the Brewers or Twins on this one (if anything, I think PECOTA having the Twins marginally above the Brewers in wins feels a bit wrong). Placing the Cardinals 7-8 wins above than the Brewers doesn't feel right, which is what ZiPS did. The Cardinals have a bunch of old-ish players that performed well last season and I think they lose at least a couple of wins from the natural aging curve alone. I think the two teams are pretty similar with the Brewers having a bit more volatility to be better or worse than their projections.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, that was the posting snafu that happened when my five year old toggled a setting I didn’t notice.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, it was absolutely epic, no doubt.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    What strategy is there in throwing out a position player who throws 73mph so Anthony Rendon can literally stand on the wrong side of the plate and hit a home run? And how does putting a non-pitcher on the mound "get the game over with"? If anything, it only prolongs the agony.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Because from a spectating perspective it's awful, borderline making a farce of the game. When it happened a couple of times a season, it was a novelty. Now that it's happening constantly, it's bad for the sport by intentionally fielding uncompetitive play after people paid money to watch the event.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Thanks for the post and welcome to Brewer Fanatic!
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    It's a never-ending battle and I really do keep user experience in mind - after all, I use the site as much/more than anyone - and appreciate the kind words!
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I love new metrics and somehow I’ve gotten this far being unacquainted with SaSLG. I’ll have to dig into that a little more.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Dunno, the evidence Tim presents here is pretty convincing. To have such a low swing percentage on balls in the zone and be negative value on the most hittable pitches is something that should absolutely be addressed.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    That's my hope.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    To be fair, 2022 baseball was the least entertaining baseball I've seen in my lifetime.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm glad they did something to stop the trend of position players on the mound. I think there were a few courses of action they could have taken - such as declaring eligible pitchers before a game - and this solution is just fine.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    That’s a fair point given we’re discussing the NL Central. A loss of a couple of games does outsized damage to any Central team (in either league) seeing an easy path to the postseason that isn’t winning the division.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I just don't see this impacting more than a couple of games. Instead of facing good/bad teams, the aggregate opponent will be .500. When we're talking about changing about 20 games of the schedule, the net gain/loss there just won't be substantial most of the time. Instead of going 11-9, a team goes 9-11. That sort of thing.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree about the Diamondbacks. I think they have a really good shot at being a disruptive force in the NL Wild Card race. I don't have a real problem with an 83 win projection - as a 50th percentile projection, it's fine - but I'm surprised ZiPS likes the Cardinals that much more. While they're obviously a formidable team, I fee like a drop-off from Arenado and Goldschmidt is pretty likely and the Cards derived a ton of value from them last season while they still "only" won 93 games.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Only a couple more days to get your votes in, be sure to do so if you are able!
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree but I'm not sure Wong was the right player to do that. Frankly, I would have been fine going in either direction with the Wong trade. I can see arguments for picking up someone like Winker or trading for prospects and don't feel particularly committed on the subject.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't really consider Winker an outfield option at this point in his career and would rather see the Brewers mix and match their OF prospects over giving him significant time in the field.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I like the Winker deal primarily because it was buying low on a formerly consistent player but yeah, I see your point here.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Honestly, the potential outfield in the second half of 2023 is a compelling x-factor. What combination of Chourio, Wiemer, Frelick, and Mitchell will we see by that time? It has the potential to turn the Brewers into a really compelling outfield both defensively and offensively or it could crash down around our heads. The variance on it is massive, as it usually is with a bunch of rookies in the mix.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    NO YOU MUST COMMIT TO A GRADE NOW AND NEVER CHANGE YOUR OPINION EVER 😃
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    To me, success over the next 10-ish months is two-fold: 1. Not only make the postseason but advance at least one round. I don't consider one-and-done a success at this point. 2. Next offseason, trade Burnes while one of Woodruff or Adames should be extended by that time (preferably this spring). I'm fine with letting one of the big three walk to free agency with a QO attached but only one. And that one should not be Corbin Burnes so trade him.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree with all of this. I think Wong will rebound a bit defensively but the offensive environment will help Winker and hurt Wong.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh yeah, he can definitely provide value, which is why I generally like the deal, he's just working from a pretty severe disadvantage given his defensive limitations. And it's not as if Wong was a slouch himself. The bar for Winker to hit even an equilibrium with Wong is relatively high. To me, the most interesting part of the deal that can swing value way toward the Brewers is what happens with Toro over the next couple of seasons.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I’m just having fun about the fact we all know you hated that deal.
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